The Tampa Bay Rays (49-49) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (59-41) on Sunday, July 21st. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on YES. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rays. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.
Rays vs. Yankees Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-160)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Yankees have a 5-2 record in their last 7 home games.
- The Yankees have scored 6 or more runs in 4 of their last 7 home games.
- The Yankees have won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head games against the Rays.
- The Yankees have a higher overall win percentage (.590) compared to the Rays (.500).
- The Yankees have outscored the Rays 12-6 in their last 2 home games against them.
Rays vs Yankees
Tampa Bay cruised to a 9-1 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Rays had a huge 4th inning, scoring three of their nine runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only run in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Rays were at +137 on the money line.
Both teams had just five hits in the game, but the Rays took advantage of their opportunities, scoring nine times. On the other side, the Yankees left seven runners on base and went just 2/7 with RISP.
Taj Bradley pitched well for the Rays in this one, going seven innings and striking out five without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Nestor Cortes struggled on the mound for the Yankees, giving up six earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
For the season, the Rays’ games have averaged 8.5 runs, and their over/under record is 46-47. When the O/U line has been 8.5, they are 14-14. Tampa Bay is 5-5 in their last 10 games and are tied with the Yankees in their current series. They have an overall series record of 17-11-2 this year.
Tampa Bay is at .500 with a 49-49 record, and they are 11 games behind the Orioles in the AL East. On the run line, they are 46-52, including a 26-18 mark on the road. The Rays have been better as favorites, with a 28-25 record, compared to 21-24 as underdogs.
Shane Baz Gets The Start For The Rays
Shane Baz will be making his 3rd start of the season, and it will be on the road against the New York Yankees. In his first start of the year, he took the loss against the Rangers, going 6 innings and giving up 3 runs. His last start was at home vs. the Yankees, and he went 4 1/3 innings, giving up 3 runs on 6 hits.
Rays Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Rays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and are 22nd in home runs. One area they have been strong is in avoiding strikeouts, as they are 21st in the league in this category.
Isaac Paredes has been the Rays’ top power threat this season, as his 16 homers are 11th in the league. He also leads the team with 51 RBIs and has a strong on-base percentage of .360. Yandy Diaz has been a solid run producer as well, batting .273 with 46 RBIs. Over his last six games, Randy Arozarena has three homers while batting .333.
On the run line, the Yankees have been a good bet on the road with a 31-23 record, but a poor bet at home with a 22-24 record. As favorites, they have gone 37-43 on the run line, but as underdogs, they are 16-4. The Yankees’ games have averaged 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 51-45.
New York is 5-5 in their last 10 games and has lost five straight series at home. They are 2 games behind the Orioles in the AL East with a 59-41 overall record. The Yankees have a 45-35 record as favorites and 14-6 as underdogs this season.
Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending Marcus Stroman to the mound today vs. the Rays, and he comes into the game with a record of 7-4 and an ERA of 3.51. Stroman has made 19 starts this season, and opponents are batting .227 off the right-hander. In his 19 appearances, Stroman has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 6.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Stroman’s last outing came on July 10th, where he finished with a no-decision after giving up one earned run in 4 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight outings.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Yankees are 2nd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game and are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league. New York’s lineup is also one of the best in the league at drawing walks, and they have a team on-base percentage of .329. The Yankees have been even better on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per game.
Over his last eight games, Juan Soto has gone 13/34 with two homers and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .303 with 23 home runs. Aaron Judge is the league’s top home run hitter and is batting .307 with 86 RBIs. Judge has also gone deep twice in his last eight games, going 7/24 over that stretch.
Rays vs Yankees Prediction
The best bet in this Rays vs. Yankees matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line at -160. We have the Yankees winning this game by a score of 6-5. With the payout for a Yankees win being -160, we see this as a great payout for a team that we have winning 55% of the time.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Marcus Stroman finishing with four strikeouts compared to Shane Baz with five. However, we have Stroman going five innings and Baz only lasting two. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair a Yankees win with the over, as we have the total runs at 11 and the line sitting at 8.5.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 21, 2024 Rays, Yankees