Texas Rangers vs Colorado Rockies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Texas Rangers vs Colorado Rockies Prediction 5/11/2024

The Texas Rangers (22-18) travel to face off against the Colorado Rockies (10-28) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Coors Field in Denver and televised on None. The Rockies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockies. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Rangers vs Rockies

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Colorado picked up a 4-2 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Rockies had a two-run 8th inning to break a 2-2 tie, and the Rangers could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Rockies were at +159 on the money line.

Jon Gray got the start for the Rangers, going six innings and giving up just one run. Grant Anderson took the loss. Austin Gomber put together a good outing for the Rockies, getting the win after going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one run.

Corey Seager and Ezequiel Duran each homered for the Rangers, while Brenton Doyle went 2/3 with an RBI for the Rockies. Elias Diaz also had a two-hit game and drove in a run for Colorado’s offense.

Texas currently leads the AL West by a half-game over the Mariners, heading into today’s game at 22-18 overall. The Rangers are the 1st seed in the division with an overall record of 8-9 vs. other AL West teams. The Rangers lost the first game of their series vs. the Rockies and have an overall series record of 7-4-1 this year.

As the road team, the Rangers are 5-3 this year when favored, and they are 12-9 overall on the road. Texas has been just above .500 at home, going 10-9 so far. As the underdog, the Rangers have gone 9-8 this season compared to 13-10 as the favorite.

When the Texas Rangers win, they tend to do so by a comfortable margin, as their average run margin in victories is 3.9 runs per game. That’s a stark contrast to their average run margin in losses, which is -3.3 runs per game. Overall, the Rangers have a run differential of +0.7 runs per game this season, and their run line record is 18-22. They are 10-11 against the run line on the road and 8-11 against the run line at home. As the favorite, they are just 8-15 against the run line, while they are 10-7 as the underdog.

Despite the Rangers and Rockies combining for just six runs in their last meeting, the over/under line for their next game is set at 10.5 runs. This is the first time this season that an over/under line has been set at 10.5 runs in a Rangers game. The over/under record for Rangers games this season is 17-22, and the average over/under line for their games is 9 runs.

Andrew Heaney Gets The Start For The Rangers

Left-hander Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Rangers today as he faces the Rockies on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 0-4 with an ERA of 4.50. Looking at his overall numbers, Heaney has a WHIP of 1.11 and opponents are batting .226 this season. He has made two quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he finished with seven strikeouts. Per nine innings, Heaney is averaging 7.75 strikeouts and just 2.25 walks.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Rangers have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging five runs per game (6th) and batting a collective .255 (5th). They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in terms of OBP and slugging percentage.

Adolis Garcia and Marcus Semien have been two of the Rangers’ top power threats this season, with Garcia leading the team with eight homers and Semien not far behind at seven. Semien has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 15/42 in his last nine games, including two homers. He also has eight RBIs during this stretch. Corey Seager has also been swinging the bat well, going 9/32 with two homers in his last eight games.

With a record of 10-28, the Rockies are 5th in the NL West and trail the Dodgers by 15 games. Colorado is 2-0 over their last two games, and they are looking to win their first series of the year, as their overall series record is 0-11-1.

At home, the Rockies are 7-12 this season compared to 3-16 on the road. So far, they have yet to play a game as the favorite. Colorado has a two-game winning streak going as the underdog, and they are 7-12 as the underdog at home.

The Rockies are 18-20 against the run line this season, and they are 9-10 both at home and on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight games as the underdog, and their average run differential in wins is +3.4, while it is -3.9 in losses.

The Colorado Rockies have played a total of 45 games this season, and the over/under line has been set at 10.5 runs or more for only four of them. The Rockies’ games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 18-20. Today’s over/under line is set at 10.5 runs.

Ryan Feltner Gets The Start For The Rockies

Through seven starts, Ryan Feltner has a record of 1-3 and an ERA of 5.54 for the Rockies. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off an outing where he gave up five earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. In that start vs. the Pirates, he gave up three homers. Feltner has a WHIP of 1.46 and is averaging 8.31 strikeouts per nine innings. Looking at his walk numbers, he is allowing just 2.31 per nine innings. For the season, he has allowed five homers. At home, his ERA is 5.25 compared to 6.09 on the road.

Rockies Offense Breakdown

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Colorado’s offense comes into the game averaging just 3.7 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging only 3.3 runs per contest. As a team, the Rockies are batting .241, which is 12th in the league, and they come in with the league’s best BABIP at .32. Elias Diaz and Ryan McMahon are both in the top 15 in the league in RBIs and have three homers apiece.

Over his last seven games, Elias Diaz is hitting .407 for the Rockies, while Brenton Doyle has gone 6/27 in that stretch with four runs scored and one homer. Doyle is also on a three-game hitting streak. Ezequiel Tovar has gone deep three times this season and is currently on a four-game hitting streak.

Rangers vs Rockies Prediction

Our predicted score for this one is a 5-4 win for the Rangers, which means you could play the money line at -166. However, we are actually going with the under, as we see the line sitting at 10.5 runs, and we have this one finishing with a combined nine runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Andrew Heaney finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection for any starter in this game. As for Ryan Feltner, we have him finishing with five K’s, and we have his chances of picking up a win at seventh best among today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.