Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Texas Rangers vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 5/25/2024

The Texas Rangers (24-28) travel to face off against the Minnesota Twins (27-23) on Saturday, May 25th. This game will be played at Target Field in Minneapolis and televised on BSN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 2:10 ET.

Rangers vs Twins

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Rangers series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -161 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored two runs in the 2nd inning, and the Rangers could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th, and both offenses went silent after that.

Jose Urena got the start for the Rangers, going just five innings while giving up three runs and took the loss. Bailey Ober put together a good outing for the Twins, getting the win after going five innings and giving up two earned runs.

Alex Kirilloff and Christian Vazquez each had two hits and an RBI for the Twins’ offense. Jose Miranda also had a two-hit game and scored a run. As for the Rangers, Corey Seager hit the game’s only home run and drove in two runs.

Texas is 24-28 overall this season, and they are 3rd in the AL West, three games behind the Mariners for the division lead. The Rangers have lost five straight games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Twins. So far, they are 7-8-1 in series this year.

At home, the Rangers are 12-13 this year and 12-15 on the road. Texas has really struggled as of late, going just 2-8 over their last 10 games. As the underdog, the Rangers have dropped five straight, and they are 15-15 as the favorite this year.

The Rangers are 20-32 against the run line this season, including an 11-16 mark on the road. Their average run margin is -0.2 runs per game, and they have a scoring margin of -0.6 runs per game on the road. They are 11-11 against the run line as an underdog this season.

When the Texas Rangers hit the road to face the Minnesota Twins, the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, which is lower than their season average of 9.0 runs per game. The Rangers have gone over the line in 5 of 16 games when the line is set at 8.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 21-30.

Michael Lorenzen Gets The Start For The Rangers

Michael Lorenzen is looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Angels, where he took the loss. In that start, he gave up two earned runs in 6 1/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Lorenzen has made seven starts and has a record of 2-3. His ERA for the season is 3.61, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Opposing batters are hitting .207 off the right-hander this season. Lorenzen has made four quality starts this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.02 strikeouts and 4.46 walks.

Rangers Offense Breakdown

Adolis Garcia is the Rangers’ top power threat this season, as he comes into the game with 12 homers, which is 6th best in the league. Garcia is also 9th in the MLB with 36 RBIs. However, he has just a .247 batting average this season and has gone 5/24 in his last six games. Corey Seager has gone 9/24 in his last seven games, including four homers, and is also 9th in the MLB with nine homers.

As a team, the Rangers are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 10th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Collectively, the Rangers are batting .243, which is 11th in the league.

Minnesota is 27-23 overall, and they have won three straight games, and they are 6.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. So far, they are 12-10 against other teams in the AL Central. The Twins took the first game of the series vs. the Rangers.

At home, the Twins are 12-11 this year, and they have gone 15-12 on the road. Minnesota has struggled in their last ten games, going just 3-7. As the favorite, the Twins are 22-11 this year, and they are 5-12 as the underdog. So far, their overall series record is 8-6-2.

Minnesota is 24-26 against the run line this season, including a 9-14 mark at home. The Twins have an average run differential of +0.1 runs per game overall, but that number dips to -0.1 runs per game at home. They are 16-17 against the run line as the favorite and 8-9 as the underdog. Minnesota’s average run differential in wins is +3.7 runs per game, while it’s -4.0 runs per game in losses.

The Minnesota Twins are at home today against the Texas Rangers, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The Twins have an over/under record of 23-26 on the season, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone under 3 times and over 10 times. Overall, 62.0% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run line. The under has hit in their last two games.

Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today and comes into the game with a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 4.47. So far this year, he has made three quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Paddack’s last outing came against the Guardians, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in eight innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.91 compared to 7.28 on the road.

Twins Offense Breakdown

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Carlos Correa has been swinging a hot bat of late for the Twins, going 9/32 in his last nine games, with two homers and three RBIs. Jose Miranda and Byron Buxton have also gone deep twice in their last eight and six games, respectively. Miranda has gone 8/25 in that stretch, while Buxton is hitting just .238.

Minnesota’s top power threat is Ryan Jeffers, who is 8th in the league with 10 homers and is 13th in the MLB with 32 RBIs. Jeffers is batting .253 for the season. Willi Castro and Edouard Julien have also been solid run producers, with 16 and 4 homers, respectively.

Rangers vs Twins Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Rangers vs. Twins matchup is to take the Twins on the money line at -128. We actually have the Twins winning this one by a score of 6-5, which would make the over a good pick as well, as the line is sitting at 8.5 runs.

If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to pair the Twins with a player prop. Looking at the starters, Chris Paddack is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is fourth-best among all starters today. As for Michael Lorenzen, he is projected to finish with four strikeouts, which is fifth-worst among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.