The Texas Rangers (51-54) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (48-56) on Sunday, July 28th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on BSSW. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rangers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 12:37 CT.
Rangers vs. Blue Jays Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Blue Jays (-107)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Blue Jays have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- In their last 15 games, the Blue Jays have scored 5 or more runs in 8 games.
- The Blue Jays have a 2-game winning streak against the Rangers in their most recent series.
- The Blue Jays have a higher home win percentage (.472) compared to the Rangers’ away win percentage (.415).
- The Blue Jays have outscored the Rangers 13-8 in their last two head-to-head games.
Rangers vs Blue Jays
Toronto cruised to a 7-3 win over the Rangers in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 1st inning, scoring four of their seven runs. As for the Rangers, they scored their first run in the 3rd and added their final two runs in the 5th.
Kevin Gausman pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going nine innings and giving up just three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts and didn’t issue a walk. On the other side, Michael Lorenzen only went two-thirds of an inning for the Rangers, giving up four earned runs on five hits.
Daulton Varsho and Alejandro Kirk each had three hits and combined to score five runs for the Blue Jays. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. also had a three-hit game and drove in three runs.
As the favorite, the Rangers are 33-23 this season, but they are 18-31 as the underdog. Texas is 29-23 at home, but on the road, they have struggled with a 22-31 record. Overall, the Rangers are 51-54 and trail the Astros by 4.5 games in the AL West.
On the run line, the Rangers have a 26-23 record as the underdog, and their overall run line record is 46-59 with an average run margin of 0.0 runs per game. This season, the over/under record for Texas is 43-58, and their games have averaged 8 runs per game. The over has hit in two straight games for the Rangers.
Jon Gray Gets The Start For The Rangers
Texas will be starting right-hander Jon Gray today vs. the Blue Jays. Gray has made 17 starts this season and has a record of 5-4 with a 3.73 ERA. In his 20 appearances, he has turned in seven quality starts and is averaging 7.47 strikeouts per nine innings. Gray’s most recent outing was a great one, as he went 7 2/3 innings vs. the White Sox, giving up just one earned run and picking up the win. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Gray has been much better at home this year, coming in with a 4.34 ERA compared to 4.0 on the road.
Rangers Offense Breakdown
For the season, the Rangers are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 17th in the league. They have been a little better on the road, averaging 4.4 runs per game. As a team, the Rangers are batting .239, which is 12th in the league, and are 15th in home runs. Texas has been striking out just 7 times per game, which is 7th best in the MLB.
Marcus Semien has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 9/28 in his last seven games, including two homers. For the season, he is batting .246 with 15 homers. Adolis Garcia and Corey Seager are the team’s top two home run hitters, but Garcia is batting just .213, and Seager is hitting .272.
When playing as underdogs, the Blue Jays have a 15-32 run line record, while they are 33-24 as favorites. Overall, their run line record is 49-55. Toronto’s games have gone over the total 55 times this season, with 46 unders. The over has hit 16 times in games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, compared to 18 unders.
Toronto is currently in 5th place in the AL East, 13 games behind the Orioles. They have an overall record of 48-56 and have won two straight games. The Blue Jays’ series record this season is 11-16-6, and they have lost three straight series. In their 49 wins, their average run differential is +3.1, while it’s -4.0 in their 55 losses.
José Berríos Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
José Berríos will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gets the start for the Blue Jays today. Against the Rays, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Looking at his overall numbers, Berríos has made 21 starts and has a record of 8-8. His ERA for the season is 4.08, along with a WHIP of 1.21. Berríos has turned in 12 quality starts this year and has a complete game to his credit. Per nine innings, he is averaging 6.7 strikeouts and 2.84 walks.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 4.1 runs per game (25th) and are also near the bottom of the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .238, which is 13th in the majors right now. However, their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage are both just outside the top 10 in the league.
Over his last eight games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been on fire, going 13/28 with four homers and seven RBIs. This has pushed his season batting average up to .301, and he is also 13th in the league with 62 RBIs. Guerrero Jr. is also on a nine-game hitting streak. George Springer is 2nd on the team with 13 homers, but he is batting just .227 for the season.
Rangers vs Blue Jays Prediction
With the Blue Jays at home and starting pitcher José Berríos on the mound, we see them picking up a win in this one. The money line for the Blue Jays is sitting at -107, and we have them winning by a final score of 5-4.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Berríos finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for sixth worst among today’s starters. As for Jon Gray, he is predicted to finish with five K’s, which would have him ranked 17th for today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 28, 2024 Blue Jays, Rangers