Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 10/5/2024

The Detroit Tigers (86-76) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Saturday, October 5th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on TBS. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Astros. First pitch is set for 12:08 CT.

Tigers vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Tigers (+128)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Under 7 Runs
  • The Tigers have won 10 out of their last 15 games, showcasing strong recent form.
  • Detroit has a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, indicating a positive trend in performance.
  • The Tigers have scored an average of 4.8 runs per game in their last 15 games, demonstrating consistent offensive production.
  • Detroit has a 6-1 record in their last 7 road games, showing their ability to perform well away from home.
  • The Tigers have won 3 out of their last 4 games against the Guardians, indicating recent head-to-head success.

Tigers vs Guardians

detroit tigers nba

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

The Tigers pulled off a big upset to close out their series vs. the Astros, picking up a 5-2 win. Detroit was the +155 underdog going into this matchup. Offensively, the Tigers scored their five runs on only seven hits and didnjson’t hit a home run.

Tyler Holton got the start for the Tigers, going just one inning. He took the loss in his last outing, giving up three runs. Detroit’s offense scored their first run in the 6th inning and added another four in the 8th. Parker Meadows went only 1/5 but had a big game-tying homer in the 8th. The Tigers also scored an insurance run in the 8th to close things out.

As the Tigers prepare to face the Guardians in Cleveland for game one of their AL Divisional Round series, they’ll look to snap a two-game losing streak. Detroit finished the regular season with a 43-38 record both at home and on the road. As underdogs, they went 48-50 this year, while posting a 40-26 mark as favorites.

Detroit’s run line record for the season is 88-76, with a 53-30 mark on the road. They’ve covered the run line in four straight road games. As underdogs, their run line record is 64-34. The under has hit in two consecutive games for the Tigers, and their overall over/under record is 78-81. Today’s line of seven runs is below their season average of 8.1.

Tyler Holton Gets The Start For The Tigers

Tyler Holton gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Guardians on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and 68 appearances. Holton’s record for the season is 7-2, and he comes in with an ERA of 2.19. Looking at his numbers, Holton has a WHIP of 0.78 and has allowed a total of seven home runs. Per nine innings, he is averaging 7.35 strikeouts and just 1.62 walks. Holton has been much better on the road, with an ERA of 1.82 compared to 7.0 at home.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 19th in the league. This is also the 19th ranked home run hitting team in the league. Detroit’s team batting average of .234 is 15th in the league and they are also 22nd in the league in strikeouts. The Tigers’ team on-base percentage of .300 is 21st in the league.

Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as his 24 homers are the most on the team. He is also batting .262 and has driven in 74 runs. Detroit’s top batting average belongs to Kerry Carpenter (.284), but he has struggled of late, going just 2/13 in his last four games.

The Guardians Took The Last Game Of This Series

The Guardians will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Astros with a 4-3 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Astros scored three runs in the top of the 9th. Cleveland was the -151 favorite at home going into the game.

Ben Lively had a rough outing, giving up two earned runs on four hits and issuing four walks. The Guardians also wasted a big game from José Ramírez, who homered in the 1st inning, going 2/3.

As the Guardians prepare to host the Tigers in the AL Divisional Round, they’ll look to snap a two-game losing streak. Cleveland finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, going 50-30 at home and 42-39 on the road. As favorites, they posted a 64-36 mark, while going 28-33 as underdogs.

On the run line, Cleveland went 82-79 this season, with a 39-41 record at home. They’ve dropped their last two home games against the run line. The under has hit in their last five games, and their overall over/under record is 68-82. Today’s line of seven runs is below their season average of 8.3 runs.

Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is starting right-hander Tanner Bibee today vs. the Tigers. He has made 31 starts this year and has a record of 12-8 with a 3.47 ERA. Bibee’s WHIP for the season is 1.12, and he has turned in 12 quality starts. In his last outing, Bibee picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up just one earned run. Before that, he had taken the loss in three straight outings. The right-hander has been much better at home, coming in with a record of 5-4 and 4.56 ERA compared to 7-4 with a 2.84 ERA on the road.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

cleveland guardians

Jose Ramirez comes into today’s game as the Guardians’ top hitter, with a batting average of .279 and a league-leading 118 RBIs. He also has 39 home runs, which is 5th best in the MLB. Ramirez has been even better of late, going 7/18 in his last five games, with two homers and six RBIs. Josh Naylor is also a power threat in the lineup, as he is 2nd on the team with 31 homers and is 6th in the league with 108 RBIs.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are one of the better home run hitting teams in the league. So far, they have been a good home offense, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the MLB.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

Our predictions for this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Tigers on the money line, with the payout sitting at +128. We actually have the Tigers winning this one by a score of 3-2, giving us a little bit of wiggle room with the over/under line, which is currently at 7 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Tyler Holton is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and we have Tanner Bibee ending the game with six. Bibee does have the better chance of finishing the game with a win, but we still like the Tigers to come out on top.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.