Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 5/6/2024

The Detroit Tigers (18-16) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (22-12) on Monday, May 6th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Tigers are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Tigers vs Guardians

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The Tigers will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Yankees with a 5-2 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 7th inning before the Yankees scored three runs in the bottom of the 7th. Detroit was the +111 underdog going into this road game.

Tarik Skubal was excellent for the Tigers, going six innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out 12 Yankees. However, the Tigers couldnjson’t close things out, and Shelby Miller took the loss out of the bullpen. The Tigers also wasted a big game from Spencer Torkelson, who went 2/3 with two doubles and a run scored.

Detroit is 18-16 overall this season, and they are four games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have been good against other teams in the AL Central, putting up a record of 9-4. The Tigers have dropped three straight games, and this came at the end of their series vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Tigers are 8-9 this year and have gone 10-7 on the road. Detroit has dropped four straight games on the road. So far, they have been the favorite in 16 games, going 9-7, and they are 9-9 as the underdog. The Tigers’ overall series record is 6-3-2.

When betting the run line on the Detroit Tigers this season, it’s been a good idea to take them on the road. They are 10-7 against the run line away from home, compared to just 5-12 at home. Their run line record as an underdog is 12-6, while they are just 3-13 against the run line as the favorite. The Tigers’ average run differential in their wins is +2.7, while it’s -2.8 in their losses.

The Detroit Tigers have seen their last two games go over the total, and they have gone over the total in five of their last seven games. The Tigers’ games have averaged 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 15-17 on the year. Today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the Tigers have gone over the total in five of their 11 games when the line has been set at 7.5 runs this season.

Jack Flaherty Gets The Start For The Tigers

Jack Flaherty has made six starts for the Tigers this season and has yet to pick up a win, coming in with a record of 0-1 and ERA of 4.00. He has turned in four quality starts and is coming off an outing in which he didn’t allow a run. Against the Cardinals on April 30th, Flaherty went 6 2/3 innings, giving up just two hits and one walk while striking out 14 batters. Flaherty has allowed a total of five home runs this season. Per nine innings, he is averaging just 1.25 walks compared to 12.5 strikeouts.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Over the Tigers’ last 10 games, Riley Greene has been swinging a hot bat, going 12/38 (.316) with three homers. He has also driven in five runs over that stretch. Greene is batting .269 for the season and has a team-high 16 RBIs. Mark Canha is also swinging a good bat right now, as he is batting .254 for the season and has gone deep five times, which is 2nd on the team and 6th in the league.

As a team, the Tigers are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, and they are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories. This includes a team batting average of .224 and an OPS of just .656. Collectively, they have the 16th most home runs in the league.

The Guardians’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with a 4-1 win. After allowing one run to the Angels in the top of the 2nd, the Guardians responded with two runs of their own. Cleveland went on to add another two runs in the 6th inning.

Carlos Carrasco put together a good start for the Guardians, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Cleveland’s offense was carried by Josh Naylor, who went 2/4 with a homer and two RBIs.

Cleveland will host the Tigers today with an overall record of 22-12, good or 1st place in the AL Central. They currently lead the Twins by 2.5 games and have gone 4-1 in divisional games. The Guardians have won two straight games, and they have gone 5-5 across their last 10.

At home, the Guardians are 10-5 this year and have gone 12-7 on the road. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 10-3 this year. As the favorite, the Guardians are 13-6, and they are 9-6 when listed as the underdog. Cleveland won their last two games vs. the Angels and have an overall series record of 8-3 this year.

The Cleveland Guardians have been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 23-11 overall. They have been especially good at home, where they are 10-5 vs. the run line. Their average run margin for the season is +1.3 runs per game, and they have a +0.8 run differential in home games. As the underdog, they are 12-3 vs. the run line.

When the Cleveland Guardians play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in seven of their eight games with that line. The Guardians’ games have averaged 8.6 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 18-14. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs.

Triston McKenzie Gets The Start For The Guardians

Triston McKenzie will be looking to build off his last outing, where he faced the Astros and finished with a no-decision. In that start, he went seven innings, giving up two earned runs on five hits. Looking back over his last three outings, McKenzie has finished with a no-decision in each one. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 2-2 with an ERA of 4.34. Opponents are batting .227 this season off McKenzie, and his WHIP is 1.48. So far, he has made one quality start this year.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Josh Naylor is 3rd in the league with 8 home runs this season and is also 2nd on the team with 26 RBIs. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .174 over his last six games. Jose Ramirez is 5th in the league in RBIs (27) and has six homers, but is batting just .230 for the season.

As a team, the Guardians are 7th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .242, which is 11th in the league.

Tigers vs Guardians Prediction

The best bet we see for this Tigers vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -119. We actually have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5, so there isn’t a ton of value in taking the over or under at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Jack Flaherty finishing with the fifth-fewest strikeouts among starters, so we would recommend staying away from his strikeout prop. As for Triston McKenzie, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.