The Detroit Tigers (79-73) travel to face off against the Kansas City Royals (82-70) on Wednesday, September 18th. This game will be played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City and televised on BSDET. The Tigers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Royals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tigers. First pitch is set for 6:40 CT.
Tigers vs. Royals Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Royals (+126)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Royals have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Royals have won 5 of their last 7 home games.
- The Royals have a head-to-head advantage, winning 4 of their last 5 games against the Tigers.
- The Royals have a higher home win percentage (45-32) compared to the Tigers’ away win percentage (40-37).
- The Royals have outscored the Tigers 28-21 in their last 5 head-to-head games.
Tigers vs Royals
Detroit rallied for two runs in the 10th inning in the most recent game of this Tigers vs. Royals series. The Tigers scored one run in the 1st inning but didn’t score another run until putting up two in the top of the 10th, picking up a 3-1 win. Heading into the game, the Tigers were at +138 on the money line.
Casey Mize started for the Tigers, going just 4 1/3 innings while giving up one run and striking out three. Tyler Holton got the win out of the bullpen, and Jason Foley got the save. Cole Ragans put together a good outing for the Royals, giving up one run in seven innings of work.
Parker Meadows was the difference for the Tigers, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Kansas City’s only run came in the 3rd inning.
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers have won three straight games and are 79-73 overall, sitting in 4th place in the AL Central, 8 games behind the Guardians. They have won the first two games of this series against the Royals and have a 23-19-5 series record this season.
On the road, Detroit has a 40-37 record and a 48-29 run line record. As underdogs, they are 60-33 vs. the run line, compared to 21-38 as favorites. The over/under line for today’s game is 7.5 runs, lower than their season average of 8.2 runs per game. In games with a total of 7.5 runs, the Tigers are 21-18, and 62.5% of their games have had higher totals than today’s line.
Tarik Skubal Gets The Start For The Tigers
Tarik Skubal gets the start for the Tigers today as he faces the Royals on the road. This year, he has made 29 starts and has a record of 16-4 with an ERA of 2.50. Skubal’s WHIP for the season is .94, and he has turned in 21 quality starts. Skubal’s ERA at home is 2.15, compared to 3.19 on the road. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The last time he lost was on August 17th.
Tigers Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Tigers are 19th in the league in scoring at 4.2 runs per game. This is just a tick below their season average of 4.4 runs per game on the road. As a team, they are batting .235, which is 16th in the league, and have an on-base percentage of just .299, which is 20th in the MLB.
Riley Greene has been the Tigers’ top power threat this season, as he has 23 homers, which is the best mark in the league. Greene also leads the team with 70 RBIs. However, he is just 5/23 in his last six games. Colt Keith is on a four-game hitting streak and is batting .264 for the season with 13 homers.
As the underdog, the Royals have a 15-13 record at home and an overall series record of 21-24-2. They are 35-42 straight-up as underdogs this season. Kansas City is five games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, having lost three straight games and the first two games of their series vs. the Tigers.
This season, the Royals have an 85-67 run line record, including a 43-34 mark at home. The under has been a strong play when the total is set at 7.5 runs, hitting in 14 of 18 games. Overall, 82.9% of their games have had totals higher than 7.5 runs.
Alec Marsh Gets The Start For The Royals
Right-hander Alec Marsh gets the start for the Royals today as he faces the Tigers at home. So far this season, he has made 23 starts and five of them have been quality starts. Marsh’s record for the season is 8-8, and he comes in with an ERA of 4.53 and WHIP of 1.23. In his last outing, he picked up the win, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up just one earned run on 11 strikeouts. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Marsh has allowed a total of 17 home runs this season.
Royals Offense Breakdown
The Royals come into the game as one of the league’s top offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up an average of 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the 6th best hitting team in the league, with a team batting average of .253. Kansas City has done a good job of putting the ball in play this season, as they have the league’s 2nd fewest strikeouts.
Bobby Witt Jr. has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 32 homers are 10th in the league, and he is also 4th in the league in RBIs. He has gone just 8/32 over his last eight games, but he does have two homers over that stretch. Salvador Perez has also homered twice in his last eight games, while going 11/30 (.367). Perez is batting .275 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 27 homers.
Tigers vs Royals Prediction
Our recommended bet for this Tigers vs. Royals matchup is to take the Royals on the money line at +126. We have the Royals winning this game by a score of 6-4. If you are looking for a parlay, the over/under is sitting at 7.5 runs, and we would take the over.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Alec Marsh is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he ranks seventh in terms of starting pitchers. As for Tarik Skubal, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of the pack.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 18, 2024 Royals, Tigers