The Toronto Blue Jays (35-43) travel to face off against the Boston Red Sox (43-36) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Fenway Park in Boston and televised on SNET. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:10 CT.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox
Boston picked up a 7-6 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Red Sox had a huge 8th inning, scoring four of their seven runs and picking up a 7-5 lead. As for the Blue Jays, they scored one run in the 4th inning and added their final run in the 9th.
Tanner Houck started for the Red Sox and went just 2/3 of an inning while giving up two runs and striking out seven. Kenley Jansen got the win out of the bullpen, and Zach Pop took the loss for the Blue Jays.
Rafael Devers and David Hamilton each homered for the Red Sox, while Jarren Duran scored twice and drove in a run while going 3/5. Masataka Yoshida also had a two-hit game at the plate.
With a record of 35-43, the Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 16 games. Toronto has lost seven straight games, and they dropped the first game of this series vs. the Red Sox. So far, they are 9-14 in AL East matchups this year.
At home, the Blue Jays are 18-19, and they are 17-24 on the road. As the favorite, Toronto is 29-20 this year, and they are just 6-23 as the underdog. Looking at their overall series record, the Blue Jays are 9-12-4 and have dropped two straight series.
When it comes to betting the run line, the Blue Jays have been a better bet on the road this season, going 23-18 compared to 13-24 at home. Their average run margin on the road is -0.5, slightly better than their overall average run margin of -0.7. They have covered the run line in their last two road games and have a run line record of 36-42 overall.
Today, the Toronto Blue Jays are on the road to face the Boston Red Sox, with the Over/Under line set at 9 runs. The Blue Jays have a combined run average of 8.4 runs per game, and their Over/Under record for the season is 34-41. Their games have averaged 8 runs per game this season, and when the line has been set at 9 runs, their record is 2-3-2. So far this season, only 1.3% of their games have had an Over/Under line set at 9 runs or higher, and the majority of their games (89.7%) have had lower lines. The Over has hit in their last two games.
Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Right-hander Kevin Gausman gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Red Sox on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-6 with an ERA of 4.24. Gausman’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.29. In his last outing, he gave up four earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work, taking the loss. Before that, he had pitched at least six innings in three straight starts. Gausman has one complete game shutout this year. Opponents are batting .256 off Gausman this season.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Blue Jays offense is averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is the worst in the league. As a team, they are batting just .233, and their team on-base percentage of .309 is also below the league average. However, they do have two players who are in the top 15 in the league in home runs, with Daulton Varsho and Davis Schneider both having 10 homers this season.
Over his last five games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has gone 8/22 with three home runs and six RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .286 with a team-high 36 RBIs. Isiah Kiner-Falefa comes into the game with a nine-game hitting streak.
Boston is hosting the Blue Jays today with an overall record of 43-36, and they are 8.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Red Sox are 3rd in the division and have gone 11-9 in other AL East games this year. The Red Sox have won three straight games, and they are 8-2 across their last 10.
At home, the Red Sox are 19-20 this year and 24-16 on the road. Boston has won three straight games at home, and they have an overall series record of 12-9-4 this year. The Red Sox have won four straight series overall and two straight series on the road.
When it comes to the run line, the Red Sox have been a better bet on the road this season, going 23-17 compared to 14-25 at home. Their average run differential is +0.6 on the season, but it’s been slightly negative at home (-0.1) and positive on the road (+1.4). They’ve been a better bet as the underdog, going 25-17 compared to 12-25 as the favorite. The Red Sox have won five straight run line bets as the underdog.
After a 7-2 win over the Blue Jays on Tuesday, the Red Sox have now gone over the total in two straight games. Boston’s over/under record for the season is 36-38, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.7. When the O/U line is set at 9 runs, their record is 5-2-2, and overall, the Red Sox have played just 15.2% of their games with a line set at 9 runs or higher.
Brayan Bello Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Brayan Bello will be looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win vs. the Blue Jays. In that June 19th start, he went six innings, giving up two earned runs on six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Bello has made 13 starts and has a record of 7-4. His ERA for the season is 4.83, along with a WHIP of 1.41. Opposing batters are hitting .254 off the right-hander this season. Bello has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.09 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is giving up 3.39 walks per nine innings.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
The Red Sox offense has been very good this season, as they are 9th in scoring at 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Boston comes into the game with a team batting average of .255, which is the 4th best mark in the league. They also have the league’s top BABIP at .32.
Both Tyler O’Neill and Rafael Devers come into the game with 15 home runs, which is the best mark on the team and the 10th best in the league. Devers also leads the Red Sox with 41 RBIs, while O’Neill is 4th on the team with 26 RBIs. O’Neill is on a three-game hitting streak and went 10/35 in his last nine games. Jarren Duran is also swinging a hot bat, going 19/45 in his last 10 games.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction
Our prediction for this Blue Jays vs. Red Sox matchup is to take the Red Sox on the money line at -117. We actually have the Red Sox winning this one by a score of 6-5, so you could also look to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 9 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Brayan Bello finishing with five strikeouts compared to Kevin Gausman, who we have finishing with six. At the plate, our projections have the Blue Jays finishing with more hits than the Red Sox, but we have the Red Sox hitting more home runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 28, 2024 Blue Jays, Red Sox