The Minnesota Twins (43-35) travel to face off against the Arizona Diamondbacks (38-40) on Tuesday, June 25th. This game will be played at Chase Field in Phoenix and televised on MLBN. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Diamondbacks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 8:40 CT.
Twins vs Diamondbacks
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, closing out their series with a 3-0 win. After allowing one run to the Athletics in the top of the first, the Twins responded with a run of their own. Minnesota went on to add another two runs in the 2nd inning.
Starting for the Twins was Pablo Lopez, who picked up the win while tossing eight scoreless innings. He also finished with 14 K’s and issued just one walk. Byron Buxton went 2/3 with a homer and two RBIs.
Minnesota will be on the road today vs. the Diamondbacks, and they are eight games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. The Twins are 43-35 overall, and they have won two straight games, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games. This year, they are 15-11 against other AL Central teams.
As the favorite, the Twins have gone 34-19 this year and 9-16 as the underdog. At home, they are 23-16 compared to 20-19 on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 14-9-2, and they won their most recent series vs. the Athletics.
The Twins have been a solid run line play on the road this season, going 20-19. They have covered the run line in two straight games and are 35-43 overall. They have a run line record of 23-30 as the favorite and 12-13 as the underdog. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.5, while it drops to -3.6 in losses.
The Minnesota Twins are on the road against the Arizona Diamondbacks today. Their combined run average for the season is 9.1, and their over/under record is 36-40. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 5-11-2. So far this season, 42.3% of their games have had over/under lines set at more than 8 runs.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Joe Ryan is starting for the Twins today as he faces off against the Diamondbacks on the road. He has made 15 starts this year and has a record of 5-5 with a 3.13 ERA. Opposing batters have hit .208 off Ryan this year, and he has turned in 11 quality starts. In his last outing, Ryan finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The most runs he has allowed in a start this year is five.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana and Ryan Jeffers are tied for the team lead in home runs, with both players having gone deep 12 times so far this season. Santana also leads the Twins with 38 RBIs, while Jeffers is 6th on the team with 24 RBIs. Royce Lewis has been a great surprise for the Twins, as he is batting .348 for the season and is 2nd on the team with 10 homers.
Over his last six games, Royce Lewis has three home runs and is batting .280. Willi Castro has also been swinging a hot bat, going 9/24 in his last six games with a homer and six RBIs. Castro is also on a seven-game hitting streak.
The Diamondbacks will be looking to get back on track after closing out their series vs. the Phillies with a 4-1 loss. This was especially tough, as they held a lead going into the 9th inning before the Phillies scored three runs in the bottom of the 9th. Arizona was the +197 underdog going into this road game.
Slade Cecconi got the start for the Diamondbacks and took the loss. He only lasted three innings, giving up one earned run, and Arizona’s bullpen couldn’t close things out. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. was hot at the plate, going 2/4 with a run scored.
Arizona is 38-40 overall and trails the Dodgers by 10 games in the NL West. The Diamondbacks are also 3rd in the division, two games behind the Padres for 2nd place. Arizona lost the final two games of their series vs. the Phillies and are 6-4 across their last 10 games.
At home, the Diamondbacks are 19-18 this season and 19-22 on the road. As the underdog, Arizona is 18-24 this year and 20-16 when favored. So far, their record as the home underdog is 3-7. Arizona’s overall series record is 10-12-3 this season.
Arizona has been a tough team to predict on the run line this season, as they are just 37-41 overall. They have been slightly better on the road, going 21-20, compared to 16-21 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 23-19, compared to 14-22 as the favorite. Their average run margin is -0.1 runs per game, and they have lost two in a row against the run line.
The Diamondbacks have played to an over/under record of 37-39 this season, and their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, they’ve gone 7-2-1, and their games have had an average line of 9 runs. Overall, 71.8% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 8 runs.
Brandon Pfaadt Gets The Start For The Diamondbacks
Arizona is sending Brandon Pfaadt to the mound today vs. the Twins. He has made 15 starts this season and has a record of 3-6 with an ERA of 4.37. Pfaadt’s WHIP for the season is 1.18, and he has turned in eight quality starts. In his last outing, Pfaadt took the loss, going 6 1/3 innings vs. the Nationals. He gave up three earned runs in the outing. Before that, he had won two straight starts. One of the concerning stats for Pfaadt is that he has allowed 11 homers at home compared to just five on the road.
Diamondbacks Offense Breakdown
Arizona comes into today’s game with the 7th best scoring offense in the league at 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .251, which is the 6th best mark in the league. The Diamondbacks have been very good at not striking out too much, and they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage and slugging.
Christian Walker and Ketel Marte have been the team’s top power threats this season, with Walker leading the team with 17 homers and Marte right behind him with 15. Walker is also the team’s top run producer, with 50 RBIs, which is 9th best in the league. However, Walker has struggled a bit of late, going just 4/20 in his last five games.
Twins vs Diamondbacks Prediction
With the Diamondbacks at home and a money line of +105, that is the direction we would recommend going for this Twins vs. Diamondbacks matchup. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Diamondbacks.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Brandon Pfaadt is projected to finish with five strikeouts compared to Joe Ryan with five as well. However, we have Pfaadt finishing with a better chance to pick up the win and have him finishing with a better ERA than Ryan.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:June 28, 2024 Diamondbacks, Twins