Twins vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Twins vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 4/16/2024

The Minnesota Twins (6-9) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (10-6) on Tuesday, April 16th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.

Twins vs Orioles

minnesota twins nba

Baltimore picked up a 7-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a two-run lead after the first inning and added three more runs in the 5th. As for the Twins, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added three more in the 7th.

Cole Irvin only went 4 2/3 innings for the Orioles but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Louie Varland struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up four runs in five innings of work.

Ryan O’Hearn and Gunnar Henderson each homered for the Orioles, while Jordan Westburg scored three times and drove in two runs while going 3/4. Ryan Mountcastle also had a two-hit game and drove in a run.

As the Twins are on the road today vs. the Orioles, they are looking to get back to .500, as they are currently 6-9. In the AL Central, they are 4.5 games behind the Guardians and are in 4th place. The Twins head into today’s game on a two-game losing streak.

So far, the Twins have been just below average on the road, with a 5-5 record. At home, they have gone just 1-4. Minnesota is still looking to win their first series as road underdogs this season, as they are 0-4 so far.

Minnesota is 8-7 against the run line this season, with a -0.7 run differential. They have been a better bet on the road, going 7-3 against the run line. They are 5-3 against the run line as the favorite and 3-4 as the underdog. Their average run differential in wins is +3.5, while it’s -3.4 in losses.

The Minnesota Twins and Baltimore Orioles combined for 11 runs in yesterday’s game, going over the 9.0 run total. The Twins have had a combined run average of 7.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 6-9. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8.5 runs is 1-5. So far this season, 40% of their games have had lower over/under lines than today’s 8.5-run total.

Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins

Chris Paddack and the Twins are on the road to take on the Orioles today. Paddack has made 2 starts so far this season, with his most recent outing coming at home against the Dodgers. In that game, he went 4 2/3 innings, giving up 2 earned runs and 6 hits.

Twins Offense Breakdown

For the Twins, we have Alex Kirilloff as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits, with his total hits projection being 26th best in the league today. Matt Wallner has the top home run projection on the team and the 9th best in the league today. Byron Buxton has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and 11th best in the league today. Edouard Julien is 2nd in terms of total hits and home run projections on the team.

With an overall record of 10-6, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games. The Orioles head into today’s game on a two-game winning streak, closing out their series with the Brewers with a win and picking up a win over the Twins in the series opener.

Looking at their series record, the Orioles are 3-2 this season. When favored to win, they have gone 9-5, and they are 1-1 as the underdog this season. At home, they are 6-4 and 4-2 on the road.

The Orioles are 9-7 against the run line this season, and they have covered in their last two games. They are 5-5 at home against the run line and 4-2 on the road. They are 8-6 against the run line as the favorite and 1-1 as the underdog. Their average run differential is +1.1 runs per game this season.

The Baltimore Orioles have been on a six-game over streak, and their games have averaged 10.1 runs per game this season. They have gone over the over/under line in 10 of their 14 games this season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over the line in 6 of 9 games. Today’s over/under line is set at 8.5 runs.

Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles

Grayson Rodriguez is getting the start for the Orioles today, as they take on the Twins at home. He has been solid in his first two starts of the season, picking up a win in his last outing against the Pirates. Rodriguez has 21 strikeouts in 17 innings of work so far this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

When looking at the Orioles’ player props for today’s game, we see that Anthony Santander is not only projected to have the most hits on the team, but he also has the best odds to hit a home run for the Orioles. His home run projection is 9th best in the league today. Gunnar Henderson is also a player to watch, as his home run projection is 11th best in the league today.

 

Twins vs Orioles Prediction

 

We see the Orioles taking this one by a score of 6-5, giving us a lot of room to take the over at 8.5 runs. Our predicted score has the teams combining for 11 runs, and with the payout being -106, this is a great value bet.

Looking at the starters, we have Grayson Rodriguez finishing with six strikeouts compared to Chris Paddack with five. However, we have Rodriguez finishing with a better chance of picking up the win, but we still like the Orioles to get the win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.