The Minnesota Twins (14-13) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (6-22) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.
Twins vs White Sox
The Twins’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Angels, closing out their series with an 11-5 win. After scoring just one run in the 1st inning, the Twins really broke things open with a four-run 2nd. Minnesota’s lineup added another four runs in the 5th inning.
Pablo Lopez got the start for the Twins, going five innings and giving up four earned runs on four hits. He also issued three walks and hit a batter. Jose Miranda was hot at the plate, going 3/5 with two doubles, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Twins also had three other players with three hits.
Minnesota’s seven-game winning streak has pushed them above .500 at 14-13 as they open their series on the road vs. the White Sox. In the AL Central, they are 4th and trail the Guardians by 4.5 games. So far, they have gone 9-7 in divisional matchups.
The Twins have been really good as the favorite this year, going 12-5, including 7-1 as the favorite at home. As for their record on the road, they are 8-7 and have won three straight as the road favorite. Minnesota’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have won two straight series.
Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line this season, going 14-13 overall. They have been especially good on the road, where they are 10-5 against the run line. Their average run margin is +0.3 runs per game, and they have won three straight against the run line on the road.
In the Twins’ last 10 games, the over has hit 7 times, with the combined run average in those games being 9.4. The over/under record for the season is 13-13, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over is 2-1. The Twins have played in 19 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 70.4% of their games. Their over streak is currently at 2 games.
Joe Ryan Gets The Start For The Twins
Joe Ryan will be making his 4th start of the season, and he has yet to pick up a win. He has gone 6 innings in each of his first 3 starts, and he is coming off a no-decision against the Tigers, where he struck out 12. He has 2 starts at home and 1 on the road, with his last outing coming against the White Sox, where he took the loss.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana and Willi Castro have been swinging the bat well for the Twins of late, with Santana batting .292 with three homers in his last six games, and Castro hitting .407 with a home run over the same stretch. Ryan Jeffers comes into the game on a seven-game hitting streak and is batting .305 for the season with five homers, which is 2nd on the team.
For the season, the Twins are averaging 4.6 runs per game and are one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 6th in home runs and have the league’s 4th best isolated power figure. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and are 9th in slugging percentage.
Gavin Sheets and the White Sox’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Rays, closing out their series with a 4-2 win. Sheets went 3/4 with two runs scored, and Andrew Benintendi was also 2/4 with two RBIs. The White Sox really broke things open with a two-run 4th inning and added another two runs in the 8th to close things out. Chicago was the +123 underdog at home going into the game.
Erick Fedde got the start for the White Sox, going 8 1/3 innings, and picked up the win. He was very efficient, throwing just 94 pitches, and only gave up two runs on seven hits. Fedde also issued just one walk and struck out nine Rays batters. Jordan Leasure came in to close things out in the 9th, and the White Sox got the win.
Chicago is hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 6-22, putting them 5th in the AL Central. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-15. The White Sox are 13 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. Chicago has won three straight games, with these wins coming in the final three games of their series vs. the Rays.
At home, the White Sox are 5-9 this year compared to only 1-13 on the road. So far, they have been the underdog in every game. Their overall series record is 1-7-1 this year.
Chicago has been a tough team to bet on this season, as they are 12-16 against the run line. They have been a much better bet at home, where they are 8-6 against the run line. They have covered the run line in four straight games at home and have covered the run line in three straight games as an underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +2.0, while their average run margin in losing games is -4.0.
When the White Sox play at home, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs 67.9% of the time. Overall, their games have averaged 8.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 13-14. The White Sox have played seven games with a 7.5 over/under line, and the over has hit in four of those games.
Garrett Crochet Gets The Start For The White Sox
Left-hander Garrett Crochet gets the start for the White Sox today as he faces the Twins at home. He has made six starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with a 6.37 ERA. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.18. The last time he pitched, Crochet gave up five earned runs in four innings of work, taking the loss. He has lost each of his last three outings. Crochet has given up at least two homers in three straight starts. Opponents are batting .235 off Crochet this season.
White Sox Offense Breakdown
After a rough start to the season, Eloy Jiménez has been swinging a hot bat of late, hitting .317 with three homers over his last 10 games. Jiménez is currently tied for the team lead with three homers, along with Paul DeJong and Gavin Sheets. DeJong and Sheets are also batting .215 and .269, respectively, for the White Sox.
As a team, the White Sox are last in the league in home runs and are batting just .207. Their team on-base percentage of .274 is also the worst in the league. Overall, they are averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is the worst mark in the league.
Twins vs White Sox Prediction
With the White Sox at +139 on the money line, we see this as a great value pick, as our models actually have them winning this one 6-5. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also take the White Sox straight up and the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Garrett Crochet finishing with more strikeouts than Joe Ryan, with our projections having Crochet finishing with five and Ryan with six.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
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Last updated:April 29, 2024 Twins, White Sox