Twins vs Chicago White Sox MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Twins vs Chicago White Sox Prediction 4/30/2024

The Minnesota Twins (15-13) travel to face off against the Chicago White Sox (6-23) on Tuesday, April 30th. This game will be played at Guaranteed Rate Field in Chicago and televised on NBCS. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 7:40 ET.

Twins vs White Sox

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs White Sox series. Minnesota went into the matchup as -171 favorites and squeaked out a 3-2 win. Both teams scored two runs in the first inning, and the White Sox could only muster one more run in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 9th, and the White Sox went down quietly in the bottom half of the inning.

Joe Ryan got the win for the Twins, going six innings and giving up just two earned runs. He finished the game with three strikeouts and allowed one home run. Garrett Crochet struggled on the mound for the White Sox, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work.

Carlos Santana was the difference for the Twins, as he homered twice, scored three times, and finished with two RBIs. Andrew Vaughn had a two-hit game for the White Sox.

Minnesota will be on the road today vs. the White Sox, and they come in having won eight straight games. In the AL Central, they are four games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have gone 10-7 in divisional games.

The Twins have an overall record of 15-13, and they have gone 13-5 as the favorite this year. As for their record as the underdog, it is just 2-8. At home, the Twins have gone 6-6 compared to 9-7 on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 3-4-2, and they have won two straight series.

Minnesota’s run line record is 14-14 on the season, but they have been much better on the road, going 10-6. They have an average run margin of +0.3 runs per game on the season, but that number jumps to +0.5 on the road. They have been a favorite in 18 games, going 10-8, while they are 4-6 as an underdog.

Minnesota’s over/under record on the season is 13-14, and the average combined run total in their games is 8.8. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and the Twins have played in four games this season with a higher line than that. Their over/under record in games with a line set at 8.5 runs is 1-7, and overall, 57.1% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs.

Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins

Simeon Woods Richardson will be on the mound for the Twins as they take on the White Sox. This will be his 2nd start of the season, and he picked up a win in his first outing, going 6 innings and giving up just 1 run. In that start, he struck out 5 batters and only allowed 2 hits. His last start was at home against the White Sox, and he went 5 innings, giving up 2 runs.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana has been swinging a hot bat for the Twins of late, going 7/25 in his last six games with four homers and 10 RBIs. Willi Castro has also been on a tear, going 12/27 in his last six games. Castro also has six RBIs during this stretch and is currently on a six-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are 7th in home runs and have the league’s 5th best isolated power figure.

The White Sox are 5-10 at home this year, and they are just 1-13 on the road. Chicago is 13.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-16. Overall, they are 6-23 this season.

Chicago has dropped seven of their last eight games and lost the first game of their series vs. the Twins. This year, the White Sox are 1-7-1 in series. So far, they have yet to win a game as the underdog, going 0-0. As for their record in day games, they are 2-11 and 4-12 in night games.

When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 2.0 runs per game, but when they lose, it’s by an average of 3.9 runs. They are 13-16 against the run line this year, including a 9-6 mark at home. They have covered the run line in five straight games at home and in four straight as the underdog.

The White Sox have gone under in two straight games, and their games have averaged 8.1 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 13-15, and the average over/under line in their games is 8.0 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, they are 3-5, and they have had seven games with higher lines than that this season.

Michael Soroka Gets The Start For The White Sox

Chicago is sending Michael Soroka to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he is looking to pick up his first win of the season. So far, Soroka is 0-3 with a 6.83 ERA. In his six starts, he has made just one quality start and is averaging 4.03 strikeouts per nine innings. Soroka has had a tough time with the long ball, as he has given up seven homers and is coming off an outing in which he gave up two homers. The right-hander has allowed at least one homer in four straight outings.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

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Chicago’s offense has been the worst in the league so far, averaging just 2.7 runs per game. They have been even worse at home, averaging 2.9 runs per contest. The White Sox are also at the bottom of the league in terms of on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS. As a team, they are batting just .208.

Andrew Benintendi has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/18 in his last five games with two home runs and eight RBIs. This has helped him take over the team lead in RBIs. Benintendi’s four-game hitting streak is also the longest on the team right now. Gavin Sheets also comes into the game on a four-game hitting streak, and he is batting .272 for the season with three homers.


Twins vs White Sox Prediction


Our prediction for this Twins vs. White Sox matchup is to take the over, as we see the final score being 5-4 in favor of the Twins. However, with the over/under sitting at 8.5 runs, we see some value in taking the over at -120.

If you’re looking for a money line prediction, we would recommend going with the Twins, as we see them picking up a win on the road. As for the starting pitchers, we have Simeon Woods Richardson finishing with five strikeouts compared to Michael Soroka with four.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.