The Minnesota Twins (24-21) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (29-17) on Sunday, May 19th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSN. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 1:40 ET.
Twins vs Guardians
Cleveland cruised to an easy 11-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 3rd inning, scoring nine of their eleven runs. As for the Twins, they scored their four runs in the 5th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were at +103 on the money line.
Logan Allen pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going six innings and striking out seven without giving up a run. He picked up a win in the game, while Bailey Ober struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work.
Jose Ramirez and Tyler Freeman each had three hits and three RBIs for the Guardians’ offense. Ramirez also homered in the game. On the other side, Manuel Margot went 3/4 with an RBI for the Twins.
Minnesota is on a five-game losing streak, and they are 24-21 overall this season. The Twins are 4.5 games behind the Guardians for the AL Central lead, and they trail the Royals by three games for the second spot in the division. So far, they have gone 12-9 in AL Central matchups.
At home, the Twins are 11-11 this year and 13-10 on the road. As the favorite, Minnesota has gone 19-10, and they are 5-11 as the underdog. Minnesota has won three straight series on the road, and their overall series record is 7-5-2 this year.
Minnesota is 14-9 against the run line on the road this season, but they have failed to cover in their last two games. The Twins have a run differential of +0.4 runs per game on the road this season, compared to -0.1 runs per game at home. Minnesota is 15-14 against the run line as the favorite this season.
Minnesota’s over/under record is 21-23 on the season, and the average over/under line for their games is 8.0 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Cleveland Guardians is set at 7.5 runs. So far this season, 62.2% of the Twins’ games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Chris Paddack gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Paddack has made eight starts this year and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 4.89. Looking at his overall numbers, Paddack has a WHIP of 1.65 and opponents are batting .321 this season. In his two quality starts, Paddack has a total of two shutouts. His ERA on the road is 8.96 compared to 2.91 at home. Paddack’s last outing was rough, as he took the loss and gave up five earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts.
Twins Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Twins have been a good power-hitting team, as they are 11th in home runs and have the league’s 5th ranked isolated power figure. As a team, they are averaging 4.5 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. One thing to watch is their team on-base percentage, as they are just 23rd in walks and have a collective OBP of .304.
Ryan Jeffers has been the Twins’ best power hitter this season, as his 10 home runs are the best on the team and 5th in the league. However, he has struggled recently, going just 3/20 in his last five games. Carlos Santana has also hit seven homers this season but is batting just .204. Over his last seven games, he has gone 7/28 with two homers.
Cleveland is hosting the Twins today with an overall record of 29-17, good for 1st place in the AL Central. The Guardians hold a 1.5-game lead over the Royals for the top spot in the division. The Guardians have gone 9-5 against other teams in the AL Central this season.
The Guardians have won two straight games, and they are 6-4 across their last 10. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 14-3 this year. At home, the Guardians are 14-6 and 15-11 on the road. As the home underdog, the Guardians have gone 2-1 this year, and they are 11-8 as the underdog overall. When favored, the Guardians are 18-9 this year.
The Guardians have been a solid bet on the run line this season, as they are 27-19 overall. They have been particularly good on the run line on the road, going 16-10. They have been a better bet on the run line as the underdog, going 14-5, compared to 13-14 as the favorite. Their average run margin for the season is +1.2 runs per game.
When the Cleveland Guardians and Minnesota Twins play, the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. This season, the Guardians have played in 30 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5, hitting the over in 9 of those contests. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs per game.
Tanner Bibee Gets The Start For The Guardians
Tanner Bibee gets the start for the Guardians today and comes into the game with a record of 2-1 and ERA of 4.34. So far this year, he has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .247 off the right-hander. Bibee has made one quality start this year and is averaging 9.46 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Bibee went 5 1/3 innings and didn’t give up a run, finishing with a no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings. The right-hander has yet to give up a homer in back-to-back outings.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Guardians are 5th in the league in runs per game, averaging 4.8 runs per contest. This has been split evenly between their home and road games, as they are also 5th in home runs (49) and have a team batting average of .240. One of the team’s strengths has been their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
Jose Ramirez has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 12/39 in his last 10 games with four homers. Ramirez’s 41 RBIs are the most in the MLB, and his 11 homers are the 2nd most in the league. Josh Naylor has also been a good power threat for the Guardians, as he is 3rd in the league with 12 homers.
Twins vs Guardians Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians on the money line at -119. We have the Guardians winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means you could also look to take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at today’s starters, Chris Paddack has a better chance of picking up a win than Tanner Bibee. However, our projections have Paddack going just six innings, while Bibee is also going six but has more strikeouts.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 19, 2024 Guardians, Twins