The Minnesota Twins (79-70) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (86-64) on Monday, September 16th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.
Twins vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-106)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
- The Guardians have won 10 of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- In their last 15 home games, the Guardians have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game.
- The Guardians have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, indicating good form.
- In their last 5 home games, the Guardians have held opponents to an average of 2.2 runs per game.
- The Guardians have won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head games against the Twins.
Twins vs Guardians
The Twins Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Reds, the Twins closed out the series with a 9-2 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -178. Offensively, the Twins scored their nine runs on jsonly 12 hits and didn’t hit a home run.
Cole Sands got the start for the Twins, going 3 2/3 innings, and got the win. He also issued just one walk and struck out three. David Festa pitched 3 2/3 innings of relief, giving up two runs on three hits. He only had one strikeout in the
Minnesota has struggled against the run line this season, going 69-80 overall. On the road, they are at .500 with a 37-37 record, but they have failed to cover in their last five road games. The Twins are 4-6 in their last 10 games and sit 3rd in the AL Central, trailing the Guardians by 6.5 games.
When the total has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has a 19-17 record in Twins games. This season, the over/under record for Minnesota is 76-67, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Heading into today’s game, the over has hit in five straight for the Twins.
Pablo López Gets The Start For The Twins
Pablo López has been pitching great for the Twins, as he has won his last four starts. Most recently, he faced the Angels on September 10th and picked up the win, going seven innings and giving up four earned runs. In that outing, he gave up one homer. For the season, López is 15-8 with a 3.88 ERA. Out of his 29 starts, he has turned in 17 quality starts and is averaging 9.73 strikeouts per nine innings. Overall, he has allowed 23 homers. López’s ERA at home is 4.3, compared to 4.85 on the road.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana has been swinging the bat well of late for the Twins, going 8/18 in his last five games with two homers and five RBIs. Overall, he is batting .243 for the season and is the team’s leader in home runs (22) and RBIs (65). Catcher Ryan Jeffers is also near the top of the Twins’ home run and RBI leaderboards, but he has struggled to hit for average, coming into the game at just .232.
Minnesota comes into the game as one of the league’s top-scoring offenses, averaging 4.7 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 9th in home runs and have the league’s 9th best team batting average.
The Guardians Are Coming Off A Win
Cleveland closed out their series vs. the Rays with a 2-0 win. Heading into the game, the Guardians were the slight favorite at -126 on the money line. It was a good performance all around, as the offense scored their only two runs in the 2nd inning, and the pitching staff held the Rays to zero runs.
Ben Lively put together a good start for the Guardians, going five innings and not giving up a run. He only had two strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Guardians’s bullpen was also excellent, as they didn’t give up a run either. Emmanuel Clase picked up the save and struck out three in the 9th.
Cleveland is coming into this series with a 2-game winning streak and a 86-64 record, leading the AL Central by 4 games over the Royals. Their overall series record is 26-15-6, and they are 76-74 against the run line this season. The under has hit in their last 4 games, and their season run average is 8.4 runs per game.
Matthew Boyd Gets The Start For The Guardians
Cleveland is sending Matthew Boyd to the mound today vs. the Twins, and he has made three quality starts in a row. Boyd’s ERA for the season is an impressive 2.18, along with a record of 2-1. In his six starts, he has allowed a total of three home runs. The last time he pitched, Boyd went 4 1/3 innings, giving up one earned run, and he finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had only allowed one earned run in three straight outings. Opponents are batting .181 off Boyd this season.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
The Guardians offense is averaging 4.5 runs per game this season, which is 14th in the league. At home, they have been even better, putting up 4.8 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting just .238, which is 17th in the league. However, they have been good at putting the ball in play, as they have the 4th fewest strikeouts in the league.
José Ramírez and Josh Naylor have been the team’s top power threats this season, as they have 35 and 29 homers, respectively. Ramírez’s 107 RBIs are 3rd in the league, and Naylor is 5th in the MLB with 103 RBIs. Over his last five games, Ramírez has gone 6/20 with one homer. Austin Hedges is batting just .167 over his last three games, but he does have a home run in that stretch.
Twins vs Guardians Prediction
Our prediction for this Twins vs. Guardians game is to take the Guardians on the money line at -106. We have the Guardians winning this one by a final score of 6-5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Matthew Boyd has a better chance of picking up a win than Pablo Lopez. Boyd is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Lopez at five.
Offensively, the Twins are projected to finish with more home runs than the Guardians, but the Guardians are projected to have more hits and score more runs.
If you’re looking for a Twins vs. Guardians prediction, but prefer to bet on the over/under, we would take the over at 7.5 runs.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 16, 2024 Guardians, Twins