The Minnesota Twins (79-71) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (87-64) on Tuesday, September 17th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Twins vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Twins (+110)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs

• The Twins have scored 5 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games, showing potential for high offensive output.
• In their last 15 games, the Twins have won 3 out of 5 games when scoring 4 or more runs.
• The Twins have a better away record (37-38) compared to the Guardians’ home record (41-37), indicating they perform relatively well on the road.
• The Twins have won 2 out of their last 3 away games against the Guardians.
• In the last 15 games, the Twins have scored an average of 4.1 runs per game, which is higher than the Guardians’ average runs allowed per game in the same period.

Twins vs Guardians

Cleveland picked up a 4-3 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a late rally, scoring two runs in the 8th and another two in the 9th. As for the Twins, they scored three runs in the 3rd but didn’t score another run the rest of the game.

Matthew Boyd only went 2 2/3 innings for the Guardians but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. Andrew Walters got the win out of the bullpen, and Emmanuel Clase got the save. Pablo Lopez had a good outing for the Twins, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up two earned runs.

Kyle Manzardo hit the game’s only home run while going 1/3 with two RBIs and two runs scored. Angel Martinez also had a three-hit game for Cleveland.

This season, Minnesota’s games have averaged 9.2 runs per game, and their over/under record is 76-68. In games with an O/U line of 8.5 runs, they have a 24-22 record. The Twins are 37-38 vs. the run line on the road, and their overall run line record is 69-81.

After losing the first game of this series, the Twins are 7.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an overall record of 79-71. At home, they have a 42-33 record, while on the road, they are 37-38. Minnesota’s series record this season is 26-17-4.

Zebby Matthews Gets The Start For The Twins

Right-hander Zebby Matthews gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Guardians on the road. Matthews has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-3 with an ERA of 7.11. Looking at his home/road splits, Matthews has gone 0-2 on the road with a 5.40 ERA. At home, his ERA is 12.82. In his most recent outing, Matthews finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 3 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight outings.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ top home run hitter this season, with 22 homers, while also leading the team with 65 RBIs. He has also been hot of late, going 9/29 in his last eight games, with two homers and five RBIs. Willi Castro is also on a five-game hitting streak, and he is batting .249 for the season with 11 homers.

As a team, the Twins are 8th in batting average and 9th in home runs. Overall, they are averaging 4.7 runs per game, which is 11th in the league. At home, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 6th in the MLB.

Cleveland is 87-64 overall and has a five-game lead in the AL Central over the Royals. As the favorite, the Guardians have a 61-32 record, while their run line record at home is 36-37. The under has hit in their last five games, bringing their season over/under record to 66-74.

Gavin Williams Gets The Start For The Guardians

Gavin Williams will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Rays, as he gave up three earned runs in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing, he gave up one homer. Williams has a record of 3-9 and an ERA of 5.24 to go along with a WHIP of 1.39. Looking at his overall numbers, Williams has made 14 starts, three of which were quality starts. His ERA at home is 7.55, and he has yet to win a game at home, coming in with a record of 0-6. On the road, he is 3-3 with an ERA of 11.2.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez has been on a tear of late for the Guardians, going 11/36 in his last nine games with a home run. His 107 RBIs this season is 4th in the league and leads the team. Overall, he is batting .273. Josh Naylor is also near the top of the MLB leaderboards in RBIs, as his 103 RBIs is 5th in the league. Naylor is batting .245 for the season and has gone deep 29 times.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.5 runs per game and are 8th in the league in home runs. They have been a better offensive team at home, averaging 4.8 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .238 and are 4th in the league in strikeouts.

Twins vs Guardians Prediction

We see the Twins coming away with a 5-4 road win over the Guardians. With the Twins being the underdogs on the money line, we see this as a great opportunity to pick them up at +110.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gavin Williams finishing with more strikeouts than Zebby Matthews. However, Williams is projected to finish with a higher ERA than Matthews. Offensively, we have the Twins finishing with nine hits compared to the Guardians with nine.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.