The Minnesota Twins (80-72) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (88-65) on Thursday, September 19th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSN. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.
Twins vs. Guardians Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Twins (-104)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Twins have scored 4 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
- The Twins have won 3 of their last 5 road games.
- The Twins have a recent head-to-head win against the Guardians, scoring 4 runs on September 17th.
- The Twins have a higher overall run differential in the last 15 games compared to the Guardians.
- The Twins have a better away record (38-39) compared to the Guardians’ home record (41-37).
Twins vs Guardians
Cleveland picked up a 5-4 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a two-run lead heading into the 10th inning, and the Twins could only muster two runs in the bottom half of the inning. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -130 on the money line.
Tanner Bibee started for the Guardians and went just 6 2/3 innings while giving up two runs and striking out five. He did pick up a win in the game. Hunter Gaddis came out of the bullpen for the save. Bailey Ober got the start for the Twins, going seven innings and giving up two earned runs.
Carlos Correa went 3/5 with four RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Josh Naylor had a two-home run game for the Guardians, going 2/4 with three runs scored.
Minnesota is 7.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central, with an 80-72 overall record. They are 29-22 against division opponents this season and are currently in 3rd place.
For the season, the Twins have an Over/Under record of 77-69, with games averaging 9.1 runs. Their run line record is 39-38 on the road and 71-81 overall, with an average run margin of 0.2 runs per game.
Simeon Woods Richardson Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Simeon Woods Richardson gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Guardians on the road. He has made 26 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 4.08. Woods Richardson’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.25, and he has allowed a total of 14 home runs. Looking back at his last outing, he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in three innings of work. Before that, he had back-to-back outings in which he didn’t give up a homer. Woods Richardson has finished with a no-decision in three of his last four outings.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Carlos Santana comes into the game as the Twins’ leader in home runs this season, with 22, and is also 1st on the team with 65 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/32 in his last eight games, including two homers and five RBIs. Willi Castro and Ryan Jeffers are also near the top of the Twins’ home run and RBI leaderboards.
As a team, the Twins are averaging 4.7 runs per game and have been slightly better at home, averaging 4.9 runs per contest. Overall, they are 7th in team batting average and have the 8th ranked slugging percentage in the league. Currently, they have four players on a hitting streak, including Carlos Correa and Willi Castro, who are both on seven-game streaks.
When the Guardians win, they do so by an average of 3.3 runs per game, leading to a run line record of 77-76. Their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game this season, and their overall over/under record is 67-75. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 20-20.
Cleveland’s overall series record is 26-15-6, and they have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games. The Guardians lead the AL Central by six games over the Royals, and they’ve taken two of the first three games in this series vs. the Twins.
Joey Cantillo Gets The Start For The Guardians
Joey Cantillo will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that start vs. the Rays, he went 5 innings and gave up 6 hits, 3 walks, and 1 homer. So far this season, Cantillo has made 6 starts, 1 of which was a quality start. His ERA for the season is 4.99, along with a record of 2-3. The left-hander’s WHIP for the season is 1.17, and opponents are batting .222 off him this year. Cantillo’s ERA on the road is 7.48 compared to 2.25 at home.
Guardians Offense Breakdown
Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top power hitters this season, as his 35 home runs are 7th in the league and the best mark on the Guardians. He is also 5th in the league with 107 RBIs. Ramirez is also on an 11-game hitting streak. Josh Naylor is also a big power threat in the lineup, as his 31 homers are 2nd on the team and 11th in the league. Naylor has two homers in his last five games and is hitting .316 over that stretch.
As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They have been a better offense at home, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting .238, which is 14th in the league, and are one of the league’s best teams at avoiding strikeouts.
Twins vs Guardians Prediction
We see the Twins coming away with a 5-4 road win over the Guardians. With the Twins being the underdogs on the money line at -104, this is the way we recommend playing this one.
Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Joey Cantillo finishing with more strikeouts than Simeon Woods Richardson. However, Cantillo is projected to finish with the second-most earned runs among today’s starters.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:September 20, 2024 Guardians, Twins