Minnesota Twins vs Los Angeles Angels MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Twins vs Los Angeles Angels Prediction 4/27/2024

The Minnesota Twins (12-13) travel to face off against the Los Angeles Angels (10-16) on Saturday, April 27th. This game will be played at Angel Stadium of Anaheim in Anaheim and televised on BSW. The Twins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Angels are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Twins. First pitch is set for 9:38 ET.

Twins vs Angels

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Twins vs Angels series. Minnesota went into the matchup as slight underdogs at -102 and squeaked out a 5-3 win. The Twins offense only had one more hit than the Angels and struck out six more times, but still picked up a win.

Both teams scored one run in the first inning, and the Angels could only muster two more runs in the 4th inning. As for the Twins, they scored the game’s go-ahead run in the 5th and added insurance with one run in the 6th and 9th. As for the Angels, they didn’t score another run after the 4th.

Carlos Santana and Willi Castro each homered for the Twins, while Jose Miranda scored three times and drove in a run while going 2/4. Zach Neto had a three-hit game for the Angels.

Minnesota’s five-game winning streak has brought their overall record to 12-13, and they are 5.5 games behind the Guardians in the AL Central. The Twins have taken the first game of this series vs. the Angels and have an AL Central division record of 9-7 this year.

This season, the Twins have been good as the favorite, putting up a mark of 10-5. As for their time as the underdog, they are just 2-8 this year. So far, they are 6-6 at home compared to 6-7 on the road. Minnesota’s overall series record is 2-4-2 this year.

Minnesota has been a solid bet against the run line overall, with a 12-13 record, but they have been much better on the road, going 8-5. They have also been a better bet as the favorite, going 8-7, compared to 4-6 as the underdog. Their average run differential is -0.4 runs per game, but they have been much better in their wins, with an average run differential of +3.2 runs per game.

The Twins have played 24 games this season, and their average combined run total is 8.1. Their over/under record is 11-13, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 1-7. So far, only three of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, accounting for just 12% of their games.

Chris Paddack Gets The Start For The Twins

Chris Paddack will be on the mound for the Twins today, as they take on the Angels. Paddack has been a bit up and down so far this season, with a win in his last outing, but he did take a loss in his first start of the season. He has 27 strikeouts in 20 1/3 innings, but he has given up 3 homers and has 4 walks.

Twins Offense Breakdown

Edouard Julien has been the Twins’ top power threat so far this season, as his seven home runs are 4th best in the league and leads the team. However, he is batting just .222 for the season. Julien has been swinging a better bat of late, going 8/31 with three homers over his last 10 games. Willi Castro has also been hot for the Twins, hitting .343 in his last 10 games with seven RBIs.

Minnesota’s offense has been below average so far this season, averaging 3.9 runs per game, which is 22nd in the league. As a team, they are batting just .220 and have an on-base percentage of only .298. The Twins have been good at hitting for power, as their isolated power figure of .161 is 5th best in the league.

After dropping the final game of their series vs. the Orioles, the Angels dropped the first game of their series vs. the Twins. Overall, the Angels are 10-16, putting them 4th in the AL West. Currently, they trail the Mariners by four games for the AL West lead.

At home, the Angels are just 3-7 this year and 2-10 in day games. As the underdog, the Angels are 9-13 this year compared to 1-3 as the favorite. So far, the Angels’ series record is 1-6-1, and they have dropped two straight series.

When the Angels are the underdog, they are a solid bet to cover the run line at 13-9. Their average run differential in those games is -0.7, which is right in line with their season-long run differential. When they are the favorite, they are 0-4 against the run line, and their average run differential in those games is -1.1.

Los Angeles Angels games have gone over the O/U line in 9 of 13 games this season, and the average combined run total in their games is 9.1. The Angels’ games have had an average O/U line of 9 runs this season, and their games have had an O/U line of 8.5 runs in 13 of 26 games this season, with the O/U record in those games being 9-4. Their game against the Twins earlier this season had a combined run total of 8 runs, which was a push on the 8.0 O/U line.

José Soriano Gets The Start For The Angels

Jose Soriano is getting the start for the Angels today as they take on the Twins. This will be his third start of the season, and he has gone 0-2 in his first two outings. He started the year with a loss to the Rays, then took a loss to the Reds in his last start, despite striking out 7 in 6 innings of work.

Angels Offense Breakdown

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Mike Trout comes into the game as the league’s leader in home runs, but he is batting just .230 for the season. Over his last 10 games, Trout is hitting just .132. Taylor Ward is batting .269 for the season and has gone deep seven times, which is good for 2nd on the team and 4th in the league. Ward has also driven in 23 runs, which is the best mark on the team and 3rd in the MLB.

Looking at the Angels’ recent offensive performances, Jo Adell has gone 7/20 over his last eight games, and Taylor Ward has just one hit in his last 10 games. However, Ward does have a home run during that stretch. Miguel Sano has also homered in his last 10 games, but is batting just .250 during that stretch.


Twins vs Angels Prediction


We see a lot of value in taking the Twins on the money line today, as they are getting +108. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Twins, giving us a good payout with the Twins on the money line.

Looking at today’s starters, we have José Soriano finishing with more strikeouts than Chris Paddack. However, we have Soriano finishing with a higher ERA and giving up more runs than Paddack. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could look to take the Twins and look for Soriano’s strikeout total.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.