The Minnesota Twins (23-16) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (18-21) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Twins are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 1:37 ET.
Twins vs Blue Jays
Toronto picked up a 10-8 win over the Twins in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 5th inning, scoring three runs in the 1st and adding seven more in the 5th. As for the Twins, they scored three runs in the 1st and added five more in the 3rd.
Kevin Gausman only went three innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just one hit and one earned run. Simeon Woods Richardson struggled on the mound for the Twins, giving up five runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.
Toronto’s offense was led by a big game from Davis Schneider, who went 3/4 with a home run. Danny Jansen also had three hits and a homer for the Blue Jays. On the other side, Carlos Santana hit a home run and drove in three runs for the Twins.
Minnesota is 23-16 overall and trails the Guardians by just a half-game in the AL Central. This season, they have been good as the favorite, going 18-7, and they are 10-1 as the favorite on the road. The Twins have won five straight series, and they are 6-4-2 in series this year.
At home, the Twins are 11-8 compared to 12-8 on the road. Minnesota has gone 7-3 across their last 10 games, and they will be looking to take the series lead over the Blue Jays today.
When the Twins win, they do so by an average of 3.6 runs per game. When they lose, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Overall, they have a run differential of +0.6 runs per game, and their run line record is 21-18 on the season.
The Minnesota Twins have had a high combined run average of 9.2 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 20-18. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the under has been the more common outcome, with a record of 2-7 in those games. Overall, only 12.8% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.
Bailey Ober Gets The Start For The Twins
Right-hander Bailey Ober gets the start for the Twins today as he faces the Blue Jays on the road. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-1 with an ERA of 4.42. Opponents have hit .216 off Ober this year, and he has a WHIP of 1.01. Ober’s last outing came against the Mariners, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has turned in three quality starts and is averaging 8.59 strikeouts per nine innings.
Twins Offense Breakdown
Minnesota’s offense has been one of the best in the league this season, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 8th in the MLB. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Twins are 6th in home runs and have the 6th best slugging percentage in the league. One area they could improve is their team batting average, as they are just 10th in the league at .242.
Ryan Jeffers has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his nine homers are 4th in the league. He also leads the Twins with 30 RBIs. Jeffers has gone deep four times in his last nine games, hitting .281 over that stretch. Willi Castro has also been swinging the bat well of late, going 12/38 in his last 10 games. Max Kepler is also on a hot streak, as he is currently on a 13-game hitting streak and is batting .429 over his last 10 games.
The Blue Jays are 5th in the AL East, trailing the Orioles by 8.5 games. Overall, they are 18-21 and have gone 5-5 against other teams in the AL East. Toronto is 9-8 at home compared to 9-13 on the road.
So far, the Blue Jays have been the favorite in 24 of their games, and they are 14-10 in those matchups. As for their games as the underdog, they have gone just 4-11. Toronto’s overall series record is 4-6-2, and they have lost two straight series at home.
Even though the Blue Jays have a losing record against the run line, they have been a solid bet when they are the favorite, going 12-12. They are 7-10 against the run line at home, where they have an average run margin of -0.9 runs per game.
The Toronto Blue Jays have had an over/under record of 17-21 this season. Their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season has been 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5, their record is 6-9. So far this season, 48.7% of their games have had over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and 12.8% have had higher lines. Their games have gone over the line in 5 of 12 games when the line has been set at 8.5 runs.
Alek Manoah Gets The Start For The Blue Jays
Manoah is making his second start of the season, and he will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing in his first start. He took on the Nationals and gave up 6 earned runs in 4 innings of work. He did strike out 6 batters, but also gave up 2 home runs.
Blue Jays Offense Breakdown
Over his last nine games, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is hitting .405 with one home run and eight RBIs. Danny Jansen has also been swinging a hot bat for the Blue Jays, going 10/28 in his last eight games. This has helped him move into the team lead with a .315 batting average.
Currently, the Blue Jays are 24th in the league in runs scored, averaging 3.7 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .234, which is 13th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in team strikeouts. Toronto has four players with at least four home runs, led by Daulton Varsho’s six homers.
Twins vs Blue Jays Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Twins vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Blue Jays on the money line at +117. We have the Blue Jays winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the payout being at +117, you could also look to take the Blue Jays on the run line, as we have them winning by just one run.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Alek Manoah has a higher strikeout projection than Bailey Ober, and we have Manoah finishing with seven K’s compared to Ober with just four. Manoah is also projected to go fewer innings than Ober, but we have his final line looking better in terms of earned runs allowed.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:May 12, 2024 Blue Jays, Twins