Chicago White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 7/4/2024

The Chicago White Sox (25-63) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (53-31) on Thursday, July 4th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on BSGL. The White Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 12:10 CT.

White Sox vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-268)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs
  • The Guardians have won 6 of their last 7 home games, showcasing strong recent home-field performance.
  • In their last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 6 or more runs in 8 games, indicating a potent offense.
  • The Guardians have a 4-1 record against the White Sox in their last 5 head-to-head matchups, demonstrating dominance over their opponent.
  • The Guardians have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 7 home games, highlighting their offensive efficiency at home.
  • The Guardians have a 7-3 record in their last 10 games, showing strong recent form compared to the White Sox’s 4-6 record in the same span.

White Sox vs Guardians

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Chicago cruised to an easy 8-2 win over the Guardians in the most recent game of this series. The White Sox had a huge 4th inning, scoring four of their eight runs. As for the Guardians, they scored their only two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the White Sox were at +182 on the money line.

Erick Fedde started for the White Sox and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with three strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Gavin Williams got the start for the Guardians and took the loss, giving up five earned runs in four innings of work.

At the plate, the White Sox were led by Martin Maldonado and Lenyn Sosa, as they were the only two hitters in the lineup to have more than one hit. Maldonado, Luis Robert Jr., and Tommy Pham each had two RBIs for Chicago’s offense.

Chicago’s games have gone under the total in 78.4% of their contests this season, with an O/U record of 40-45. The average run total in their games is 8.2, and when the total is set at 9 runs, they are 5-9-1 to the under. The White Sox have a 19-24 run line record on the road and have covered in two straight games and three straight as underdogs.

With a 25-63 record, the White Sox are 5th in the AL Central and trail the Guardians by 30 games in the division. They have struggled against AL Central teams, going 7-22 this season, and have a 6-19-2 series record overall. Chicago’s straight-up record as underdogs is 20-62, compared to 5-1 as favorites, and they have a 10-26 record in day games.

Jared Shuster Gets The Start For The White Sox

Left-hander Jared Shuster is getting the start for the White Sox today as he faces off against the Guardians. He has made 17 appearances this season but has not made a start, so he will be looking to pitch multiple innings today. Shuster’s ERA for the season is 3.15, and his WHIP is 1.34. Opponents have hit .231 this season off Shuster. Looking back at his last few outings, Shuster has finished with a no-decision in each of his last three outings. Most recently, he pitched one-third of an inning out of the bullpen vs. the Rockies, not giving up a run in the outing.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

Chicago’s offense has been one of the worst in the majors this season, as they are averaging just 3.2 runs per game, which is dead last in the league. They are also one of the worst home run hitting teams in the league and have a collective batting average of just .221. However, they do have a few hitters who have been swinging the bat well of late, including Luis Robert Jr., who is hitting .360 over his last six games and has three homers in that stretch.

Andrew Vaughn is the team’s leader in RBIs this season and is 2nd on the team with 11 homers. He is batting .244 for the season. Paul DeJong has also been a solid power threat for the White Sox, as he has 15 homers this season, which is 12th in the league.

As the favorite, Cleveland has a 37-17 record straight-up and 26-21 against the run line. However, as the underdog, they have a 20-10 run line record. Overall, their run line record is 46-38, with a 26-21 mark on the road and 20-17 at home.

The Guardians lead the AL Central by six games over the Twins, with a 53-31 record. They are 27-10 at home and 26-21 on the road. In series this season, they have a 17-7-2 record and are currently tied 1-1 in their series against the White Sox.

Ben Lively Gets The Start For The Guardians

Ben Lively will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Royals, as he gets the start for the Guardians today. Against the Royals, he took the loss, giving up two earned runs in six innings of work. Looking back over his last four outings, Lively has alternated between wins and losses. His ERA for the season is 3.03, along with a record of 7-4. Lively has made 13 starts, and opponents are batting .230 this season. So far, he has turned in four quality starts and is averaging 7.7 strikeouts per nine innings.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Jose Ramirez has been one of the league’s top run producers this season, as his 76 RBIs are 2nd in the league, and his 23 homers are 4th. However, he has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .211 over his last five games. Overall, he is batting .274 for the season. First baseman Josh Naylor is also near the top of the league in RBIs, as his 61 is 6th in the MLB. He has 20 homers this season.

The Guardians have been one of the league’s top offensive teams this season, as they are 5th in runs per game and are among the league leaders in home runs. As a team, they are batting .244, which is 11th in the league, and are 8th in slugging percentage. So far, they have been a good road team, averaging 4.8 runs per game.

White Sox vs Guardians Prediction

Our predicted final score for this White Sox vs. Guardians matchup is a 6-4 win for the Guardians. However, with the Guardians’ money line sitting at -268, we recommend taking the over, as the line is set at 9 runs, and we have this game going over with a combined 10 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Ben Lively is predicted to finish with just four strikeouts, and with the White Sox having him finishing with a higher strikeout total than the Guardians, we like the over 9 runs bet.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.