Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs New York Yankees Prediction 5/18/2024

The Chicago White Sox (14-31) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (31-15) on Saturday, May 18th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on NBCS. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 1:05 ET.

White Sox vs Yankees

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Thanks to a two-run homer from Giancarlo Stanton and a good outing from Nestor Cortes, the Yankees picked up a 4-2 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. New York had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the White Sox, they scored their only two runs in the 8th.

Cortes went seven innings for the Yankees, giving up just two hits and striking out six. He picked up a win in the game, while Clay Holmes got the save. Mike Clevinger had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.

Stanton and Aaron Judge each had two RBIs for the Yankees’ offense. Andrew Vaughn was the only White Sox hitter to have more than one hit, as he went 2/4.

Chicago is 14-31 overall, putting them 5th in the AL Central, and they are 14 games behind the Guardians for the division lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 5-19 this year. The White Sox are on the road today, where they are just 4-17 this season.

As the road underdog, the White Sox have gone just 4-17 this season, and they are 2-0 as the favorite this year. Chicago has an overall series record of 4-9-1 this year, but they have won two straight series.

When the White Sox win, they do so by an average of 2.3 runs per game, while they lose by an average of 3.9 runs per game. Their run line record is 22-23 overall, but they are 15-9 at home. On the road, they are just 7-14 vs. the run line.

The White Sox have been trending towards the under, with their last three games all going under the total. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 19-25. When the line is set at 8 runs, they are 5-2 to the over this season. Overall, 44.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8 runs, and their games have averaged exactly 8 runs per game this season.

Brad Keller Gets The Start For The White Sox

Brad Keller will be making his first start of the season for the White Sox, as he has been used out of the bullpen so far. In his first outing, he went 3 innings and gave up 1 earned run on 5 hits. He followed that up with a 3 1/3 inning outing where he struck out 3 and gave up just 1 hit.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the White Sox offense has been the worst in the league, averaging just 2.9 runs per game. They are also near the bottom of the league in home runs, batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. As a team, they are batting just .217, and their team on-base percentage is just .276.

Over the last five games, Andrew Vaughn has gone 5/18 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .212, but his 15 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Eloy Jiménez and Paul DeJong are also near the top of the White Sox home run leaderboard, with five and six homers, respectively.

The Yankees are 31-15 overall and lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. New York is on a five-game winning streak, and they took the first game of their series vs. the White Sox. So far, they have gone just 8-8 in AL East matchups this year.

At home, the Yankees are 14-6 this year and have been really good on the road at 17-9. As the favorite, the Yankees are 22-11 this year, and they are 9-4 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 11-2-1, and they have won four straight series overall and two straight on the road.

When betting the run line, the Yankees are 25-21 this season, but they are just 9-11 against the run line at home. They have a run differential of +1.5 runs per game this season, and they have gone over the run line in three straight games. As the favorite, they are just 15-18 against the run line, but as the underdog, they are 10-3.

The New York Yankees have had a combined run average of 8.1 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 18-26, and the over/under line for today’s game against the Chicago White Sox is set at 8 runs. The Yankees have had 31 games with over/under lines set higher than 8 runs, which accounts for 67.4% of their games this season. Their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 3-6, and they are currently on a 4-game under streak.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York starter Luis Gil has been pitching well this season, coming into the game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.51. He has made eight starts this year and has pitched well at home, going 2-0 with a 1.88 ERA. Gil has a WHIP of 1.09 and has issued 5.44 walks per nine innings compared to 10.05 strikeouts. One area of concern for Gil is that he has allowed at least one homer in three straight starts. His last outing came on May 12th, where he didn’t allow a run in six innings of work.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

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As a team, the Yankees are 2nd in home runs and are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. New York’s offense has been very disciplined at the plate, as they are 2nd in the league in walks and have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the MLB.

Over his last five games, Aaron Judge has been on fire, going 10/16 with three homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .267 with a team-high 12 home runs. Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ most consistent hitter this season, batting .301 with nine homers and 34 RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton has also been a big power threat, as his 10 homers is 4th in the league.

White Sox vs Yankees Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. White Sox matchup is that the Yankees will come out on top by a score of 5-4. However, with the Yankees being such heavy favorites on the money line, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value in this line sitting at 8 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to have a solid outing, with our model having him finishing with six strikeouts and picking up the win. As for Brad Keller, his strikeout projection is just five, and he is currently 10th among starters in terms of picking up a win.

Offensively, our model has the Yankees finishing with eight hits compared to the White Sox with nine. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with more home runs, with our model having them finishing with a total of two compared to the White Sox with one.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.