Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5/4/2024

The Chicago White Sox (6-26) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (15-17) on Saturday, May 4th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The Cardinals are coming off a win in their previous game, while the White Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Cardinals. First pitch is set for 2:15 ET.

White Sox vs Cardinals

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Thanks to a seven-inning, three-hit performance from Sonny Gray, the Cardinals cruised to a 3-0 win over the White Sox in the most recent game of this series. Heading into the game, the Cardinals were favored at -300 on the money line.

Gray didn’t give up a run in the game, picking up six strikeouts and allowing just one walk. He picked up a win in the game, while Ryan Helsley closed things out. Brad Keller had a rough outing for the White Sox, taking the loss.

At the plate, Willson Contreras went 3/3 with an RBI, while Nolan Arenado drove in three runs for the Cardinals’ offense.

Chicago is on the road today vs. the Cardinals with an overall record of 6-26, putting them 14 games out of the AL Central lead. So far, they have really struggled against other AL Central teams, going 2-18. The White Sox have dropped four straight games, and they have lost nine straight on the road.

The White Sox have yet to win a series this year, coming in at 1-8-1. This season, they are 1-14 as the road underdog, and they have yet to win a series as the underdog. Chicago is also 5-12 at home compared to 1-14 on the road.

Chicago has been a run line loser in 18 of 32 games this season, including 11 of 15 on the road. The White Sox have lost three straight run line bets on the road and are 2-0 in run line bets when favored.

So far this season, the Chicago White Sox have played 31 games with an average combined run total of 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record is 15-16, and the average over/under line in their games is 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-5. In total, 8 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which accounts for 25.0% of their games played.

Erick Fedde Gets The Start For The White Sox

Through six starts, Erick Fedde has a record of 2-0 and an ERA of 2.60 for the White Sox. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a great outing against the Rays, where he went 8 1/3 innings, giving up just two earned runs. In that outing, he didn’t give up a homer. Opponents are batting .209 off Fedde this year, and his WHIP is 1.07. The right-hander’s ERA on the road is 3.5 compared to 2.01 at home.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the White Sox offense has been one of the worst in the league, averaging just 2.8 runs per game, which is dead last in the league. They have been even worse on the road, averaging just 2.4 runs per contest. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS.

Chicago will be looking for more production out of their power hitters, as they are just 19th in home runs this season. Currently, Andrew Benintendi, Paul DeJong, Eloy Jiménez, and Korey Lee are all tied for the team lead with three homers. Benintendi and DeJong have been struggling with their batting averages this season but have shown some signs of breaking out of their slumps, with Benintendi hitting .286 over his last seven games, and DeJong has gone deep in two straight games.

St. Louis will host the White Sox today with an overall record of 15-17, putting them 4th in the NL Central. They are 5.5 games behind the Brewers for the division lead and have yet to win a game against another NL Central team (0-3). The Cardinals are on a two-game winning streak at home, and they are 5-5 as the home favorite this year.

As for how they have fared on the road, the Cardinals are 9-10 this season. St. Louis has been slightly better at home, going 6-7. Heading into today’s game, the Cardinals are 6-4 across their last ten games, and they are currently even at home for their series record.

When betting the run line on the St. Louis Cardinals this season, it’s been a profitable endeavor, as they are 18-14 against the run line. They have been especially good at home, going 8-5 against the run line. The Cardinals have been a run line underdog in 17 of their games, and they have gone 11-6 in those contests. When they win, they win big, as their average run margin in victories is 2.5 runs per game.

St. Louis Cardinals games have gone over the O/U line of 8.5 in six of 12 games this season. The Cardinals have played 20 games with an O/U line, and the over has hit in 11 of those games. The over has hit in 55% of their games this season. The Cardinals have played five games with an O/U line of 8.5, and the over has hit in three of those games. The over has hit in 60% of their games with an O/U line of 8.5 this season. The over has hit in two straight Cardinals games.

Lance Lynn Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Lance Lynn has made six starts this season and has a record of 1-0 with an ERA of 2.64. His WHIP for the season is 1.40. Lynn has made one quality start this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up just one earned run in five innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, three walks, and one homer. Lynn has not given up more than three earned runs in any of his outings this year. Per nine innings, he is averaging 8.51 strikeouts and 3.82 walks.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

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St. Louis has struggled to score runs this season, averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 27th in the league. Their team batting average of .219 is also one of the worst marks in the league. The Cardinals have been even worse in the power department, as their 21 homers are the fewest in the league right now.

Willson Contreras and Brendan Donovan have been the Cardinals’ top power threats so far, with Contreras having five homers and Donovan three. Nolan Arenado has just one home run this season but comes into the game with a team-high 16 RBIs. Arenado is also batting .279, while Contreras is hitting .281. Over his last nine games, Contreras is 9/33 with three homers.

White Sox vs Cardinals Prediction

One of the best bets we see for today’s White Sox vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Cardinals, giving us some room if you wanted to take the over/under line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Lance Lynn is projected to finish with six strikeouts compared to Erick Fedde with five. However, Lynn is projected to go just 3-4 innings, while Fedde is expected to go around five or six innings.

If you’re looking for a money line pick, then the Cardinals are the way to go, but with a payout of -183, we would recommend taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.