Chicago White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals MLB Betting Prediction

MLB White Sox vs St. Louis Cardinals Prediction 5/5/2024

The Chicago White Sox (7-26) travel to face off against the St. Louis Cardinals (15-18) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Busch Stadium in St. Louis and televised on BSMW. The White Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Cardinals are looking to get back on track from a loss to the White Sox. First pitch is set for 2:15 ET.

White Sox vs Cardinals

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It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this White Sox vs Cardinals series. Chicago went into the matchup as +154 underdogs and squeaked out a 6-5 win. St. Louis had a late rally, scoring five runs in the 5th inning, but could only muster one more run in the 7th inning.

Nolan Arenado had a three-hit game for the Cardinals, including a home run, but it came in a losing effort. Korey Lee was the only White Sox hitter to have more than one hit, and he scored two runs while driving in two more.

Erick Fedde got the win for the White Sox out of the bullpen, going just 4 1/3 innings but giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Lance Lynn struggled on the mound for the Cardinals, giving up four runs in five innings of work.

Chicago is on the road today to take on the Cardinals, and they are just 7-26 overall this season. The White Sox trail the Guardians by 14 games in the AL Central and are 2-18 against other AL Central teams. So far, they are 5-12 at home compared to 2-14 on the road.

So far, the White Sox have really struggled as the underdog, going 2-14. Chicago’s overall series record is 1-8-1, and they are 4-6 over their last 10 games. In day games, they are 3-11 this year.

The White Sox have been a good bet against the run line this season, going 15-18 overall. They have been especially good at home, going 10-7, but have struggled on the road, going just 5-11. They have been the underdog in every game this season, and their average run margin is -2.6 runs per game.

The White Sox have had 22 games with over/under lines higher than 7.5 this season, and their over/under record is 16-16. Their games have averaged 8.4 runs per game, and the average over/under line for their games is 8 runs. When the line is set at 7.5 runs, the White Sox have gone 3-6 on the over/under. Their game against the Cardinals today had an over/under line of 7.5 runs, and the two teams combined for 11 runs.

Garrett Crochet Gets The Start For The White Sox

White Sox starter Garrett Crochet will be looking to bounce back from a rough outing vs. the Twins, as he finished with a no-decision in that start. In that outing, he gave up two earned runs on seven hits in five innings of work. Looking back at his last three starts, Crochet has given up at least two earned runs in each outing. His ERA for the season is 5.97, and he has a record of 1-4. Crochet’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.10. Opponents have a batting average of .218 vs. Crochet this season. So far, he has made two quality starts and is averaging 12.2 strikeouts per nine innings.

White Sox Offense Breakdown

Chicago has really struggled to score runs this season, as they are dead last in the league in scoring at just 2.9 runs per game. This has been even worse at home, where they are averaging just 3.1 runs per game. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in most offensive categories, including on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Andrew Benintendi has really struggled this season, batting just .195, but he has been swinging the bat better of late, going 8/29 in his last seven games with three homers. Benintendi’s 13 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Eloy Jimenez, Korey Lee, and Paul DeJong are also tied for the team lead with three homers.

St. Louis is hosting the White Sox today with an overall record of 15-18, putting them 4th in the NL Central. So far, they have gone 0-3 in divisional games and trail the Brewers by 5.5 games in the division. The Cardinals are looking to get back on track, as they have gone just 5-5 over their last 10 games.

At home, the Cardinals are 6-8 this year compared to 9-10 on the road. So far, they have been an even 8-8 as the favorite and 7-10 as the underdog. St. Louis’ overall series record is 5-5, and they are currently in the middle of a series.

When betting the run line on the St. Louis Cardinals, it’s important to note that they have a negative run differential on the season, but they have been a good bet against the run line overall. They have a winning record against the run line both at home and on the road, and they have been particularly good against the run line as an underdog, going 11-6. They have a positive run differential in their wins and a negative run differential in their losses.

When the St. Louis Cardinals play, the over/under line is often set high. Their games have averaged 7.9 runs per game this season, and 69.7% of their games have had higher over/under lines than today’s 7.5. Their over/under record this season is 12-20, and their games have gone over the line in 55.6% of their games when the line is set at 7.5.

Matthew Liberatore Gets The Start For The Cardinals

Left-hander Matthew Liberatore will be getting the start for the Cardinals today as he faces the White Sox at home. He has made 12 appearances this season but has yet to make a start, finishing with a no-decision in his last outing, where he pitched one inning out of the bullpen. In that outing, he didn’t give up a run, coming away with the no-decision. Before that, he had given up at least one earned run in three straight appearances. So far, Liberatore has a record of 1-1, an ERA of 2.75, and a WHIP of 1.10.

Cardinals Offense Breakdown

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For the season, the Cardinals are averaging just 3.5 runs per game, which is 28th in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging just 3.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .217, which is 19th in the league, and they also have the league’s worst home run total.

Over his last seven games, Nolan Arenado has gone 9/27 with a homer and seven RBIs. This has helped him move into the team lead in RBIs (19) while batting .296 for the season. Willson Contreras has also been a bright spot for the Cardinals, as he is batting .276 and has five homers this season.

White Sox vs Cardinals Prediction

Our prediction for today’s White Sox vs. Cardinals matchup is to take the Cardinals straight up with a money line payout of -160. We see the Cardinals coming out on top by a score of 6-5, giving us a little bit of wiggle room if you wanted to take the over, as the line is currently sitting at 7.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Garrett Crochet going 20th among starters to pick up a win. His strikeout numbers are also not great, as we have him finishing with just five K’s. On the other side, we have the Cardinals finishing with 11 strikeouts, which is the most in the league today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.