New York Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Yankees vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/1/2024

The New York Yankees (19-12) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (19-10) on Wednesday, May 1st. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.

Yankees vs Orioles

new york yankees nba

Baltimore picked up a 4-2 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 4th inning, scoring all four of their runs. As for the Yankees, they scored their only two runs in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were the slight underdogs at +108.

Dean Kremer pitched well for the Orioles in this one, going seven innings and giving up just two hits and two earned runs. He picked up a win in the game, while Jacob Webb got the save. Nestor Cortes had a rough outing for the Yankees, taking the loss.

Juan Soto and Austin Wells each homered for the Yankees, while Adley Rutschman went 2/4 with an RBI for the Orioles. Soto actually had more homers than the Orioles did as a team, as they finished with just three.

Having dropped the first two games of this series vs. the Orioles, the Yankees are 19-12 overall, which has them just one game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead. So far, they are 5-6 in divisional games. New York lost the final game of their series vs. the Brewers and have dropped the first two games of this series.

As the road team today, the Yankees will be looking to improve upon their 11-7 road record. They have been good at home, going 8-5 this season. As the favorite, the Yankees are 13-9 and 6-3 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Yankees have gone 7-1-1 in series this year.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.5 runs per victory. They have been a strong bet on the run line as the underdog, going 7-2, but have struggled as the favorite, going just 7-15. The run line has been a good bet on the road, where they are 10-8, but not at home, where they are just 4-9.

With an over/under line of 8.5 runs, the Yankees and Orioles have combined for an average of 8.4 runs per game this season. The over/under record for Yankees games this season is 12-18, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, the record is 9-6. Overall, 29.0% of Yankees games have had higher over/under lines than 8.5 runs, and the under has hit in two straight games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

Luis Gil and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Orioles. Gil has been pretty solid in his first two starts of the season, as he’s 1-0 with a win over the Rays and a no-decision against the Brewers. In his first start, he struck out 9 and only gave up 2 hits. In his last outing, he gave up 6 runs on 6 hits in 5 innings of work.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far, the Yankees offense has been one of the league’s best, averaging 4.8 runs per game (9th) and coming in 3rd in home runs. They are also one of the league’s best teams at drawing walks and have the league’s top on-base percentage. New York has been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.5 runs per game.

Juan Soto has been the Yankees’ top hitter this season, batting .325 with 8 homers and 25 RBIs. He has also gone 7/19 in his last five games. Aaron Judge has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/19 in his last five games with two homers. For the season, he is batting just .207.

Baltimore’s overall record is 19-10 heading into today’s matchup vs. the Yankees, and they lead the AL East by one game. The Orioles have gone a perfect 5-0 against other teams in the AL East. They have won two straight games, with both of these coming vs. the Yankees.

At home, the Orioles are 11-6 this year, and they have been good on the road, going 8-4. So far, they have really thrived as the favorite, going 15-9, and they are 4-1 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 6-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.8 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 17 of 29 games, including 10 of 17 at home. They are 13-11 vs. the run line as the favorite and 4-1 as the underdog.

The Baltimore Orioles have had a combined run average of 9.5 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-11. The average over/under line for their games has been 8 runs, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over in 8 of 13 games. Overall, 31% of their games have had lower lines than 8.5 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through six starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 3-0 and an ERA of 2.55 for the Orioles. He has made three quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he allowed just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing, he gave up three hits, three walks, and one homer. Burnes has a home ERA of 2.44 compared to 3.03 on the road. Opponents are batting .181 off Burnes this season. So far, he has allowed five homers. Burnes has made six appearances this year.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

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Adley Rutschman has been on a tear for the Orioles, as he comes into the game with an 11-game hitting streak and has gone 8/25 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .322 and is 4th on the team with four home runs. Gunnar Henderson has been the league’s top power hitter so far, with 10 homers, and is 5th in the league with 24 RBIs.

The Orioles are the league’s top home run-hitting team and are also 2nd in the league in scoring at 5.4 runs per contest. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.5 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .254 and have the league’s top slugging percentage.


Yankees vs Orioles Prediction


There are a few different ways you could look to bet on this Yankees vs. Orioles game, but we are going to stick with the money line and have the Orioles coming out on top. At -160, there is still some solid value in taking the Orioles to win straight up.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with six strikeouts, and he is projected to finish 13th among starters in terms of total strikeouts. As for Luis Gil, he is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he is currently sitting at seventh in terms of projected strikeouts.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.