The New York Yankees (94-68) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (92-69) on Thursday, October 17th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on None. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Guardians are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 4:08 CT.

Yankees vs. Guardians Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Guardians (-101)
• Over/Under Prediction: Under 7.5 Runs

• The Guardians have a strong home record, winning 50 out of 80 games at home this season.
• In their last 15 games, the Guardians have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, showcasing their offensive potential.
• The Guardians have won 3 out of their last 4 home games, indicating a positive trend in recent home performance.
• In their last 15 games, the Guardians have held opponents to 3 or fewer runs in 6 games, demonstrating effective pitching and defense.
• The Guardians have a winning record against the Yankees at home this season, having won 1 out of 2 games.

Yankees vs Guardians

It was a low-scoring game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs. Guardians series. New York went into the matchup as -171 favorites and squeaked out a 6-3 win. Heading into the game, the Yankees had scored the most runs in the series with 11, while the Guardians had scored just three.

Cleveland wasted a good outing from Tanner Bibee, as he gave up just two earned runs in 1 1/3 innings of work. On the other side, Gerrit Cole struggled for the Yankees, giving up two earned runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work. He did finish the game with four strikeouts.

New York’s offense was led by Aaron Judge, Gleyber Torres, and Anthony Volpe, as they were the only three Yankees hitters to have more than one hit. Judge also hit the game’s only home run.

As the Yankees prepare for game three against the Guardians, they hold a 2-0 lead in the series and are on the road. New York posted a 94-68 regular season record, going 44-37 at home and 50-31 on the road. They’ve won five straight road games and four consecutive as the favorite.

New York’s run line record stands at 87-81, with a 50-33 mark on the road. They’ve covered the run line in three straight games as the favorite. The Yankees’ games have averaged 9.1 total runs, while today’s over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Their over/under record for the season is 88-75.

Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending right-hander Clarke Schmidt to the mound today vs. the Guardians. He has made 16 starts this season and has a record of 5-5 with an ERA of 2.85. So far, Schmidt has made two quality starts and is averaging 9.81 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Schmidt finished with a no-decision, giving up two earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least three earned runs in three straight starts. Schmidt has been much better on the road, coming in with a 1.77 ERA compared to 4.64 at home.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they are also 3rd in the league in runs scored at 5 per game. One of the reasons they are among the league leaders in runs scored is their team batting average of .248, which is 7th in the league. The Yankees have also been very patient at the plate, as they are the league’s top-ranked team in terms of drawing walks.

Yankees outfielder Aaron Judge has been one of the league’s top power threats this season, as his 58 home runs are the most in the league. He also leads the MLB with 144 RBIs. Judge comes into the game with a batting average of .322. Over his last seven games, Giancarlo Stanton has gone 7/24 with two homers, and Gleyber Torres has gone 9/27 with a home run.

Facing a must-win game three at home, Cleveland looks to avoid falling behind 3-0 in their series against New York. The Guardians finished the regular season with a 92-69 record, including a 50-30 mark at home and a 42-39 record on the road. As favorites, they went 66-37 this year, while posting a 29-36 record as underdogs.

Cleveland’s run line record for the season is 84-84, with a 41-42 mark at home. They have an average run-scoring margin of +0.8 at home, compared to +0.3 on the road. The Guardians’ over/under record is 71-85, and today’s 7.5-run line is below their season average of 8.0 runs.

Matthew Boyd Gets The Start For The Guardians

Cleveland is sending Matthew Boyd to the mound today vs. the Yankees. He has made 10 appearances this year and has a record of 2-2 with a 2.72 ERA. Boyd has made eight starts and has a WHIP of 1.13. Opponents are batting .204 off the left-hander this year. Boyd’s last outing came on October 12th, where he went 2 innings, giving up no earned runs, and coming away with a no-decision. He has not given up more than two earned runs in any of his last three outings. Boyd has made three quality starts this year.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

Jose Ramirez and Josh Naylor have been the Guardians’ top power threats this season, as Ramirez’s 39 homers are 5th in the league, and Naylor’s 31 home runs are 13th in the MLB. Ramirez also comes into the game with the 3rd most RBIs in the league (118), while Naylor is 6th in the league with 108 runs batted in. Ramirez has struggled a bit of late, hitting just .222 over his last eight games, but he does have three homers in that stretch.

As a team, the Guardians are averaging 4.4 runs per game and are 14th in the league in scoring. They have been a better offensive team at home this season, averaging 4.7 runs per game. Overall, they are batting just .238 and have the league’s worst BABIP.

Yankees vs Guardians Prediction

With the Guardians at -101 on the money line, this is a great opportunity to pick up a win in a close game. We have the Guardians winning this one 4-3, and with the payout at -101, this is a great payout for a team that we have coming out on top.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Clarke Schmidt finishing with five strikeouts compared to Matthew Boyd with six. However, we do have Boyd finishing with the better line in terms of earned runs, as we have him finishing with two compared to Schmidt with two.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.