The New York Yankees (62-45) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-40) on Monday, July 29th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Guardians. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-149)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• The Phillies have won 7 of their last 8 home games.
• The Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 8 home games.
• The Phillies have a home record of 38-18, the best in the National League.
• The Phillies have outscored their opponents by 20 runs in their last 8 home games.
• The Yankees have lost 6 of their last 10 games.

Yankees vs Phillies

The Yankees Are Coming Off A Win

Austin Wells and the Yankees’s offense is coming off a big game to close out their series vs. the Red Sox. New York picked up an 8-2 win on the road. Wells really got things going for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a double, two RBIs, and a run scored. The Yankees also had a big 3rd inning, scoring three runs. After the Red Sox pulled to within one run in the 4th, the Yankees added another three runs in the 4th to put things out of reach. New York was the -113 favorite going into the game.

Carlos Rodon started for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings, and giving up just two runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out seven Red Sox batters. Rodon got the win and was the only Yankees pitcher to see action.

After winning two straight games, the Yankees are 62-45 overall and trail the Orioles by just one game in the AL East. New York’s series record this season is 19-11-4. As underdogs, they have a 15-6 record and are 14-4 on the road. The Yankees’ average run margin in wins is 4.1, compared to -3.4 in losses.

Yankees games with an O/U line of 9 runs have gone under 9-4-2 this season. Their overall O/U record is 57-46. The current over streak for the Yankees is at 4 games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Luis Gil to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 10-5 and an ERA of 3.10. So far, he has made 20 starts and nine of them have been quality starts. Looking at his numbers, Gil has a WHIP of 1.08 and is averaging 10.4 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Gil finished with a no-decision, going five innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The right-hander has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.46 compared to 6.48 at home.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

As a team, the Yankees are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Not only do they lead the league in home runs, but they also have the league’s top two home run hitters in Aaron Judge and Juan Soto. Judge and Soto also come into the game with the top two batting averages on the team, with Judge hitting .314 and Soto at .306.

Over his last eight games, Juan Soto has gone 11/33 with four homers and eight RBIs. Giancarlo Stanton is also swinging a hot bat for the Yankees, as he comes into the game on a 10-game hitting streak. Gleyber Torres has also been swinging a hot bat, as he has a five-game hitting streak.

The Phillies Took The Last Game Of This Series

Philadelphia is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 4-3 loss to Cleveland, Kyle Schwarber went 2/4 with two homers, and Kolby Allard gave up just three runs on six hits in his four innings of work. The Phillies also got a big performance from José Alvarado out of the bullpen, striking out four in just 1.1 innings of work.

Despite all of this, the Phillies still took the loss. Heading into this game, they were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line at home.

Philadelphia has an overall record of 65-40 and they are 38-18 at home this season. They have been struggling lately, losing 4 straight series and going 3-7 in their last 10 games. Against the run line, they are 53-52, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs in their wins.

As the favorite, the Phillies have a 57-32 straight-up record, but their over/under record is 46-54 for the season. The under has hit in their last 3 games, and their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Phillies starter Zack Wheeler has made 20 starts this year and has a record of 10-4 with an ERA of 2.55. Wheeler’s WHIP for the season is .98, and he has turned in 15 quality starts. In his last outing, Wheeler went seven innings, giving up three hits, two walks, and two homers. He didn’t allow a run in the outing. Wheeler has not taken a loss since June 11th and has been pitching well as of late, giving up two earned runs or fewer in each of his last four outings.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. As a team, the Phillies are batting .256, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB right now. Not only are they good at putting the ball in play, but they are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams.

Kyle Schwarber has been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/26 with three homers in his last seven games. This has pushed his season average to .248, and he is 2nd on the team with 22 homers. Alec Bohm has also been a key run producer for the Phillies this season, as his 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 7th best in the league.

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Yankees vs. Phillies matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. With the Phillies predicted to come out on top and a money line payout of -149, we see this as a great value pick.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Zack Wheeler is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and Luis Gil is predicted to finish with six. Wheeler is also predicted to finish with the highest ERA among starters in today’s games.

Offensively, the Yankees are predicted to hit eight home runs, which is the fifth-best in the league today. The Phillies are predicted to finish with 11th best in the league.

Another option would be to look at the over/under, which is currently sitting at nine runs. However, we see this one finishing with 11 runs and would recommend sticking with the Phillies on the money line.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.