The New York Yankees (63-45) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-41) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

• Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-123)
• Over/Under Prediction: Over 9 Runs

• Phillies have a strong home record with 38 wins and 19 losses.
• Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 6 of their last 15 games.
• Phillies have won 4 out of their last 6 home games.
• Phillies have a higher league rank (1st in NL East) compared to the Yankees (3rd in AL East).
• Phillies have a better overall win-loss record (65-41) compared to the Yankees (63-45).

Yankees vs Phillies

New York cruised to a 14-4 win over the Phillies in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their fourteen runs. As for the Phillies, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were at +116 on the money line.

Luis Gil only went 5 1/3 innings for the Yankees but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but issued three walks. Zack Wheeler had a rough outing for the Phillies, giving up seven earned runs in five innings of work.

At the plate, the Yankees were led by Aaron Judge and Jazz Chisholm Jr., as they were the only two Yankees hitters to have more than one hit. Judge, Juan Soto, and Austin Wells each homered for New York.

The Yankees are just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead, with a 63-45 record. They have won two straight series on the road and are on a three-game winning streak. As underdogs, they are 16-6, and their overall run-line record is 57-51.

This season, the Yankees have been involved in high-scoring games, with a 58-46 over/under record. Their over streak is at five games, and games with a total of 9 have gone 5-9-2. Overall, 74.1% of their games have had lower totals than today’s 9-run line.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending right-hander Gerrit Cole to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Cole has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2. His ERA for the season is 5.40, along with a WHIP of 1.46. In his 35 innings of work, Cole has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 9.77 strikeouts per nine innings. Cole’s last outing came on July 24th, where he took the loss, giving up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Not only are the Yankees the top-scoring team in the league this season at 5.1 runs per game, but they also have the best on-base percentage in the league and are 2nd in home runs. Collectively, the team is batting .251, which is the 9th best mark in the league. One thing to note is that the Yankees are averaging 5.6 runs per game on the road, compared to 4.6 runs per game at home.

Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been two of the league’s top hitters this season, with Judge leading the league with 39 home runs, and Soto’s 27 homers is 6th in the league. Judge also has a team-high 99 RBIs, while Soto is 2nd on the team with 77 RBIs. Both players have been hot of late, with Judge going 14/35 in his last 10 games, and Soto is 18/42 in that stretch.

Philadelphia has struggled recently, losing four straight series and going 3-7 in their last 10 games. They have a 65-41 record and an 8.5-game lead in the NL East over the Braves. The Phillies are 38-19 at home and 27-22 on the road this season.

When the Phillies win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.9 runs per game. Their run line record is .500, and the over/under line for today’s game is set at 9 runs, higher than their season average of 8.8 runs per game. This season, the Phillies have gone over the total in 47 of their 101 games.

Aaron Nola Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Aaron Nola gets the start for the Phillies today as he faces the Yankees at home. Nola has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 11-4 with a 3.44 ERA. So far, he has pitched 130 2/3 innings and has one complete game shutout. Nola’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.06. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and giving up one earned run on six hits. Before that, he had won three straight starts. Per nine innings, Nola is averaging 8.68 strikeouts and just 2.14 walks.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 7th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 4th best hitting team, with a team batting average of .256. As a team, they are also near the top of the league in on-base percentage, slugging, and OPS.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber have been two of the league’s top power hitters this season, with Harper’s 24 homers leading the team and Schwarber’s 22 homers coming in as the 2nd most in the league. Schwarber has been especially hot of late, going 7/20 (.350) with three homers in his last six games. Alec Bohm has also been a key run producer for the Phillies, as his 71 RBIs are the best mark on the team and 8th best in the league.

Yankees vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -123. We see this game ending with a score of 6-5 in favor of the Phillies. Given that there is a lot of value in taking the Phillies on the money line, we would recommend staying away from the over/under line, as we have this game going under.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we actually have Gerrit Cole finishing with more strikeouts than Aaron Nola, as we have Cole finishing with seven and Nola with five. However, Nola has a better chance of picking up a win, as he is facing a Yankees lineup that we have hitting more home runs than the Phillies.

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All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

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* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.