The New York Yankees (64-45) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (65-42) on Wednesday, July 31st. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MLBN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Phillies are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 11:35 CT.
Yankees vs. Phillies Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-133)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
- The Phillies have a strong home record of 38-20, indicating they perform well at home.
- In their last 15 games, the Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 7 games, showing consistent offensive production.
- The Phillies have won 4 out of their last 5 home games, demonstrating recent success at home.
- Against teams with a winning record, the Phillies have a league rank of 1st, showing they perform well against strong opponents.
- The Phillies have a higher overall win percentage (.607) compared to the Yankees (.587), indicating better overall performance this season.
Yankees vs Phillies
It was a wild game in the most recent game of this Yankees vs Phillies series. New York went into the matchup as +124 underdogs and squeaked out a 7-6 win. The Yankees had a huge 7th inning, scoring three runs to tie the game and then adding the game-winning run in the 11th.
Jazz Chisholm Jr. was the difference for the Yankees, as he homered twice, scored five times, and finished with two more RBIs than any other player in the game. Aaron Judge also had a three-hit game for New York.
As for the Phillies, Austin Hays hit the game’s only other home run and went 2/4 with four RBIs. J.T. Realmuto also had a three-hit game at the plate.
On the road, the Yankees have been a strong team, going 37-22 so far this season. They have won four straight games as the road team and have a 16-4 record as the road underdog. Their average run margin in winning games is +4.2, and the over has hit in 59 of their 105 road games.
New York is just a half-game behind the Orioles for the AL East lead, as they have won the first two games of the series vs. the Phillies. The Yankees are on a four-game winning streak and have an overall series record of 19-11-4 this season.
Nestor Cortes Gets The Start For The Yankees
New York is sending left-hander Nestor Cortes to the mound today vs. the Phillies. He has made 22 starts this season and has a record of 4-9 with an ERA of 4.13. Cortes’ WHIP for the season is currently 1.21. In his 22 appearances, he has turned in nine quality starts and is averaging 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings. Cortes’ last outing came vs. the Red Sox, where he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in 4 2/3 innings of work. Before that, he had lost three straight starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
As a team, the Yankees are the top-scoring offense in the league, averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. The Yankees are also the league’s top home run-hitting team, and they have the league’s best on-base percentage and OPS.
Aaron Judge has been on a tear of late, going 11/20 with four homers and 10 RBIs over his last five games. For the season, he is hitting .319 with 39 homers and 99 RBIs. Juan Soto is also having a great season, hitting .309 with 27 homers and 77 RBIs.
Philadelphia has a 65-42 record, leading the NL East by 7.5 games over the Braves. However, they have lost three straight games and are 3-7 in their last 10. Against the run line, they are 53-54, with a +1.0 run margin and a +1.3 run differential at home.
For the season, the over/under record in Phillies games is 48-54, with an average of 8.8 runs per game. The over has hit in their last two games, and the O/U line for today’s game vs. the Yankees is 9.5 runs.
Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies
Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez finished with a no-decision in his last outing, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. He faced the Guardians in that July 26th start, where he gave up two homers. Before that outing, he had given up at least one homer in three straight starts. Sánchez’s ERA for the season is 3.05, along with a record of 7-6. Opponents are batting .252 off the left-hander this season. Sánchez has one complete game shutout this year.
Phillies Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Phillies are averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is good for 7th in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.3 runs per game. Overall, they are the league’s 6th best home run hitting team and have the 5th best team batting average in the league. Philadelphia’s offense has been led by Alec Bohm, who is batting .293 for the season and has driven in 72 runs, which is the best mark on the team and 7th in the league.
Over his last six games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 7/19 (.368) with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, he is batting .245 with 22 homers. Schwarber’s 63 RBIs are 3rd on the team, and he is currently leading the Phillies with a .378 on-base percentage. Bryce Harper is also near the top of the league leaderboards in home runs, as his 24 homers are the best on the team and 7th in the MLB.
Yankees vs Phillies Prediction
Our pick for today’s Yankees vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies on the money line at -133. We actually have the Yankees finishing with more home runs than the Phillies, but the Yankees are projected to strike out the eighth fewest times in the league today, which is helping their overall run projection.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cristopher Sanchez finishing with five strikeouts compared to Nestor Cortes with six. Sanchez is also third in terms of starters to pick up a win, while Cortes is 12th.
Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits compared to the Phillies with nine. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with the 12th most runs compared to the Phillies, who are projected to finish with the eighth most.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 31, 2024 Phillies, Yankees