New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Yankees vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/24/2024

The New York Yankees (35-17) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (27-26) on Friday, May 24th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on YES. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Yankees vs Padres

new york yankees nba

New York closed out their series vs. the Mariners with a 5-0 win. Leading up to the game, the Yankees were the heavy favorite at -154. It was a big 2nd inning that really turned things in their favor, and the Mariners could only score one run, which came in the 3rd.

Luis Gil put together a good start for the Yankees, going 6 1/3 innings, and didn’t give up a run. He also issued just two walks and struck out eight Mariners batters. Aaron Judge was hot at the plate, going 2/2 with a homer and two RBIs.

The Yankees are on the road today, taking on the Padres with an overall record of 35-17, which has them leading the AL East by three games over the Orioles. So far, they are 8-8 in divisional games and have won two straight games. New York has been good on the road this year, putting together a record of 17-9.

As the favorite, the Yankees are 26-13 this year and 9-4 when the underdog. They have won four straight games on the road, and their overall series record is 12-2-2, including having won two straight series on the road. New York has been good in day games this year, going 15-6, and they are 8-2 in their last 10 games overall.

When the Yankees are on the road, they have been a solid bet against the run line, going 16-10 on the season. Their average run margin in those games is +1.5, and they have covered the run line in four straight road games. They are 10-3 against the run line as an underdog this season.

The New York Yankees are on the road today against the San Diego Padres, with the over/under line set at 7.5 runs. The combined run average in Yankees games this season is 8.1, and their over/under record is 22-28. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, and their over/under record when the line is set at 7.5 runs is 2-4. The Yankees have had 45 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, accounting for 86.5% of their games, while they have had only 1 game with a lower line, making up 1.9% of their games.

Carlos Rodón Gets The Start For The Yankees

Carlos Rodón gets the start for the Yankees today and comes into the game with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 3.27. So far, he has made six quality starts and is averaging 9 strikeouts per nine innings. Rodón’s most recent outing came on May 19th, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up two earned runs. He has won each of his last three starts. The left-hander’s ERA at home is 2.21, compared to 4.78 on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they have also been one of the best hitting teams in the league in terms of batting average, on-base percentage, and slugging percentage. Collectively, the Yankees are averaging 4.8 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. One of the reasons they have been so good offensively is their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they are 9th in the league in this category.

Juan Soto has been a key part of the Yankees’ offense so far, as he is batting .312 for the season and has gone deep 13 times. Aaron Judge has also been a big power threat, as he is 3rd in the league with 15 home runs. Judge has also been hot of late, going 7/20 in his last six games with three homers.

Led by a big game by Luis Arraez at the plate, the Padres are coming off a 6-4 win over the Reds to close out their series. Arraez went 4/5 with a run scored and an RBI. The Padres really broke things open with a two-run 2nd inning and added another two runs in the 3rd.

Matt Waldron got the start for the Padres, going five innings and giving up just two runs on six hits. He only had seven K’s in the outing and got the win.

San Diego is hosting the Yankees today with an overall record of 27-26, which has them 2nd in the NL West. Currently, they trail the Dodgers by 6.5 games. The Padres will be looking to keep it going today, as they have won two straight games, and they took two of three in their most recent series vs. the Reds.

At home, the Padres are 10-16 this year compared to 17-10 on the road. As the underdog, the Padres are 11-11 this year and 16-15 when favored. San Diego’s overall series record is 10-6-2, and they have won two straight series.

The Padres have been a solid run line bet on the road this season, going 21-6. They have been a much worse bet at home, going just 8-18. They have covered the run line in 15 of 22 games as an underdog, but are just 14-17 as a favorite. Their average run differential in winning games is +3.7, while it is -3.2 in losing games.

San Diego’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and the Padres have gone over the total in 28 of their 52 games. The over/under line for today’s game against the Yankees is set at 7.5 runs, and when the line has been set at 7.5 runs, the Padres have gone over the total in 9 of 17 games. The over has hit in two straight games for the Padres.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish has been dominant for the Padres this season and comes into today’s game with a record of 4-1 and an ERA of 2.08. In his 9 starts, he has made 3 quality starts and is averaging 8.69 strikeouts per nine innings. Darvish has been especially tough at home, with a record of 2-1 and an ERA of 2.94. He most recently faced the Braves on May 19th, where he picked up the win, going 7 innings and not allowing a run. Darvish has not allowed more than one earned run in any of his last four starts.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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Over his last seven games, Luis Arraez has been on fire for the Padres, going 18/33 (.545) with one home run and three RBIs. Jurickson Profar has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/26 in his last seven games. Profar is currently 2nd on the team with seven home runs and 32 RBIs, which is 12th in the league. He also comes into the game on a 12-game hitting streak.

As a team, the Padres are 11th in scoring at 4.6 runs per game. They have been a better offensive team on the road this season, averaging 5.1 runs per game. Overall, they are one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the 3rd best batting average in the MLB.

Yankees vs Padres Prediction

Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Padres matchup is to take the Padres on the money line, with the payout sitting at -103. We have the final score at 6-5 in favor of the Padres, giving us some room to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Yu Darvish finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for ninth among starters. As for Carlos Rodón, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is fifth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.