New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 5/16/2024

The New York Mets (19-23) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (31-13) on Thursday, May 16th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on MLBN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 6:40 ET.

Mets vs Phillies

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Philadelphia cruised to a 10-5 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 5th inning, scoring four of their ten runs. As for the Mets, they scored their final run in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -203 on the money line.

Ranger Suarez only went five innings for the Phillies but didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. He finished the game with just three strikeouts and issued two walks. Joey Lucchesi had a rough outing for the Mets, taking the loss after going just 4 1/3 innings and giving up five earned runs.

Bryce Harper and Kyle Schwarber each had two hits and three RBIs for the Phillies’ offense. J.D. Martinez did the most damage for the Mets, going 2/5 with a home run and three RBIs.

With an overall record of 19-23, the Mets are 4th in the NL East, 11 games behind the Phillies for the division lead. The Mets have dropped three straight games, and they are 3-7 over their last 10. So far, they have gone just 3-6 in divisional matchups.

At home, the Mets are 10-14 this season compared to 9-9 on the road. As the underdog, the Mets are 8-13 this year, and they are 7-8 as the road underdog. New York’s two-game losing streak as the underdog is one more than their overall series record of 6-7-1 this year.

When the Mets are the favorite, they have a run line record of 8-13. When they are the underdog, they have a run line record of 11-10. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.1, while their average run margin in losing games is -2.9. Their overall run line record is 19-23, and their run line record on the road is 11-7.

When the New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies have met this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5, 7.0, and 8.0 runs. The combined runs scored in those games were 15, 4, and 9, respectively. For the season, the Mets have an over/under record of 20-22, and their games have averaged 8.6 runs per game. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 4-4.

Jose Quintana Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander Jose Quintana gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Quintana has made eight starts this year and has a record of 1-4 with a 5.44 ERA. His WHIP for the season is 1.55. The last time he pitched, Quintana took the loss, giving up four earned runs in five innings of work. Looking back over his last three starts, he has allowed at least four earned runs in each outing. Quintana’s ERA on the road is 10.66 compared to 3.5 at home.

Mets Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Mets are averaging 4.2 runs per game, which is 18th in the league. However, they have been a much better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per game. As a team, they are batting just .233, which is 17th in the league, and their team on-base percentage and slugging percentage are also below average. The Mets are also hoping to see an improvement in their team isolated power, as their current mark of .134 is 16th in the league.

Brandon Nimmo has struggled at the plate for the Mets of late, hitting just .200 over his last nine games. However, he does have three homers in that stretch. Overall, he is batting just .215, but his 27 RBIs are the best mark on the team. Pete Alonso has also been swinging the bat better of late, going 9/34 in his last nine games, with six RBIs. For the season, he is batting just .225.

With an overall record of 31-13, the Phillies lead the NL East by three games over the Braves. The Phillies have won three straight games, and they are 8-4 against other teams in the NL East. The Phillies have been really good on the road, going 15-6, and they have gone 16-7 at home this year.

Philadelphia has been really good in night games this year, going 19-6. The Phillies have won two straight games as the favorite, and they are 26-10 when favored this year. As the underdog, the Phillies are 5-3, and they have an overall series record of 9-2-3 this year.

Philadelphia has been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 24-20 overall. The Phillies have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 13-8, compared to 11-12 at home. Philadelphia has been favored in 36 games this season, going 19-17 on the run line.

So far this season, the Phillies have had 30 games with over/under lines set lower than 8.5 runs, and 4 games with higher lines. Their over/under record is 22-20, and the average line for their games is 8 runs. Their games have averaged 8.9 runs per game, and the over has hit in 3 of their 10 games with a line of 8.5 runs.

Taijuan Walker Gets The Start For The Phillies

Taijuan Walker is getting the start at home for the Phillies today, and he has picked up wins in each of his first three starts. In his last outing, he went 6 innings and gave up just 1 run on 1 hit. He has 19 strikeouts in 18 2/3 innings of work this season.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Phillies are the top-scoring team in the league, averaging 5.3 runs per game. They have been even better at home, putting up 5.6 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .260 (3rd) and have the league’s 2nd best on-base percentage. Philadelphia also has the league’s 3rd best slugging percentage and OPS. The Phillies have also been good at avoiding strikeouts, as they are 17th in the league in strikeouts per game.

Over his last five games, Bryce Stott has gone 7/15 with a homer and seven RBIs. Alec Bohm has also been swinging a hot bat, going 6/22 in his last five games. Bohm is 2nd on the team in batting average (.331) and has a team-high 35 RBIs. Bohm and Harper are 5th and 10th in the league in home runs, respectively.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

With the Phillies at -150 to pick up the win, we see this as a good opportunity to take them on the money line. At -150, there is some good value in this matchup, especially with our predicted final score being 6-5 in favor of the Phillies.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Taijuan Walker finishing with four strikeouts, which is good for third-worst among starters. As for Jose Quintana, we have him finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for sixth among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.