New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/15/2024

The New York Mets (81-67) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (89-59) on Sunday, September 15th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on WPIX. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Mets vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-147)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games.
  • Phillies have a strong home record with 51 wins and 26 losses.
  • Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 8 of their last 15 games.
  • Phillies have won 4 of their last 5 home games.
  • Phillies have a better overall record (89-59) compared to the Mets (81-67).

Mets vs Phillies

new york mets nba

Philadelphia picked up a 6-4 win over the Mets in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning and the Mets could only muster two more runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -118 on the money line.

Bryce Harper hit two home runs for the Phillies while going 2/4 with three RBIs and two runs scored. Cal Stevenson also had a two-hit game and drove in two runs. J.T. Realmuto and Luisangel Acuna each had two hits and an RBI.

Orion Kerkering got the win for the Phillies out of the bullpen, while Carlos Estevez got the save. Danny Young took the loss for the Mets out of the bullpen.

Overall, the Mets have a 25-16-7 series record this season, and they have won five straight series. They are 81-67, which puts them 8 games behind the Phillies in the NL East.

On the road, the Mets are 41-33 against the run line, with a +0.5 run differential per game. Their over/under record for games with an 8.5 run total is 26-19, and the over has hit in three consecutive games.

David Peterson Gets The Start For The Mets

Left-hander David Peterson gets the start for the Mets today as he faces the Phillies on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-2 with a 2.98 ERA. Peterson’s WHIP for the season is 1.35, and he has turned in 10 quality starts. In his last outing, Peterson took the loss, going 4 1/3 innings and giving up four earned runs on eight hits. Before that, he had gone three straight outings without taking the loss. One of those was a no-decision, but he had picked up the win in the other two.

Mets Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Mets are 8th in the league in runs scored, averaging 4.8 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5 runs per contest. Overall, they are the league’s 5th best home run-hitting team and have the 9th best team batting average in the league. New York has two of the league’s top home run hitters, with Pete Alonso and Francisco Lindor having gone deep 32 and 31 times, respectively.

Over his last eight games, Jose Iglesias has gone 11/28 for the Mets, but he has yet to homer during this stretch. Francisco Alvarez and Mark Vientos have both hit two homers in their last eight games, but Alvarez has gone just 5/23 during this stretch, and Vientos is 6/31. Lindor is also on a three-game hitting streak.

Philadelphia is 7-3 in their last ten games and have a 26-18 record in divisional games this season. They lead the NL East by eight games over the Mets, who they defeated in the series opener. The Phillies’ overall series record is 26-15-6.

When the Phillies win, they do so by an average of 3.9 runs per game, resulting in a 72-76 run line record. Their over/under record this season is 70-71, and their games have averaged 9.0 runs per game. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs, and their O/U record in games with that line is 16-14.

Cristopher Sánchez Gets The Start For The Phillies

Phillies starter Cristopher Sánchez has made 28 starts this season and has a record of 10-9. His ERA for the season is 3.33, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Sánchez has turned in 16 quality starts this year, along with two complete games and one shutout. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, going six innings and not giving up a run to the Rays. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. Sánchez has done much better at home, coming in with a 2.30 ERA compared to 5.61 on the road.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

So far this season, the Phillies have been one of the league’s best offenses, averaging 4.9 runs per game, which is 4th in the MLB. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are 8th in the league in home runs and have the 3rd best team batting average in the league at .258. Heading into the game, Johan Rojas is on a three-game hitting streak.

Over his last nine games, Bryce Harper has gone 14/35 with two homers and six RBIs. For the season, Harper is batting .290 with 28 homers and 82 RBIs. Kyle Schwarber has also been a big power threat for the Phillies, as his 35 homers are the best mark on the team and 7th in the league. Schwarber has gone deep three times in his last eight games and is batting .250 for the season.

Mets vs Phillies Prediction

Our predictions for this Mets vs. Phillies matchup is that the Phillies will come out on top by a score of 6-5. With the money line sitting at -147, this is the way we recommend playing this one, as there isn’t a ton of value in the over/under line, which is currently at 8.5 runs.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Christopher Sanchez finishing with six strikeouts, which is good enough for a top-10 projection among starters. As for David Peterson, he is projected to finish with six K’s, which is eighth best. However, Peterson is also projected to finish with a higher ERA than Sanchez.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.