The New York Yankees (19-10) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (17-10) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.
Yankees vs Orioles
The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Brewers, closing out their series with a 15-5 win. After allowing one run to the Brewers in the top of the first, the Yankees responded with a run of their own and added another three runs in the 2nd inning. New York really broke things open with a seven-run 6th inning. Going into the game, the Yankees were the slight favorite at -136 on the money line.
Marcus Stroman got the start for the Yankees, going four innings and giving up four earned runs on six hits. He also issued five walks and took the loss. The Yankees’s offense was carried by Anthony Rizzo, who went 4/4 with a homer and three RBIs.
With an overall record of 19-10, the Yankees lead the AL East by one game over the Orioles. The Yankees picked up two straight wins in their most recent series vs. the Brewers and are 7-1-1 in series this year. So far, they have gone 5-4 in divisional games.
At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year and are 11-5 on the road. As the road underdog, the Yankees have gone 6-2 this year and are 13-8 when favored. Their two-game winning streak has come with them on the road.
The Yankees have been a solid bet against the run line on the road this season, going 10-6. They have covered in their last two games and have been particularly good as the underdog, going 7-1 against the run line. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.5, while it drops to -2.4 in losses.
Yankees games have been trending towards the over recently, as they’ve gone over the total in three straight games. However, for the season, the Yankees are just 12-16 O/U. Their games have averaged 8.7 runs per game, and their average O/U line is 8 runs. They’ve played in 27 games with O/U lines lower than today’s 9.5, and they’ve gone under in 93.1% of those contests.
Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees
Clarke Schmidt and the Yankees are on the road to take on the Orioles. Schmidt has started 3 games this season, and he has picked up a win in each of his last 2 outings. His last start was against the Athletics, where he went 5 1/3 innings and struck out 6. He has given up 1 home run in each of his last 2 starts.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 5.1 runs per game, which is 8th in the league. They have been even better on the road, averaging 6.1 runs per game. As a team, they are 2nd in the league in home runs and have the league’s top on-base percentage. The Yankees also have the 3rd best on-base percentage in the league.
Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter so far this season, batting .318 with a team-high 24 RBIs. Soto’s seven homers is 4th in the league and leads the Yankees. Aaron Judge and Giancarlo Stanton are both tied for 2nd on the team with six homers, but Judge is batting just .211 this season. However, he has been hot of late, going 7/20 in his last five games with three homers.
Ryan Mountcastle had a big game for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, going 3/4 with a homer and two RBIs. The Orioles really needed his offense, as they lost the game 7-6. Baltimore was actually the -212 favorite at home going into the game.
Albert Suarez got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted four innings, giving up four earned runs on seven hits. The Orioles also used Craig Kimbrel out of the bullpen, and he took the loss. Baltimore scored three runs in the 2nd inning to take the lead but couldn’t hold on, as the Athletics scored two runs in the 9th to pick up the win.
Baltimore will host the Yankees today with an overall record of 17-10, which has them just one game behind the Yankees in the AL East. The Orioles are a perfect 3-0 against other AL East teams so far this year. The Orioles dropped the series finale of their most recent series vs. the Athletics but took two of three in the series.
So far, the Orioles have been good at home, going 9-6 this year. On the road, they are 8-4. Baltimore has been good as the favorite this year, putting together a mark of 14-9. As the underdog, they are 3-1 this year. The Orioles’ overall series record is 6-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.
Despite their overall run line record of 15-12, the Orioles have been a profitable team to bet on in terms of run line wagers, as they have covered the run line in 8 of their 15 home games and are 7-5 against the run line on the road. They have been favored in 23 of their 27 games, and have covered the run line in 12 of those games.
The Orioles have played 25 games this season with over/under lines lower than 9.5, and their over/under record for the season is 16-9. Their games have averaged 9.9 runs per game, and their average over/under line for the season has been 8 runs. The over/under line for today’s game is 9.5 runs, and the Orioles have gone over that line in both games this season when the line was set at 9.5 runs.
Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Grayson Rodriguez has been a workhorse for the Orioles so far this season, as he has gone at least 6 innings in each of his first 3 starts. He has a 2-1 record and will be making his 2nd start at home. Rodriguez has 20 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings, but he has given up 3 home runs in his last start against the Angels.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Adley Rutschman has been on a tear of late for the Orioles, going 16/41 in his last nine games with three homers and 10 RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .318 with four homers. Gunnar Henderson has also been swinging the bat well for Baltimore, as he has three homers and seven RBIs in his last nine games, while batting .288 for the season. Henderson is currently 6th in the league in RBIs and 2nd in homers.
As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top home run hitting club and are 2nd in the league in runs per game at 5.6. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.7 runs per contest. Overall, they are batting .257, which is 5th in the league.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
Getting the Orioles at -131 on the money line is a great value, and we have them winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under sitting at 9.5 runs, there isn’t a ton of wiggle room, but we do see this one going over if you’re looking to make a pick on the total.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Grayson Rodriguez has a higher chance of picking up a win than Clarke Schmidt. However, Rodriguez is projected to go just five innings, and we have Schmidt finishing with eight strikeouts compared to Rodriguez at six.
Offensively, we have the Yankees finishing with eight hits compared to the Orioles at nine. However, the Yankees are projected to finish with the sixth most home runs on the day compared to the Orioles at seventh.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:April 29, 2024 Orioles, Yankees