The New York Yankees (57-39) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (57-37) on Saturday, July 13th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on FS1. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 3:05 CT.
Yankees vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-135)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Orioles have a higher home win percentage (29-21) compared to the Yankees’ away win percentage (32-20).
- Baltimore scored 17 runs in their last head-to-head game against the Yankees on June 20th, winning 17-5.
- The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
- Baltimore has a better overall league rank (2nd) compared to the Yankees (3rd).
- The Orioles have a higher division win percentage (19-8) compared to the Yankees (15-18).
Yankees vs Orioles
New York picked up a 4-1 road win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense only had seven hits in the game but took advantage of their opportunities, scoring four runs in the 1st and adding an insurance run in the 9th. As for the Orioles, they scored their only run in the 2nd.
Gerrit Cole started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with seven strikeouts but issued a season-high five walks. Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles, going just 5 1/3 innings and giving up three runs.
Aaron Judge and Jose Trevino each homered for the Yankees, while Juan Soto went 2/5 with an RBI in his second game back from the injured list. Judge, Trevino, and Soto each scored two runs for New York’s offense.
As underdogs, the Yankees have excelled this season, going 13-6 straight up and 15-4 against the run line. Their overall run line record is 51-45, including a 30-22 mark on the road. New York’s average run margin in wins is 4.0, while in losses, it’s -3.3.
The Yankees are looking to build on a win in the first game of the series vs. the Orioles, which snapped a seven-game losing streak. They are one game behind Baltimore in the AL East with a 57-39 record. New York’s overall road record is 32-20, compared to 25-19 at home.
Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees
Luis Gil gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 18 starts this season and has a record of 9-5 with a 3.27 ERA. Gil’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.09, and opponents are batting .163 off the right-hander this year. In his last outing, Gil took the loss, going 6 2/3 innings and giving up one earned run on four hits. Before that, he had lost three straight starts. Gil has given up at least one homer in each of his last four outings. His ERA at home is 6.95 compared to 3.70 on the road.
Yankees Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Yankees lead the league in both runs per game (5) and home runs (135). They have been especially good on the road this season, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, the Yankees are batting .247, which is 8th in the league, and have the best walk rate in the league.
So far, Aaron Judge and Juan Soto have been the team’s top power threats, with Judge leading the league with 33 home runs and Soto’s 22 homers being 6th in the MLB. Judge is also 1st in the league in RBIs, with 84, and Soto is 2nd on the team with 65 RBIs. Soto comes into the game on a three-game hitting streak and has gone 9/32 in his last eight games.
On the road, the Orioles have a 28-16 record and they have won two straight series away from home. They are 46-30 as favorites and 11-7 as underdogs this season. Overall, the Orioles are 57-37 and they trail the Yankees by one game in the AL East.
This season, the O/U record for Orioles games is 47-37, with an average of 9.0 runs per game. The under has hit in the Orioles’ last three games, and the O/U line for today’s game is set at 8.5 runs.
Grayson Rodriguez Gets The Start For The Orioles
Grayson Rodriguez has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has won each of his last three starts. In his most recent outing, he went six innings and gave up three earned runs on six hits. Looking at his overall numbers, Rodriguez is 11-3 with a 3.52 ERA. Opponents have a batting average of .230 this season off Rodriguez. He has made nine quality starts and is averaging 9.98 strikeouts per nine innings. For the year, he has allowed 10 homers and is walking 2.85 batters per nine innings. At home, his ERA is 2.23 compared to 5.09 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles offense has been the best in the league in terms of home runs, and they are also 2nd in the league in runs scored, averaging 5 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. Overall, they are 5th in the league in batting average and have the best isolated power mark in the MLB.
Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the Orioles’ top home run hitters this season, with 23 and 27 home runs, respectively. Henderson is batting .288 for the season and has gone 12/42 over his last 10 games. Santander is just 10th on the team in batting average this season at .234.
Yankees vs Orioles Prediction
We really like the Orioles on the money line in this one, as they are our predicted winner and have them taking this game 6-5. The money line for the Orioles is sitting at -135, and that is the way we would recommend playing this game.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Luis Gil is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and Grayson Rodriguez is also projected to finish with seven. As for the offenses, the Yankees are projected to finish with eight hits, and the Orioles are predicted to finish with nine and also have the better chance of hitting a home run.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 13, 2024 Orioles, Yankees