New York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction 4/26/2024

The New York Yankees (17-9) travel to face off against the Milwaukee Brewers (16-8) on Friday, April 26th. This game will be played at American Family Field in Milwaukee and televised on MLBN. The Brewers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Yankees vs Brewers

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The Yankees’s offense was hot right out of the gates in their most recent game vs. the Athletics, but they could only score one run. After Jose Trevino’s leadoff homer, the Yankees went on to lose 3-1. New York was the heavy favorite at -284 going into the game.

Nestor Cortes was excellent on the mound for the Yankees, going seven innings and giving up just three runs on five hits. He also issued only one walk and struck out four Athletics batters. However, he was still tagged with the loss.

The Yankees are on the road today vs. the Brewers, and they are 17-9 overall this season, putting them in 2nd place in the AL East, tied with the Orioles. New York lost the final game of their series vs. the Athletics but still took the series, 2-1. So far, they are 5-4 in AL East play.

At home, the Yankees have gone 8-5 this year, and they have been even better on the road, going 9-4. As the favorite, the Yankees are 11-7 this year, and they are 6-2 as the underdog. New York’s overall series record is 6-1-1.

When the Yankees win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.6. This has led to a 12-14 run line record overall, but they are 8-5 on the road. They have covered the run line in two straight road games and are 7-1 as an underdog.

The New York Yankees have played 25 games so far this season, and their over/under record is 9-16. Their games have averaged 7.8 runs per game, and the over/under line for their games has averaged 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their record is 6-6. So far, 7 of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs, which is 26.9% of their games.

Luis Gil Gets The Start For The Yankees

Luis Gil is on the mound for the Yankees today, as they take on the Brewers. Gil is coming off a win in his last start, where he struck out 9 batters in 5 2/3 innings of work. He has started 2 games on the road this season and has a loss and a no-decision, with 3 runs allowed in each of those outings.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Yankees are averaging 4.3 runs per game, which is 15th in the league. At home, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, but on the road, they have been better at 4.7 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .239, and their team on-base percentage of .329 is 6th in the league.

Juan Soto has been the team’s top hitter this season, batting .316 with a team-leading 22 RBIs and 6 homers. However, he has gone just 3/19 in his last five games. Giancarlo Stanton is 2nd on the team with five homers but is batting only .222 for the season. Anthony Rizzo has gone 5/17 in his last five games with two homers and is currently on a three-game hitting streak.

Heading into their last game vs. the Pirates, the Brewers closed out the series with a 7-5 win. Leading up to the game, they were the slight favorite at -139 on the money line. It was a big first inning for the Brewers, as they scored three runs right out of the gates. Milwaukee’s offense added another two runs in the 3rd inning and tacked on another two in the 8th to close things out.

Freddy Peralta got the start for the Brewers but only lasted 4 2/3 innings, giving up five earned runs. Milwaukee’s bullpen was excellent, though, as they didn’t give up a run over the final 4 1/3 innings. Jared Koenig picked up the win out of the bullpen, and Trevor Megill got the save.

Milwaukee kicks off their series vs. the Yankees with a two-game winning streak, and they lead the NL Central by a half-game over the Cubs. The Brewers are 16-8 overall and have gone 7-3 against other teams in the NL Central. Their two most recent wins came in the final two games of their series vs. the Pirates.

So far, the Brewers have been really good on the road, putting together a record of 12-4. But at home, they are just 4-4 this year. Milwaukee has been really good in day games this season, going 11-3. As the underdog, the Brewers are 8-4 this year and the same goes for their record as the favorite. The team’s overall series record is 5-1-2.

When it comes to the run line, the Brewers have been a better bet on the road than at home, going 10-6 on the run line away from Miller Park. Their average run margin on the road is 2.3, compared to -0.2 at home. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 8-4 on the run line in those games.

So far this season, the Milwaukee Brewers have played 24 games with an average combined run total of 9.1. Their over/under record is 14-10, and when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 9 times and under 4 times. Only 2 of their games have had higher lines than 8.5 runs, which is just 8.3% of their games. Their average over/under line for the season is 8 runs.

Colin Rea Gets The Start For The Brewers

Colin Rea has been solid in his first two starts of the season for the Brewers, picking up a win in each outing. He started the year with a win over the Mets, then went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 3 runs in his start against the Orioles. In his most recent start, he went 5 innings and struck out 3, giving up 3 hits and 3 walks.

Brewers Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Brewers have been one of the league’s best offensive teams, averaging 5.3 runs per game, which is 6th in the league. They have been even better on the road, putting up 5.8 runs per contest. Overall, they are 3rd in home runs and have the league’s 3rd best team batting average. As a team, they have been tough to strike out and have been good at drawing walks.

William Contreras has been red hot for the Brewers, hitting .365 for the season and batting .344 over his last eight games. Rhys Hoskins and Christian Yelich are tied for the team lead with five homers apiece, but Hoskins is batting just .226 this season and has hit just .207 over his last eight games.


Yankees vs Brewers Prediction


Our prediction for this Yankees vs. Brewers matchup is to take the Brewers on the money line, with a payout of +108. We have the Brewers winning this one by a score of 5-4.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Luis Gil finishing with six strikeouts, which has him as the 10th highest projected strikeout total among starters. As for Colin Rea, we have him finishing with five strikeouts, which has him as the 17th highest among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.