New York Yankees vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/26/2024

The New York Yankees (37-17) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (27-28) on Sunday, May 26th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on YES. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Yankees vs Padres

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New York picked up a 4-1 road win over the Padres in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and adding two more in the 4th. As for the Padres, they got on the board with one run in the 8th. Heading into the game, the Yankees were the slight underdogs at +104.

Marcus Stroman started for the Yankees and picked up the win, going six innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with five strikeouts but issued just one walk. On the other side, Dylan Cease got the start for the Padres and took the loss, giving up four earned runs in 6 2/3 innings of work.

Aaron Judge and Alex Verdugo each homered for the Yankees, while Anthony Volpe scored two runs and drove in a run while going 2/5. Fernando Tatis Jr. hit a home run for the Padres, going 1/4.

The Yankees have taken the first two games of their series vs. the Padres and come into today’s game with an overall record of 37-17, which has them leading the AL East by three games over the Orioles. New York is 8-8 in division play this year and have won four straight games overall.

At home, the Yankees are 18-8 this year, and they have gone 19-9 on the road. New York has been really good in day games this year, going 17-6. So far, they are 9-5 as the favorite on the road and 27-13 overall as the favorite. As for their record as the underdog, the Yankees are 10-4 this year.

The Yankees have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 31-23 overall. They have been especially good on the run line on the road, going 18-10, and are currently riding a six-game run line win streak on the road. The average run margin in their winning games is 3.7, while the average run margin in their losing games is -2.5.

The Yankees are on the road against the Padres today, with the over/under line set at 8.5 runs. The combined run average for their games this season is 8.0 runs. Overall, their games have gone over the total 23 times and under 29 times. The average over/under line for their games this season is 8 runs. When the over/under line has been set at 8.5 runs, their games have gone over 13 times and under 9 times. So far this season, 20.4% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs.

Clarke Schmidt Gets The Start For The Yankees

Right-hander Clarke Schmidt gets the start for the Yankees today as he faces the Padres on the road. Schmidt has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 5-2. His ERA is an impressive 2.59, along with a WHIP of 1.13. Schmidt has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing in which he gave up two homers and four earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had won three straight starts. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a 1.69 ERA compared to 3.98 at home.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home this season, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Not only do the Yankees lead the league in home runs, but they also have the top OPS in the league. New York also has the league’s top slugging percentage.

Right fielder Juan Soto and center fielder Aaron Judge have been carrying the Yankees offense of late, as they are both among the league leaders in home runs and have been hitting the ball well. Judge has gone 10/28 in his last eight games, with five homers and nine RBIs. Soto has also gone deep five times in this stretch, going 11/31.

With a record of 27-28, the Padres are 3rd in the NL West, trailing the Dodgers by 6.5 games. The Padres have dropped two straight games, and this includes losing the first two games of their series vs. the Yankees. So far, they have gone 12-13 in divisional games.

At home, the Padres are just 10-18 this season, but they have been good on the road at 17-10. As the home underdog, the Padres are just 1-6 this year, and they are 16-16 as the favorite. San Diego’s overall series record is 10-6-2 this year, and they have won two straight series.

San Diego’s run line record is 29-26, but they have been a much better bet on the road, where they are 21-6. The Padres have been a run line underdog in 23 games and have covered in 15 of them. Their average run margin in winning games is 3.7, while their average run margin in losing games is -3.4.

San Diego is playing at home today against the Yankees, and the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Padres’ games have averaged 8.7 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 29-25. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line has been set at 8.5 runs, they have gone over 8 times and under 5 times. Overall, 20.0% of their games have had over/under lines set at 8.5 runs or higher.

Joe Musgrove Gets The Start For The Padres

Joe Musgrove gets the start for the Padres today and comes in with a record of 3-4 and an ERA of 6.14. Looking at his overall numbers, Musgrove has made nine starts, and opponents are batting .299 this season. In his last outing, Musgrove took the loss, going three innings and giving up one earned run on three hits. He has given up a home run in each of his last three outings. Musgrove’s ERA at home is 6.82, compared to 8.12 on the road.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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So far this season, the Padres are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 13th in the league. They have been a better offensive team on the road, averaging 5.1 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .255, which is 5th in the league, and are also near the top of the league in terms of home runs.

Over the team’s last seven games, Luis Arraez has been on fire, going 15/31 with one home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .333, which is the best mark on the team. Manny Machado is also swinging a hot bat right now, as he is on a four-game hitting streak and has gone 8/27 in his last seven games.

Yankees vs Padres Prediction

Getting the Yankees on the money line at -124 is the direction we recommend going for this Yankees vs. Padres matchup. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees, giving us some room to take them on the money line.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Clarke Schmidt finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for third-best among all starters today. As for Joe Musgrove, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is good for sixth. However, we have Musgrove going just five innings, compared to Schmidt, who we have going six.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.