New York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays MLB Betting Prediction

MLB York Yankees vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction 4/17/2024

The New York Yankees (12-6) travel to face off against the Toronto Blue Jays (10-8) on Wednesday, April 17th. This game will be played at Rogers Centre in Toronto and televised on YES. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Yankees are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 3:07 ET.

Yankees vs Blue Jays

new york yankees nba

Toronto picked up a 5-4 win over the Yankees in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a two-run lead going into the 7th inning, and the Yankees could only muster one run in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were favored at -117 on the money line.

Yusei Kikuchi pitched well for the Blue Jays in this one, going six innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with nine strikeouts but issued a season-high seven walks. As for the Yankees, Carlos Rodon got the start and took the loss, going just four innings and giving up three earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. went 2/3 with two RBIs, while Ernie Clement also had two hits and scored twice for Toronto. Alex Verdugo did his best to spark a late Yankees rally, going 2/4 with two RBIs.

The Yankees are currently on a three-game losing streak as they take on the Blue Jays today. In the AL East, they lead the Orioles by a half-game and have an overall record of 12-6. So far, they have yet to lose a series this season (5-0).

At home, the Yankees have gone 4-2, and they have been even better on the road, as they are 8-4 this season. New York has been good in night games, putting together a 7-2 record.

When it comes to the run line, the Yankees have been a much better bet on the road than at home, going 7-5 against the run line in road games compared to just 2-4 at home. They have an average run margin of 0.8 on the road and 1.3 at home, and their overall run line record is 9-9. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 6-1 against the run line in those games, compared to just 3-8 as the favorite. Their average run margin in winning games is 2.9, while it drops to -2.8 in losses.

Today’s over/under line of 8 runs is the lowest of the season for the Yankees. They have played in 14 games with higher over/under lines, and their games have averaged 8.3 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 6-11, and their over/under record when the line is set at 8 runs is 1-2.

Marcus Stroman Gets The Start For The Yankees

Coming into today’s game, Marcus Stroman is 1-1 on the season and is making his first road start of the year. He picked up a win in his first start of the season, going 6 innings and giving up 3 runs. In his last outing, he took the loss vs. the Marlins, going 5 innings and giving up 4 runs.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

For the Yankees, we have Aaron Judge with the top home run projection on the team and the 5th best in the league today. Giancarlo Stanton has the 2nd best home run projection on the team and the 6th best in the league. Gleyber Torres has the top hits projection for the Yankees and the 17th best in the league today. Juan Soto has the 2nd best hits projection on the team and the 23rd best in the league.

Toronto comes into today’s game, having won four straight games. In the AL East, they are two games behind the Yankees and are currently in 3rd place. So far, they have a series record of 2-2-1.

At home, the Blue Jays have been good so far, putting together a record of 6-2. And they have been even better in day games, going 7-3 this season. Toronto has also won four straight games as the favorite.

When the Blue Jays win, they win big. Their average run margin in winning games is +3.2, but they’re losing games by an average of -5.9 runs. They’re 10-8 vs. the run line overall, and 5-3 at home. They’re 5-5 on the run line on the road, and 6-3 as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line is set at 8 runs for the Blue Jays’ game against the Yankees. The Blue Jays’ over/under record for the season is 8-9, and their games have averaged 8.5 runs per game. When the over/under line is set at 8 runs, their record is 4-2-1. So far this season, 50% of their games have had over/under lines set at over 8 runs, while only 11.1% have been set under 8 runs.

Kevin Gausman Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Kevin Gausman will be making his second start of the season against the Yankees, as he faced them in his first start of the year. He took the loss in that outing, going just 1 1/3 innings and giving up 5 runs. He followed that up with a no-decision against the Rays, and in his most recent start, he took the loss against the Rockies.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

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When looking at the Blue Jays’ offensive projections for today, we have Vladimir Guerrero Jr. as our top projected hitter in terms of total hits and home runs. His home run projection is 10th best in the league today. Bo Bichette is our 7th best hitter in terms of total hits. George Springer is 13th in the league in total hits and 11th in home runs. Justin Turner is 17th in total hits and 11th in home runs.

 

Yankees vs Blue Jays Prediction

 

Our pick for this Yankees vs. Blue Jays matchup is to take the Yankees on the money line, with the payout sitting at -119. Our predicted final score is 5-4 in favor of the Yankees.

Looking at the starting pitchers, Kevin Gausman actually has a better chance of picking up a win than Marcus Stroman. However, Stroman has a better projected ERA and is more likely to pick up a win.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.