morgan state bears vs virginia cavaliers betting prediction

Morgan State Bears vs Virginia Prediction 12/27/2023

The Morgan State Bears (4-10) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (9-2) on Wednesday, December 27th. This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville and televised on ACCN. Both Morgan State and Virginia will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Morgan State Bears vs Virginia Cavaliers

The Morgan State Bears Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Morgan State will be playing their 15th game of the season today and currently have a 4-10 overall record. Looking at their performance in the previous ten road games, Morgan State has gone 1-9 on the road, dating back to last year. Morgan State’s ATS record heading into today’s game is 2-5-1. However, in their last ten games, they have gone 3-1 vs. the spread.

Up to this point, games involving Morgan State have had an average of 152.5 points per game, with the average over/under line set at 147.2 points. Their over/under record is 5-3-0. The Bears’ last five games have finished with a combined 161 points per game and an over/under record of 3-1.

The Virginia Cavaliers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Cavaliers come into today’s game with a 9-2 record, having just lost to Memphis (77-54). In away games, the Cavaliers are 0-2 this season, but they have a perfect 7-0 record at home. Prior to today’s game, Virginia has a 5-4 ATS record. In terms of their overall ATS mark for this year, they are 0-2 on the road vs. the spread and 5-2 at home.

Looking at their over/under performance through 11 games, Virginia has an over/under record of 3-6-0, with their games averaging 122 points per game on average. The Cavaliers’ last five games have finished with a combined 123 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

Morgan State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Bears’ offense finished with 76 points, which is right in line with their current average of 74.6 points per contest. For the season, the Morgan State offense has struggled to get to the free-throw line, ranking just 336th in terms of free-throw attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

Name PPG REB AST
Wynston Tabbs (G) 15.0 2.9 1.8
Kameron Hobbs (G) 10.1 2.6 4.1
Will Thomas (F) 10.1 4.1 1.9

Virginia Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Virginia offense tallied 54 points in a matchup against Memphis. Their field goal percentage for the game was 39.3%, and they made 4 threes. Reece Beekman is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 12.5. Meanwhile, Isaac McKneely also brings a PPG average of 11.7 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Reece Beekman (G) 12.5 3.5 5.5
Isaac McKneely (G) 11.7 3.0 1.5
Ryan Dunn (G) 9.1 6.5 1.0

Morgan State Team Defense

At this time, the Bears’ defense is positioned 258th in the country, permitting 79.3 points per game. So far, the Morgan State defense is giving up an average of 10.1 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 13.6 times per game (648th).

Virginia Team Defense

Currently, the Cavaliers’ defense holds the 2nd rank in the nation, allowing 53.3 points per game. So far, the Virginia defense is giving up an average of 9.6 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 8.5 times per game (339th).

Bears vs Cavaliers Trends

  • Morgan State has a 0-3 record in their last three road games. In this stretch, they averaged 64 points per game while allowing 75. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • In their last three games at home, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 52 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bears have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 3-0.
  • The Cavaliers have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 5-0 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Bears vs Cavaliers Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Cavaliers vs. Cavaliers game, we suggest taking the Cavaliers at -26. Even though our predictions have the Cavaliers winning 77-66, we see the Bears as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 131.5 and our model has the Bears and Cavaliers finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.