Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 4/29/2024

The Los Angeles Lakers (47-35) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (57-25) on Monday, April 29th. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on TNT. The Lakers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Nuggets. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Lakers vs Nuggets

los angeles lakers nba

LeBron James and the Lakers picked up an 11-point win over the Nuggets in the most recent game of this series. The Lakers were 3.5-point underdogs heading into the game and easily covered the spread. Going into the game, the over/under line was at 220 points, and the teams surpassed that with their combined 227 points.

Los Angeles was led by LeBron James, who had 30 points and shot 60.9% from the field. Anthony Davis also had a big game for the Lakers, finishing with 25 points and 23 rebounds. As a team, the Lakers shot 52.2% from the field but made just eight threes. The Nuggets were led by Nikola Jokic’s 33 points, 14 assists, and 14 rebounds.

Lakers Offense Breakdown

Los Angeles comes into the game as one of the top-scoring teams in the league, averaging 118 points per contest. Their scoring average on the road is even better, at 116.1 points per contest. The Lakers are also near the top of the league in team field goal percentage, as they have hit 49% of their shots this season.

Anthony Davis is averaging 28.4 points and 15.6 rebounds in his last five games. This has come while hitting 58.2% of his shots from the field. Lebron James is averaging 26.4 points and 8.4 assists in his last five games. For the season, James has hit 41% of his three-point attempts. D’Angelo Russell is averaging 18 points and 6.3 assists for the season, and Austin Reaves has averaged 16.2 points in his last five games.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

denver nuggets

Denver is averaging 118 points per game at home this season, which is 10th in the league. Overall, they are 13th in the NBA at 114.9 points per contest. The team’s field goal percentage of 49% is the 4th best mark in the league. Despite their high field goal percentage, they are just 25th in three-point shooting at 37%.

Nikola Jokic is averaging 26.4 points and 12.4 rebounds this season. Over his last five games, he has put up 26.2 points, 15.2 rebounds, and 9 assists. Michael Porter Jr. is averaging 16.7 points per game for the season and 20 points in his last five games.

Lakers Team Defense

So far this season, the Lakers’ defense has been middle of the pack, ranking 23rd in points allowed per game at 116.9. On the road, they have been slightly worse at 119.5 points per game (24th).

One area where the Lakers have excelled defensively is on the glass. They are 2nd in defensive rebounds per game at 43.1. They have also been able to protect the rim, ranking 11th in blocked shots per game (5.5).

Over their last five games, the Lakers’ defense has been solid, giving up just 108.2 points per game (14th). During this stretch, they have been especially good at defending the three-point line, ranking 2nd in three-point percentage allowed at 27.4%.

Nuggets Team Defense

When it comes to points allowed per game, the Denver Nuggets were one of the best defenses in the NBA this season, ranking 6th at 109.5 points per game. At home, they were even better, allowing just 108.4 points per contest, which was 5th in the league.

One reason for their success on the defensive end was their ability to defend the three-point line. Denver was 2nd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 35.1%. They were also 2nd in made threes allowed per game at 11.1.

Overall, opponents scored less than their season average in 75.6% of games vs. the Nuggets, and they made fewer threes than their season average 73.2% of the time. In terms of rebounding, Denver was 7th in the NBA at 44.4 rebounds per game and 8th in defensive rebounds.

Key Players For The Lakers And Nuggets

For today’s matchup, we project LeBron James to lead the scoring for the Lakers, putting up 26 points and shooting at a rate of 10/18. This season, he is averaging 25.7 points per game along with 7.3 boards.

On the flip side, our predictions place Nikola Jokic as the leading scorer for the Nuggets. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 27 while also collecting 13 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 58.3%, and he is contributing 26.4 points per game on average.

Lakers vs Nuggets Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Lakers offense has averaged 115 points per game while allowing an average of 111. Los Angeles posted an overall record of 7-3 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • Through their last ten home contests, the Nuggets offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 108. Denver posted an overall record of 6-4 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • The Lakers have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 4-1 against the spread.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 7-3 straight up.

Lakers vs Nuggets Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +7.5, we have the Lakers as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 217, and our model predicts the Lakers and Nuggets to score a combined 233 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.