Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Dallas Mavericks Prediction 4/4/2024

The Atlanta Hawks (36-40) travel to face off against the Dallas Mavericks (45-30) on Thursday, April 4th. This game will be played at American Airlines Center in Dallas and televised on WFAA. The Hawks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Mavericks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Pistons. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Hawks vs Mavericks

atlanta hawks nba

The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

The Hawks beat the Pistons in their most recent game, ending with a score of 121-113. The Hawks were leading the game going into the second half 59-50.

With an overall record of 36-40, the Hawks are currently 10th in the Eastern Conference and are 3rd in the Southeast division. As they get ready to take on the Mavericks, they are 7-3 in their last ten games.

So far, Atlanta’s ATS record is below .500 at 28-48. In their last two home games, Atlanta has been unable to cover the spread, and they maintain an ATS record of 15-24 at home compared to 13-24 on the road.

The Mavericks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Mavericks were defeated by the Warriors in the most recent game, concluding with a score of 104-100. In addition to their straight-up loss, the Mavericks also couldn’t meet the spread, coming up short as -1 point favorites. Concerning the over/under, the total of 204 points remained below the established over/under line of 232.

Coming into today’s matchup vs. the Hawks, the Mavericks have a winning record above .500 at 45-30. In the Western Conference, the Mavericks are 5th and are also 1st in the Southwest division.

Dallas comes in with an overall ATS record of 43-32 so far this season. Dallas has covered the spread in four straight home games and are 18-19 ATS at home compared to 25-13 on the road.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Atlanta offense is the 5th ranked unit in the NBA, at 119.1 points per contest.

Heading into the game, the Hawks are the 5th highest-scoring team in the NBA at 119.1 points per game. However, their scoring average drops to 115.6 points per game on the road (10th).

Atlanta has outscored the NBA average in 59.2% of their games this season. In terms of pace, the Hawks are 6th in the league at 100 possessions per game.

When it comes to field goal percentage, Atlanta is shooting 46% on the season (19th). In terms of three-point shooting, the Hawks are 6th in made threes per game (13.8) and 14th in three-point shooting percentage (36%).

Mavericks Offense Breakdown

dallas mavericks

The Mavericks arrive for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top offensive teams, scoring an average of 118.5 points per game (6th).

The Mavericks are one of the top offensive teams in the NBA, averaging 118.5 points per game (6th). At home, they are averaging 119.3 points per game (7th).

Dallas is one of the most prolific three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in both three-point attempts and makes. They are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.

Overall, the Mavericks are shooting 48% from the field (11th) and have made 56% of their two-point attempts (4th).

Hawks Team Defense

Currently, the Hawks’ defense holds the 27th rank in the NBA, allowing 120.2 points per game. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Hawks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 56.9% while allowing 38.5% from downtown.

Mavericks Team Defense

For the season, Dallas is sitting 20th in terms of points allowed per game (116.1). It is worth noting they have given up a fewer number of points in three straight games. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Mavericks defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 54.8% while allowing 36.8% from downtown.

Key Players For The Hawks And Mavericks

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Dejounte Murray will be the primary scorer for the Hawks, with 23 points and going 9/19 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 22.6 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

On the other side, Luka Doncic is our projected leading scorer for the Mavericks. We have him ending the game with a team-high 34 and grabbing 9 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 48.9% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 33.9 points per game.

Hawks vs Mavericks Trends

  • Through their last five road games, Atlanta has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 113 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, Dallas has averaged 110 points per game while allowing 104. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • The Hawks have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
  • The last ten games that Dallas was favored, they have an ATS mark of 8-2 while going 9-1 straight up.

Hawks vs Mavericks Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Hawks vs. Mavericks game, our recommendation is to take the Hawks at +11.5. Despite our model showing the Mavericks winning 116-112, we like Hawks as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 230 and our model has the Hawks and Mavericks finishing with a combined 228 points. Our pick is to take the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.