hawks vs heat nba betting prediction

NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction 1/19/2024

The Atlanta Hawks (17-23) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (24-17) on Friday, January 19th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on BSSU. The Hawks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Magic. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Hawks vs Heat

atlanta hawks nba

The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

The Hawks picked up a win over the Magic in their latest game, finishing with a score of 106-104. Going into the game, the Hawks were favored by -4 and their 2 point win was not enough to cover the spread. In terms of the over/under, the combined 210 points was below the over/under line of 229.

With an overall record of 17-23, the Hawks are looking to extend their two game winning streak. In their 40 games, the Hawks have gone 11-19 against Eastern Conference teams and are 6-4 in non-conference play.

So far, Atlanta’s ATS record is below .500 at 10-30. Atlanta has struggled to cover the spread in their last five road games and has an ATS record of 6-15 on the road, while it is 4-15 at home.

The Heat Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Bam Adebayo scored 16 for Miami against the Raptors which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 45.6%. Jimmy Butler contributed 16 points, but Miami lost the game 121-97.

As of now, the Heat hold a 24-17 overall record and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In the Eastern Conference, the Heat are currently ranked 6th and are the top team in the Southeast division.

Miami arrives with an ATS record of 19-20 for the season up to this point. As the favorite this season, Miami is 11-11 vs. the spread while going 8-9 as the underdog.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

Leading up to today’s matchup, the Hawks are one of the NBA’s top offenses, averaging 121 points per game (4th).

When it comes to scoring, the Hawks are one of the most potent offenses in the league, averaging 121 points per game. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in 62.5% of their games. On the road, Atlanta is averaging 120.3 points per game.

Overall, the Hawks are 4th in the NBA in scoring, but they are just 20th in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of pace, Atlanta is 5th in the league at 101.5 possessions per game.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Hawks are 7th in the NBA in made threes per game at 13.7. However, they are just 17th in three-point shooting percentage at 36%. In terms of free throw shooting, Atlanta is 6th in attempts and 3rd in made free throws.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

This season, the Miami offense is ranked 26th in the NBA in scoring at 111.5 points per game.

At home, the Miami Heat have been averaging 115.5 points per game (19th) compared to their season average of 111.5 points per game (26th). They have been outscoring the NBA average in just 39% of their games and have scored less than their average in four straight games.

So far, the Heat have been one of the better three-point shooting teams in the league, hitting 37% of their attempts (7th). However, they have struggled inside the arc, making just 52% of their two-point attempts (27th).

Overall, the Heat are 21st in field goal percentage at 46%. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league, averaging 96.7 possessions per game.

Hawks Team Defense

Coming into the game, the Hawks will be looking to improve their defense, as they are currently giving up 123.0 points per game (28th). On two point field goal attempts, the Hawks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 57.9% and allowing 38.7% from beyond the arc.

Heat Team Defense

So far this season, the Heat defense has been performing well, ranking 4th in the NBA at 110.9 points allowed per contest. The Heat defense is coming off a game in which they held the Raptors offense to just 45.6% shooting. Overall, they gave up 121 points to Toronto.

Key Players For The Hawks And Heat

Our game forecasts for today suggest that Trae Young is set to be the main scorer for the Hawks, recording 26 points and shooting 8/19 from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 27.2 points per game, in addition to 3.1 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Jimmy Butler as the leading scorer for the Heat. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 22 while also collecting 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 47.4%, and he is contributing 21.2 points per game on average.

Hawks vs Heat Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Hawks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
  • Across their three previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-2-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 96 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Hawks have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-8.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Miami has a poor record vs the spread going 1-1-1. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 2-1.

Hawks vs Heat Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Hawks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 228.5 and our model has the Hawks and Heat finishing with a combined 229 points. Our pick is to take the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.