Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Atlanta Hawks vs Miami Heat Prediction 2/26/2025

The Atlanta Hawks (27-31) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (26-30) on Wednesday, February 26th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Hawks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.

Hawks vs Heat

atlanta hawks nba

The Hawks Are Coming Off A Win

The Hawks improved to 27-31 on the season with a 98-86 win over the Heat on Monday. Atlanta, favored by 2 points, covered the spread with a 12-point victory at home. The game’s total points of 184 fell well short of the 231.5 O/U line.

After a 10-0 run, the Hawks took control, extending the score from 66-56 to 76-56. They outscored Miami 27-20 in the 2nd quarter and 25-21 in the 4th to seal the win.

The Heat Are Coming Off A Win

Miami’s season record fell to 26-30 after a 98-86 loss to the Hawks on Monday. The Heat were +2 point underdogs but didn’t cover the spread, losing by 12. The game’s total of 184 points was well under the O/U line of 231.5.

Miami went on a 10-0 run to stretch their lead from 66-56 to 76-56, but the Hawks responded, outscoring the Heat 27-20 in the 2nd quarter and 25-21 in the 4th.

Hawks Offense Breakdown

In their win over the Heat, the Hawks managed just 9 threes, shooting 25.7% from deep, though they hit 45.5% of their field goals overall. Onyeka Okongwu led the way with 17 points, shooting 70% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 66.7%.

Caris LeVert and Terance Mann each added 15 points, with LeVert scoring 11 in the 4th quarter. Georges Niang also put up all 11 of his points in the 2nd quarter, while Trae Young contributed 11 points, 5 of which came in the 3rd.

Heat Offense Breakdown

miami heat

In their loss to the Hawks on Monday, the Heat managed just 86 points, shooting 32.1% from the field and hitting only 7 threes at a 17.5% clip. Andrew Wiggins led the way with 23 points, connecting on 4 threes at 44.4% shooting from deep.

Kyle Anderson and Bam Adebayo both contributed 14 points, with Anderson scoring 5 in the 4th quarter, while Adebayo added 6 in the final period. Tyler Herro finished with 11 points, scoring 5 in the opening quarter.

Hawks Team Defense

The Hawks’ defense was stellar against the Heat, allowing just 86 points in their win on Monday. They gave up 22 points in the 1st quarter, 20 in the 2nd, 23 in the 3rd, and 21 in the 4th. Overall, they held Miami to 32% shooting from the field.

Atlanta was particularly effective at defending the three, with the Heat making just 7 threes on 17% shooting. The Hawks also recorded 13 steals and 2 blocks in the game.

Heat Team Defense

The Hawks put on a defensive clinic against the Heat, giving up just 86 points while holding Miami to 32% shooting. Atlanta’s defense was consistent throughout, allowing 22 points in the 1st quarter, 20 in the 2nd, 23 in the 3rd, and 21 in the 4th.

Atlanta was particularly effective at defending the three, with the Heat making only 7 threes on 17% shooting. The Hawks also recorded 13 steals and 2 blocks in the game.

Hawks vs Heat Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Atlanta has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 128 points per game.
  • Across their five previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-3-1. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 106 points per game.
  • The last three games that Atlanta was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • The last ten games that Miami was favored, they have an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 6-4 straight up.

Hawks vs Heat Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Heat to secure the win, with an expected final score of 130-106. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -2.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 229 and given that our model is projecting 236 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.