The Miami Heat (5-4) travel to face off against the San Antonio Spurs (3-6) on Sunday, November 12th. This game will be played at Frost Bank Center in Frost Bank Center and televised on BSSW. The Heat are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Spurs are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Hawks. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Heat vs Spurs
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
The Heat took down the Hawks in their most recent game with a final score of 117-109. the Heat entered the second half with an advantage, leading with 63-52.
Coming into today’s game vs. the Spurs, the Heat are looking to build on their above .500 record of 5-4. So far, the Heat have gone 3-3 when playing against Eastern Conference teams and 2-1 in non-conference contests.
Against the spread, the Heat have covered in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 3-6. This season, Miami has a 1-4 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 2-2 as underdogs.
The Spurs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Most recently, the Spurs lost to the Timberwolves with a final score of 117-110. The Spurs picked up the win despite trailing going into halftime 56-54.
The Spurs have a below .500 record of 3-6 as they seek to come out on top vs. the Heat. In their nine games, the Spurs have achieved a 3-3 record in games against Western Conference teams, and they have a 0-3 record in non-conference play.
San Antonio’s ATS record sits below .500 (4-5). On the road, the Spurs have an ATS record of 2-3, as opposed to a 2-2 record against the spread when playing at home.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In nine games games, Miami has an average of 108.6 points per game (26th). So far, the Heat are averaging 98.7 possessions per game, which places them below the NBA average. A key aspect of the team’s offensive struggles is the fact that they not only play at a slow pace, but they struggle to score inside. Heading into today’s game, Miami is just 25th in shots made inside the arc.
Spurs Offense Breakdown
In nine games games, San Antonio has an average of 113 points per game (16th). When looking at the Spurs pace of play, they tend to play an up-tempo style of basketball. So far, the team is in the upper half of the NBA in possessions per game, averaging 103.8. Even though the team adopts an up-tempo pace, there is room for improvement in their scoring efficiency, as they rank 14th in the league in terms of overall field goal percentage, currently at 53%.
Heat Team Defense
Coming into the game, the Heat defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 33.3% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 110.0 points per game allowed.
Most recently, the Heat’s defense put together a solid performance, giving up just 109 points to the Hawks.
Spurs Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Spurs’ defense is giving up an average of 124.9 points per contest.
Inside the arc, the Spurs defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 57.1% and 40.6% from three-point territory.
Key Players For The Heat And Spurs
In today’s game, our projections have Bam Adebayo leading the Heat with 16 points on 6/11 shooting from the field. This season, he is averaging 23.1 points per game along with 10.4 boards.
On the opposing side, we anticipate Victor Wembanyama to be the top scorer for the Spurs. Our projection has him finishing the game with 12, and he is expected to secure 6 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 46%, and he is contributing 19.9 points per game on average.
Heat vs Spurs Trends
- Across their last five road contests, Miami has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 108 points per game.
- Through their last five home games, San Antonio has an ATS record of just 2-3. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 109 points per game.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Spurs have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 4-6 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.
Heat vs Spurs Prediction
We’re calling a win for the Heat, with a final score of 110-104, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Heat at -1.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225.5, and our model predicts the Heat and Spurs to score a combined 214 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.
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