The Boston Celtics (37-16) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (25-25) on Monday, February 10th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on NBCS. The Celtics are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.
Celtics vs Heat
The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win
The Celtics improved to 37-16 on the season with a dominant 131-104 road win over the Knicks on Saturday. Boston, favored by 3 points, easily covered the spread, and the game’s total of 235 points narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 232.5.
Boston set the tone early, leading 30-19 after the 1st quarter. They outscored the Knicks 31-29 in the 2nd and took a commanding 96-76 lead into the 4th, where they closed things out by winning the final quarter 35-28.
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
The Heat fell to 25-25 on the season after a 102-86 loss to the Nets on Friday. Miami, who entered the game as 5-point favorites, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 188, well below the O/U line of 209.5.
Miami appeared to be in control after a 10-0 run early in the game and led 77-71 heading into the 4th quarter. However, they managed just 9 points in the final period while allowing Brooklyn to score 31, leading to a disappointing finish.
Celtics Offense Breakdown
Jayson Tatum’s 40-point performance, including 19 in the 3rd quarter, led the Celtics to a 131-point effort in their win over the Knicks. Tatum hit 7 threes at a 50% clip, while Payton Pritchard added 25 points, 14 of which came in the 2nd quarter, and connected on 6 threes at 75% efficiency.
Boston made 19 threes as a team, shooting 48.7% from deep and 54.1% overall. Derrick White contributed 17 points, 14 of which were scored in the 3rd quarter, and hit 4 threes at 57.1% shooting.
Heat Offense Breakdown
The Heat struggled offensively in their loss to the Nets, scoring just 86 points on 35.6% shooting from the field. Their three-point shooting was also subpar, hitting 30% from deep with 12 made threes.
Terry Rozier led Miami with 20 points, including 12 in the 2nd quarter, and knocked down 4 threes at a 50% rate. Bam Adebayo added 18 points, scoring 9 in the 3rd, while Tyler Herro contributed 15 points, despite shooting 27.3% from the field and 18.2% from beyond the arc.
Celtics Team Defense
The Celtics put on a strong defensive performance against the Knicks, allowing just 104 points in their win. They held New York to 19 points in the 1st quarter and gave up 28 points in each of the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarters. Overall, Boston limited the Knicks to 42% shooting from the field.
Boston’s defense also excelled from beyond the arc, where they held the Knicks to 9 made threes on 37% shooting. The Celtics gave up 29 free throw attempts, with New York converting 25. On the boards, Boston grabbed 37 defensive rebounds while allowing 7 offensive boards. They also recorded 6 steals and 7 blocks.
Heat Team Defense
The Celtics put together a strong defensive performance, holding the Knicks to 104 points on Saturday. Boston set the tone early, allowing just 19 points in the 1st quarter. They gave up 29 points in the 2nd and 28 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters.
Boston limited New York to 42% shooting, including 9 made threes on 37% shooting from deep. The Knicks also went 25/29 from the free-throw line. The Celtics grabbed 37 defensive rebounds, gave up 7 offensive boards, and recorded 6 steals and 7 blocks.
Celtics vs Heat Trends
- In their last ten games away from home, the Celtics have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 115 points per game in this stretch.
- In their last ten games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 104 points per game in this stretch.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Heat have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
- Against the spread, the Celtics have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 2-1 straight up.
Celtics vs Heat Prediction
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +6, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 219, and our model predicts the Celtics and Heat to score a combined 263 points. We recommend betting on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 10, 2025 Celtics, Heat