The Boston Celtics (40-12) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (28-24) on Sunday, February 11th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on ABC. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.
Celtics vs Heat
The Celtics Are Coming Off A Win
In their most recent game, the Celtics took down the Wizards by a score of 133-129. Despite trailing at halftime by a score of 71-64, the Celtics picked up the win.
In their last five games, the Celtics are 4-1 and currently have a 40-12 overall record. At home, the Celtics are 25-3 this season compared to their 15-9 record on the road.
Boston has an ATS record of 23-27 for this season, which includes their current two game losing streak against the spread. The Celtics have experienced a two game ATS loss streak as favorites, and they are 2-1 vs. the spread when they are underdogs.
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
The Heat clinched a 116-104 win over the Spurs in their previous game. Heat’s victory in this game wasn’t just a straight-up win; they also covered the spread as -7.5-point favorites. Regarding the over/under, the combined score of 220 points ended up below the over/under line of 227.
Coming into today’s matchup against the Celtics, the Heat are looking to stay above .500. So far, they are 28-24 overall. In Eastern Conference games, the Heat are 20-15 and they are 8-9 in non-conference games.
So far, Miami’s ATS record is below .500 at 22-27. During this season, Miami has a 14-15 record against the spread as favorites and 8-12 as underdogs.
Celtics Offense Breakdown
The Celtics step onto the court for today’s game as one of the NBA’s top-scoring squads, putting up 120.6 points per game (4th).
So far this season, the Celtics have been one of the NBA’s most potent offenses. They are currently 4th in the league in scoring at 120.6 points per game. However, they have been even better on the road, averaging 119 points per game compared to 122.1 at home.
In terms of pace, Boston is 14th in the league at 98.8 possessions per game. They are also one of the league’s top three-point shooting teams, leading the NBA in both three-point attempts and makes. Overall, they are shooting 37% from beyond the arc.
When it comes to two-point shooting, the Celtics are one of the most efficient teams in the league, hitting 56% of their attempts. This has helped them to a 12th ranking in field goal percentage overall.
Heat Offense Breakdown
The Heat come into today’s game as the 27th ranked scoring offense at 110.5 points per game.
This season, the Heat are 27th in the NBA in scoring at 110.5 points per game. At home, they are averaging 113.3 points per game, which is 23rd in the league. So far, they have outscored the NBA scoring average in just 34.6% of their games.
When it comes to three-point shooting, Miami is 11th in the NBA at 37%. However, they are just 25th in field goal percentage overall. In terms of pace, they are 28th in the league.
One area where the Heat have been strong is getting to the free-throw line. They are 8th in the NBA in free throws made per game. In terms of assists, they are 21st in the league.
Celtics Team Defense
Coming into the game, the Celtics defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 30.8% of their games. Currently, they are 7th in the NBA at 111.1 points per game allowed. Opponents are hitting 51.8% of their two-point field goal attempts this season, and they’re also connecting on 34.8% of their three-point attempts.
Heat Team Defense
Currently, the Heat’s defense holds the 5th rank in the NBA, allowing 110.8 points per game. Inside the arc, the Heat defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 55.4% and 36.8% from three-point territory.
Key Players For The Celtics And Heat
For today’s matchup, we project Jayson Tatum to lead the scoring for the Celtics, putting up 26 points and shooting at a rate of 9/19. For the season, he has been averaging 27 points per game, in addition to 8.4 rebounds.
As for Miami, Jimmy Butler is projected to be the primary scorer for the Heat. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 21, and adding 5 rebounds. This season, he has put together a field goal percentage of 50%, and he is contributing 21.4 points per game on average.
Celtics vs Heat Trends
- In their last five road games, Boston has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 111 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 102 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 3-7. But, their mark vs the spread was just 3-7.
- In their last five contests as the favorite, Boston has a poor record vs the spread going 1-4. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 4-1.
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +5.5, the Heat is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 225.5, and our model predicts the Celtics and Heat to score a combined 278 points. We recommend betting on the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.