Bucks vs Golden State Warriors NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Golden State Warriors Prediction 3/6/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (41-21) travel to face off against the Golden State Warriors (32-28) on Wednesday, March 6th. This game will be played at Chase Center in San Francisco and televised on ESPN. The Bucks are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Warriors are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Clippers. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Bucks vs Warriors

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks’ most recent matchup against the Clippers saw Damian Lillard lead the Bucks with 41 points while shooting 12/22 from the field. Bobby Portis also contributed 28 points as the Bucks won by a score of 113-106 vs. the Clippers.

Coming into today’s game vs. the Warriors, the Bucks are 41-21 overall and have gone 8-2 in their last ten. In the Eastern Conference, they are 2nd and are leading the Central division.

Milwaukee’s ATS record sits below .500 (27-35). The Bucks have a two game ATS win streak as underdogs, and they hold a 24-30 record against the spread when they are the favorites.

The Warriors Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In their latest game against the Celtics, Lester Quinones was the top scorer for the Warriors’ offense, scoring 17 points and shooting 7/16 from the field. While Moses Moody was 2nd on the team with 11 points, Golden State fell short in the game with a final score of 140-88.

In the Pacific Division, the Warriors are currently 5th and are 10th in the Western Conference. As they face the Bucks, the Warriors are looking to stay above .500. So far, their record is 32-28.

Against the spread, Golden State have an above .500 record vs. the spread sitting at 33-26 ATS. This season, Golden State has a 19-19 record against the spread when they are favored, and they are 14-7 when playing as underdogs.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

For the season, the Milwaukee offense is the 2nd ranked unit in the NBA, at 121.4 points per contest.

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 121.4 points per game (2nd). They have been even better at home, where they are averaging 123.0 points per game (6th). On the road, they are 3rd in scoring at 119.6 points per game.

Milwaukee’s offense is built around the three-point shot, as they are 6th in three-point attempts per game (38). Overall, they are shooting 37% from three (6th). In terms of pace, the Bucks are 6th in the league at 100.8 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 66.1% of their games. However, they have scored below their season average in each of their last three games.

Warriors Offense Breakdown

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Coming into today’s action, Golden State is averaging 118.6 points per contest. This figure places them 7th in the league.

This season, the Warriors are 7th in the NBA in scoring at 118.6 points per game, and they are 2nd on the road at 119.7 points per game. At home, they are averaging 117.5 points per game (12th).

Golden State is 8th in the league in pace at 100.2 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, the Warriors are 16th in the NBA at 47%.

When it comes to three-point shooting, the Warriors are 2nd in the league in made threes per game (15), and they are 3rd in three-point attempts per game (40). Overall, they are 9th in three-point shooting at 37%.

Bucks Team Defense

Milwaukee’s defense is currently in line with the NBA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 116.9 points per game. On two point field goal attempts, the Bucks’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 53.7% and allowing 35.1% from beyond the arc.

Warriors Team Defense

At this time, the Warriors’ defense is positioned 19th in the NBA, permitting 117.2 points per game. The Warriors defense is coming off a game in which they held the Celtics offense to just 39.1% shooting. Overall, they gave up 140 points to Boston.

Key Players For The Bucks And Warriors

In today’s game, our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the Bucks with 31 points on 12/19 shooting from the field. During this season, he is delivering an average of 30.8 points per game, along with 11.3 rebounds.

On the flip side, our predictions place Stephen Curry as the leading scorer for the Warriors. We expect him to conclude the game with a team-high 27 while also collecting 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 45% and is averaging 27.1 points per contest.

Bucks vs Warriors Trends

  • Although Milwaukee has a straight up record of 5-5 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 113 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 8-2 while averaging 121 per game. The team went 8-2 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-8. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-7.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-0 in these scenarios.

Bucks vs Warriors Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +4.5, we have the Bucks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 226.5 and given that our model is projecting 218 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.