Bucks vs Indiana Pacers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Indiana Pacers Prediction 4/26/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-33) travel to face off against the Indiana Pacers (47-35) on Friday, April 26th. This game will be played at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and televised on ESPN. The Pacers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Bucks. Tip-off is set for 5:30 ET.

Bucks vs Pacers

milwaukee bucks nba

The Pacers picked up a 125-108 road win over the Bucks in the most recent game of this series. Indiana was a 1-point underdog heading into the game and easily covered the spread. The Pacers got off to a good start in this game, outscoring the Bucks 30-26 in the 1st quarter. Indiana’s defense really stepped up in the 4th quarter, holding the Bucks to just 25 points.

Pascal Siakam had a big game for the Pacers, finishing with 37 points, 6 assists, and 11 rebounds. Siakam also connected on 75% of his three-point attempts. Myles Turner added 22 points for the Pacers. On the other side, Damian Lillard led the Bucks with 34 points. Milwaukee made 13 threes in the game, which was right around their season average.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

Offensively, the Bucks are 4th in the league this season, at 119 points per game. Despite their high-scoring average, they have been below the league average in terms of scoring efficiency in 41.5% of their games this season. Milwaukee’s offense has been fueled by their three-point shooting, as they are 5th in three-pointers made per game and 8th in three-point shooting percentage.

Milwaukee will be without Giannis Antetokounmpo, who is averaging 30.4 points per game. Over his last five games, Khris Middleton has hit 52.8% of his shots from the field and averaged 18.2 points per game. Bobby Portis has averaged 16 points and 9.8 rebounds in his last five games. In his last four games, Damian Lillard is averaging 28.5 points per game.

Pacers Offense Breakdown

indiana pacers

Indiana’s offense is averaging 123.3 points per game this season, which is the best mark in the league. They have been even better at home, averaging 125.5 points per contest. One of the reasons they have been so efficient on offense is their ability to get to the rim. The Pacers lead the league in two-point field goal percentage at 58%.

Pascal Siakam has been playing well of late, averaging 27.2 points per game in his last five games. In these games, he hit 53.8% of his threes. Over his last five games, Tyrese Haliburton has averaged 16.4 points and 10 assists. For the season, Haliburton is averaging 20.1 points and 10.9 assists.

Bucks Team Defense

On the season, the Milwaukee Bucks have given up an average of 116.2 points per game, which is 21st in the NBA. When playing on the road, they have allowed 118.0 points per contest, which is 22nd in the league.

Over their last five games, the Bucks have given up 111.2 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA during that span. During this stretch, opponents have made 15 free throws per game, which is 12th in the league.

For the season, opposing teams have made 35.4% of their three-point attempts vs. Milwaukee, which is 12th in the NBA. In terms of steals, the Bucks are 28th in the league at 6.8 per contest.

Pacers Team Defense

Heading into tonight’s game against the Bucks, the Pacers are giving up 120.0 points per game, which is 27th in the NBA. Indiana’s defense has been slightly better at home, where they are surrendering 118.7 points per contest.

Over their last five games, the Pacers have been even worse, allowing 116.8 points per game. During this stretch, opponents have made 35.2% of their threes and 19.4 free throws per game.

For the season, Indiana has done a good job of defending the three-point line, ranking 1st in both made threes allowed per game (10.8) and three-point percentage allowed (36.6%).

Key Players For The Bucks And Pacers

The outlook for today’s matchup points to Giannis Antetokounmpo as the primary point contributor for the Bucks, finishing with 31 points while maintaining a 12/19 shooting accuracy. This season, he is averaging 30.4 points per game along with 11.5 boards.

On the other side, Pascal Siakam is our projected leading scorer for the Pacers. We have him ending the game with a team-high 21 and grabbing 7 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.6% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 21.7 points per game.

Bucks vs Pacers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 102 per game. The team went 0-3 overall in these games.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 2-3 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Pacers have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.

Bucks vs Pacers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Bucks vs. Pacers game, our recommendation is to take the Bucks at +5.5. Despite our model showing the Pacers winning 113-110, we like Bucks as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 221.5, and our model predicts the Bucks and Pacers to score a combined 223 points. We recommend betting on the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.