Milwaukee Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Memphis Grizzlies Prediction 2/15/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (35-20) travel to face off against the Memphis Grizzlies (19-36) on Thursday, February 15th. This game will be played at FedExForum in Memphis and televised on TNT. The Grizzlies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Bucks are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rockets. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Bucks vs Grizzlies

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

The Bucks will look to bounce back from a defeat in their last game, losing to the Heat with a final score of 123-97. Besides losing the game outright, the Bucks also fell short against the spread, failing to cover as -7.5 point favorites. As for the over/under, the combined score of 220 points didn’t reach the over/under line of 224.

Heading into their matchup with the Grizzlies, the Bucks hold an overall record of 35-20 and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. Currently, they are 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 2nd in the Central division.

Milwaukee comes in with an overall ATS record of 21-34 so far this season. The Bucks have five straight ATS losses as the underdog and are 20-29 vs. the spread as the favorite.

The Grizzlies Are Coming Off A Win

The Grizzlies picked up a win over the Rockets in their latest game, finishing with a score of 121-113. Heading into the second half, the Grizzlies were leading 58-49.

Heading into today’s game against the Bucks, the Grizzlies are 19-36 overall. When facing Western Conference opponents, the Grizzlies are 13-24 compared to a 6-12 record in non-conference games. As heavy underdogs (+11.5), the Grizzlies are hoping to come away with a win.

Against the spread, the Grizzlies have covered in two straight games and have an overall ATS record of 26-29. This season, Memphis has a 5-9 record against the spread when they are the favorites, and they are 21-20 as underdogs.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

The Bucks come into today’s game as one of the better scoring teams in the NBA at 122.2 points per game (2nd).

When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the top teams in the league, averaging 122.2 points per game (2nd). On the road, they are scoring 120.9 points per game (2nd).

So far this season, the Bucks have outscored the NBA scoring average in 70.9% of their games. However, they are currently on a six-game streak of scoring less than their season average.

In terms of pace, Milwaukee is 4th in the league at 101.4 possessions per game. They are also 5th in field goal percentage (49%) and 4th in true shooting percentage.

Grizzlies Offense Breakdown

memphis grizzlies

In 55 games games, Memphis has an average of 107 points per game (30th).

When playing at home, the Grizzlies have struggled offensively this season, averaging just 104.6 points per game (30th). Overall, they are last in the NBA in scoring at 107 points per game. In terms of pace, Memphis is 18th at 98.4 possessions per game.

Despite being one of the top three-point shooting teams in the league (8th), the Grizzlies are just 29th in field goal percentage at 44%. They are also one of the worst teams in the NBA in terms of free throw attempts, averaging just 20.7 per game (26th).

When compared to the NBA scoring average, Memphis has been below the league average in 78.2% of their games. In terms of two-point shooting, the Grizzlies are 29th in both attempts and percentage.

Bucks Team Defense

On defense, the Bucks come into the game ranked 23rd in the league in points allowed at 118.9 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 100.7 points per contest (10th). Inside the arc, the Bucks defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 54.5% and 34.8% from three-point territory.

Grizzlies Team Defense

The Grizzlies’ defense is presently ranked 12th in the league, allowing an average of 113.1 points per contest. In the terms of takeaways, Grizzlies are causing 13.9 turnovers per game, ranking 24th in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 3rd in rejections, averaging 6.2 blocked shots each game.

Key Players For The Bucks And Grizzlies

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Giannis Antetokounmpo will be the primary scorer for the Bucks, with 29 points and going 11/18 from the field. This season, he is averaging 30.7 points per game along with 11.4 boards.

On the opposing side, we anticipate Jaren Jackson Jr. to be the top scorer for the Grizzlies. Our projection has him finishing the game with 26, and he is expected to secure 7 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 44.9% and is averaging 22.3 points per contest.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Milwaukee has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 114 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Memphis has a 1-4 record in their last five home games. In this stretch, they averaged 105 points per game while allowing 116. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-1.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Bucks have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Bucks vs Grizzlies Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +11.5, we have the Grizzlies as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 223.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Grizzlies to reach a combined total of 255 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.