Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Bucks vs Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction 4/12/2024

The Milwaukee Bucks (49-31) travel to face off against the Oklahoma City Thunder (55-25) on Friday, April 12th. This game will be played at Paycom Center in Oklahoma City and televised on KSBI. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Bucks vs Thunder

milwaukee bucks nba

The Bucks Are Coming Off A Win

The Bucks’ most recent matchup against the Magic saw Bobby Portis lead the Bucks with 30 points while shooting 14/18 from the field. As the Bucks secured the victory with a final score of 117-99, Damian Lillard also chipped in with 29 points.

Coming into today’s game, the Bucks are 49-31 overall and are hoping to surprise their opponents as 14.5 point underdogs. Among their 80 games, the Bucks have gone 34-17 against other Eastern Conference teams while going 15-14 against non-conference opponents.

The Bucks have successfully covered the spread in their last two games and hold an overall ATS record of 35-45. On the road, the Bucks have an ATS record of 16-22, as opposed to a 19-23 record against the spread when playing at home.

The Thunder Are Coming Off A Win

The Thunder beat the Spurs in their most recent game, ending with a score of 127-89. Going into the second half the Thunder held the lead at 68-35.

With an overall record of 55-25, the Thunder are looking to extend their three game winning streak. When playing against Western Conference teams, the Thunder have gone 35-16 and are 20-9 in non-conference games.

Currently, Oklahoma City holds an above .500 ATS record of 45-35 so far this year. Oklahoma City has gone 33-26 against the spread this season when they are the favorites, and they are 12-9 when playing as underdogs.

Bucks Offense Breakdown

The Milwaukee offense will take the floor in today’s game with the league’s 4th ranked offense at 119.5 points per game.

So far this season, the Bucks are 4th in the NBA in scoring at 119.5 points per game. However, they have scored below the league average in 37.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 6th in the league at 100 possessions per game.

When it comes to shooting, Milwaukee is 7th in field goal percentage at 48%. They have been especially efficient inside the arc, as they are 2nd in two-point shooting percentage at 57%. From three-point range, they are 9th in the league at 37%.

Overall, the Bucks are 15th in assists at 26.7 per game. In terms of free throw shooting, they are 5th in both makes and attempts at 18.6 and 24.1 per game, respectively. On the offensive glass, they are 24th in the NBA.

Thunder Offense Breakdown

oklahoma city thunder

Heading into play, the Thunder’s offense is rated 3rd in the league in scoring, averaging 119.8 points per contest.

The Thunder are one of the best offensive teams in the NBA, ranking 3rd in scoring at 119.8 points per game. At home, they are averaging 122.8 points per game, which is 2nd in the league.

Oklahoma City has been a strong shooting team this season, ranking 2nd in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the most efficient teams from three-point range, hitting 38% of their shots (2nd).

So far, the Thunder have outscored the NBA scoring average in 67.5% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 7th in the league at 99.7 possessions per game.

Bucks Team Defense

So far, the Bucks’ defense is ranked 21st in the league at 116.3 points per contest. Milwaukee’s defense is currently forcing 12.3 turnovers per game, which is 12th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 15th in blocked shots, with an average of 5.1 rejections per game.

Thunder Team Defense

On defense, the Thunder come into the game ranked 12th in the league in points allowed at 113.1 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 104 points per contest (23rd). Inside the arc, the Thunder defense is giving up a shooting percentage of 52.2% and 36.6% from three-point territory.

Key Players For The Bucks And Thunder

For today’s matchup, we project Damian Lillard to lead the scoring for the Bucks, putting up 24 points and shooting at a rate of 8/18. Throughout this season, his average stands at 24.4 points per game, along with 4.4 rebounds.

On the other side, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is our projected leading scorer for the Thunder. We have him ending the game with a team-high 30 and grabbing 6 rebounds. Throughout the season, he has maintained a 53.9% field goal shooting rate and is averaging 30.4 points per game.

Bucks vs Thunder Trends

  • In their last five games away from home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 2-3 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 109 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last five home games, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of just 0-5. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 110 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Thunder have a straight up record of 9-1. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-6.

Bucks vs Thunder Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Thunder vs. Bucks game, we suggest taking the Bucks at +14.5. Even though our predictions have the Thunder winning 113-110, we see the Bucks as the better choice on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 223.5 and given that our model is projecting 223 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.