Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Cavaliers vs Denver Nuggets Prediction 3/31/2024

The Cleveland Cavaliers (45-29) travel to face off against the Denver Nuggets (51-23) on Sunday, March 31st. This game will be played at Ball Arena in Denver and televised on NBA. The Cavaliers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Nuggets are looking to get back on track from a loss to the 76ers. Tip-off is set for 3:30 ET.

Cavaliers vs Nuggets

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The Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

Georges Niang scored 25 for Cleveland against the 76ers which was the most on the team. His field goal percentage for the game was 54.9%. Evan Mobley also added 20 points as the Cavaliers won the game by a score of 117-114.

In the Cavs’ last five games, they are 2-3 and have an overall record of 45-29. In the Eastern Conference, they currently hold the 3rd spot and are 2nd in the Central division.

Cleveland comes in with an overall ATS record of 35-37 so far this season. The Cavaliers have suffered two consecutive ATS losses when playing as underdogs, and they are 22-26 against the spread when they are the favorites.

The Nuggets Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

In the Nuggets’ most recent game against the Timberwolves, Nikola Jokic led the Nuggets with 32 points while going 11/24 from the field. Aaron Gordon finished 2nd on the team with 14 points, but Denver ended the game with a 111-98 loss.

When comparing their home and road records, the Nuggets are 29-8 at home compared to 22-15 on the road. With an overall record of 51-23, the Nuggets are above .500.

Denver possesses an ATS record of 33-39 for this season, including their ongoing two game losing streak against the spread. On the road, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 15-21, as opposed to a 18-18 record against the spread when playing at home.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

Through 74 games the Cavaliers are averaging 112.7 points per contest, placing them 19th in the NBA.

So far this season, the Cavaliers have been an above-average offensive team, ranking 19th in scoring at 112.7 points per game. However, their offense has been less effective on the road, averaging 111 points per game compared to 114.3 at home.

When it comes to pace of play, Cleveland is 23rd in the league at 96.9 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are 12th in the NBA at 47%. From beyond the arc, the Cavaliers are 7th in three-pointers made per game but are shooting just 36% as a team.

Overall, the Cavaliers’ offense has outscored the NBA scoring average in 43.2% of their games this season. In terms of assists, they are 8th in the league at 28 per game.

Nuggets Offense Breakdown

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Through 74 games games, Denver is averaging 114.4 points per game (14th).

At home, the Nuggets are averaging 117.9 points per game, which is 11th in the league. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.4 points per game. In terms of pace, Denver is 28th in the NBA.

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets have the 5th best field goal percentage at 49%. However, they are just 28th in three-point attempts and 30th in free throw attempts.

Denver is 3rd in the league in assists, averaging 29.2 per game. In terms of offensive rebounding, the Nuggets are 11th in the NBA.

Cavaliers Team Defense

At present, the Cavaliers’ defense is ranked 5th, allowing 109.4 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Cavaliers squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.3% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 36.1% from downtown.

Nuggets Team Defense

This season, the Nuggets defense has been impressive, holding the 7th position in the league while permitting an average of 109.9 points per contest. In terms of two point field goal attempts, the Nuggets defense has allowed a shooting percentage of 52.6% while allowing 35.7% from downtown.

Key Players For The Cavaliers And Nuggets

In today’s game, our projections have Donovan Mitchell leading the Cavaliers with 26 points on 9/20 shooting from the field. For the season, he has been averaging 27.1 points per game, in addition to 5.3 rebounds.

As for Denver, Nikola Jokic is projected to be the primary scorer for the Nuggets. Our forecast has him finishing the game with 26, and adding 12 rebounds. This season, he is shooting at a field goal percentage of 57.9%, and his scoring average is 26.1 points per game.

Cavaliers vs Nuggets Trends

  • Across the Cavaliers last five road games, the team averaged 99 points per game while allowing 112. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-4, while going 1-4 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 112 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Cavaliers have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 3-2.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Denver has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.

Cavaliers vs Nuggets Prediction

The Cavaliers come in as the underdog at +5.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 213.5, and our model projects the Cavaliers and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 222 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.