Boston Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers NBA Betting Prediction

NBA Celtics vs Cleveland Cavaliers Prediction 5/11/2024

The Boston Celtics (64-18) travel to face off against the Cleveland Cavaliers (48-34) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse in Cleveland and televised on ABC. The Cavaliers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Celtics are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Celtics. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Celtics vs Cavaliers

boston celtics nba

Donovan Mitchell was on fire from beyond the arc in the last game of this Cavaliers vs. Celtics series, knocking down five threes on 71.4% shooting. He led all scorers with 29 points and also added eight assists and seven rebounds. Mitchell and the Cavs took the last game of the series by a score of 118-94. Cleveland was a 13-point underdog going into the game and easily covered the spread.

Heading into the game, the over/under line was set at 212.5 points, and the teams just missed hitting the over with a combined 212 points. The Cavs held the Celtics to just eight made threes on 22.9% shooting from beyond the arc. Jayson Tatum led the Celtics with 25 points and also had six assists and seven rebounds.

Celtics Offense Breakdown

Boston comes into the game as the NBA’s second-ranked scoring offense, at 120.6 points per contest. Despite their high-scoring ways, the Celtics have scored below the league average in 32.9% of their games. Looking at their pace, the Celtics are 23rd in the league, averaging 97.2 possessions per game.

The Celtics lead the league in both three-point attempts and three-pointers made per game this season. They are averaging 16.5 made threes per game and have a team three-point shooting percentage of 38%. Jaylen Brown has averaged 23 points per game over his last five games on a field goal percentage of 52.2%. Derrick White is averaging 22.8 points per game in his last five games, while hitting 4.6 threes per game in that stretch.

Cavaliers Offense Breakdown

cleveland cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell is averaging 35.8 points per game over his last five games on a shooting percentage of 49.2%. In addition to his scoring, he has pulled down 6.4 rebounds in this stretch. For the season, Mitchell is averaging 26.6 points and 5.1 rebounds. Darius Garland has averaged 16.8 points and 4.6 assists in his last five games.

Cleveland is 17th in home scoring this season at 113.3 points per game. This is slightly better than their season average of 112.6 points per contest. The Cavaliers are a middle-of-the-pack team in terms of three-point shooting percentage, at 36%, which is 19th in the league.

Celtics Team Defense

As the Boston Celtics head into tonight’s game against the Cavaliers, they are ranked 4th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 108.2. Over their last five games, they have been even stingier, giving up just 93.8 points per game, which is the best mark in the league over that span.

On the season, opponents have made 34.7% of their three-point attempts vs. the Celtics, which is 15th in the NBA. However, over their last five games, they have held opponents to just 28.5% shooting from beyond the arc.

Overall, Boston is 2nd in the league in rebounds per game and 2nd in blocked shots per game. They are also 1st in the NBA in made free throws allowed per game at just 17.0.

Cavaliers Team Defense

Heading into tonight’s game, the Cavaliers are 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 109.4. Over their last five games, they have been even better, ranking 4th in the league at 102.8 points per contest.

On the season, opponents have made 46.1% of their field goal attempts against the Cavs, which is 4th in the NBA. They have been particularly stingy inside the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 52.3% on two-point attempts.

One area where Cleveland has struggled a bit in their last five games is at the free-throw line. They have given up 20.4 made free throws per contest over that stretch, which is 27th in the league.

Key Players For The Celtics And Cavaliers

Our projections for today’s game indicate that Jayson Tatum will be the primary scorer for the Celtics, with 26 points and going 9/19 from the field. This season, he is averaging 26.9 points per game along with 8.1 boards.

On the other side, Donovan Mitchell is our projected leading scorer for the Cavaliers. We have him ending the game with a team-high 26 and grabbing 5 rebounds. For the season, he has a field goal percentage of 46.2% and is averaging 26.6 points per contest.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Celtics have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 114 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Cavaliers last ten home games, the team averaged 102 points per game while allowing 115. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 3-7, while going 2-8 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Cleveland has an ATS mark of 1-4 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • The Celtics have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Celtics vs Cavaliers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Celtics, with a final score of 115-105, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Celtics at -7.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 211, and our model projects the Celtics and Cavaliers to reach a combined total of 220 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.