The Charlotte Hornets (15-48) travel to face off against the Miami Heat (29-34) on Monday, March 10th. This game will be played at Kaseya Center in Miami and televised on FDSS. The Hornets are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Heat are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Heat. Tip-off is set for 7:30 ET.
Hornets vs Heat
The Hornets Are Coming Off A Win
The Hornets improved to 15-48 on the season with a 105-102 win over the Nets on Saturday. Charlotte, who were +5.5 point underdogs, not only won but also covered the spread. The game’s total points of 207 fell short of the 211.5 O/U line.
Charlotte rallied from a 30-17 2nd quarter deficit. After the Nets went on an 11-0 run, the Hornets responded by outscoring Brooklyn 33-24 in the 3rd and 29-20 in the 4th to secure the win.
The Heat Are Coming Off A Win
Miami’s season record dropped to 29-34 after a 114-109 loss to the Bulls on Saturday. The Heat, who were -5.5 point favorites at home, not only lost the game but also failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 223, just under the O/U line of 225.5.
Miami started strong, going on a 10-0 run early and leading 36-24 after the 1st quarter. However, the Bulls chipped away at the lead, and despite Miami outscoring Chicago 34-30 in the 3rd quarter, the Heat couldn’t hold on. They entered the 4th quarter with an 89-78 lead but were outscored 36-20 in the final period.
Hornets Offense Breakdown
The Hornets managed to score 105 points in their win over the Nets, shooting 40.8% from the field. They hit 11 threes at a 32.4% clip, with Miles Bridges leading the way, finishing with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 5 assists.
Nick Smith added 19 points, including 12 in the 3rd quarter, while Moussa Diabaté contributed 16 points and 15 rebounds, shooting 66.7% from the field. Damion Baugh also stepped up in the 4th, scoring 7 of his 14 points in the final period.
Heat Offense Breakdown
In their 114-109 loss to the Bulls, the Heat shot 42.3% from the field and 30.2% from three-point range, making 13 threes. Bam Adebayo and Andrew Wiggins each scored 22 points, with Wiggins hitting 3 threes at 60% efficiency.
Tyler Herro added 21 points and 8 rebounds, despite shooting 28.6% from deep. Wiggins scored 9 points in the 1st quarter and 7 in the 4th, while Herro contributed 11 points in the 3rd quarter.
Hornets Team Defense
Despite giving up 58 points in the first half, the Hornets tightened up defensively in the 3rd and 4th quarters, allowing just 44 points to the Nets and securing a 105-102 win. Charlotte’s defense was particularly strong in the 4th quarter, where they gave up only 20 points.
The Hornets held Brooklyn to 28% shooting from beyond the arc, with the Nets making 14 threes. Charlotte also sent the Nets to the free-throw line 15 times, where they made 12. The Hornets finished with 28 defensive rebounds, 4 steals, and 2 blocks.
Heat Team Defense
The Hornets gave up 102 points to the Nets but tightened up defensively in the 4th quarter, allowing just 20 points to help secure the win. Charlotte allowed 28 points in the 1st quarter and 30 in the 2nd, but they improved in the 3rd, giving up 24 points.
Defensively, the Hornets held the Nets to 28% shooting from three, with Brooklyn making 14 threes. The Nets went 12/15 from the free-throw line. Charlotte finished with 28 defensive rebounds, gave up 8 offensive boards, and recorded 4 steals and 2 blocks.
Hornets vs Heat Trends
- Across the Hornets last five road games, the team averaged 95 points per game while allowing 126. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 0-5 straight-up.
- Across the Heat last five home games, the team averaged 107 points per game while allowing 111. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 1-4 straight-up.
- In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Hornets have a straight up record of 2-8 and an ATS mark of 5-5.
- In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Heat have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.
Hornets vs Heat Prediction
The Heat is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 131-117. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Heat at -9.5.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 216.5 and given that our model is projecting 248 points between the teams, we like the over.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:March 10, 2025 Heat, Hornets